Tidy-Billion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

169

Trades

3,830

lifetime

Volume

$51.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-20 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$226

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	34	$789	912	412	+500	open	—	05-04 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	16	$567	500	300	+200	open	—	05-04 02:54
btc updown 5m 1776902400	8	$559	317	290	+27	open	—	04-23 00:04
btc updown 5m 1776350400	17	$534	455	439	+15	open	—	04-16 14:44
btc updown 5m 1776334800	20	$513	344	333	+11	open	—	04-16 10:22
btc updown 5m 1776441000	2	$483	347	336	+12	open	—	04-17 15:51
btc updown 5m 1775740500	36	$481	1,319	0	+1,319	open	—	04-09 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	19	$468	368	301	+68	open	—	05-04 13:57
btc updown 5m 1776948600	10	$462	413	340	+72	open	—	04-23 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	19	$461	343	243	+100	open	—	05-04 03:14
btc updown 5m 1776948900	6	$448	275	239	+36	open	—	04-23 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	13	$446	346	200	+146	Down	$-146	05-08 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	38	$420	686	190	+496	Down	$-122	05-12 09:42
btc updown 5m 1776083400	7	$410	549	129	+419	open	—	04-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET	33	$392	901	0	+901	Up	+$190	05-12 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	15	$374	350	350	+0	Up	+$111	05-11 15:41
btc updown 5m 1777008000	16	$351	232	225	+7	open	—	04-24 05:24
btc updown 5m 1776919500	4	$339	206	201	+5	open	—	04-23 04:50
btc updown 5m 1776084300	13	$336	655	0	+655	open	—	04-13 12:48
btc updown 5m 1776095700	11	$332	657	0	+657	open	—	04-13 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776088500	10	$329	757	0	+757	open	—	04-13 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	9	$329	269	159	+110	open	—	05-04 13:50
btc updown 5m 1777040100	11	$326	274	182	+92	open	—	04-24 14:19
btc updown 5m 1777007700	1	$320	512	0	+512	open	—	04-24 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776174600	13	$313	472	0	+472	open	—	04-14 13:53
btc updown 5m 1776250800	7	$307	759	0	+759	open	—	04-15 11:04
btc updown 5m 1776088200	4	$304	277	272	+6	open	—	04-13 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$300	296	246	+50	Up	+$19	05-08 11:54
btc updown 5m 1776792000	9	$291	618	0	+618	open	—	04-21 17:23
btc updown 5m 1776357300	11	$286	286	189	+97	open	—	04-16 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 14:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1604a1…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xf20c2c…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xbc1a6f…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x213193…
05-20 13:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe25092…
05-20 13:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x85c7fd…
05-17 10:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x253d7a…
05-16 18:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xe09c85…
05-16 18:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x43b653…
05-16 09:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf3d08b…
05-16 03:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x058483…
05-16 03:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd4b210…
05-16 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6784bd…
05-16 03:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x89a3c7…
05-16 03:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x25d51a…
05-14 03:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x93da18…
05-14 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa9165d…
05-13 16:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x4c37a4…
05-13 16:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6c399a…
05-13 13:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	97	11¢	$11	0x99d3c1…
05-13 13:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	97	59¢	$57	0x860f41…
05-13 12:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x76745c…
05-13 11:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5a4921…
05-13 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5ab7c…
05-13 11:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x078ae9…
05-13 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0fa065…
05-13 11:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x93cad0…
05-13 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba5427…
05-12 15:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe520e0…
05-12 14:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	90¢	$34	0xcc6a52…
05-12 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x32e0fc…
05-12 14:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x55d258…
05-12 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5f3322…
05-12 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x00b84d…
05-12 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xcee528…
05-12 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x55abdf…
05-12 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2520cc…
05-12 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xe9843f…
05-12 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x1e8c4f…
05-12 12:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xf65698…
05-12 12:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63c31f…
05-12 12:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6b7313…
05-12 12:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x71fb14…
05-12 12:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb9f86e…
05-12 12:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x129833…
05-12 12:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x86274c…
05-12 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xfb8c60…
05-12 11:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x9010a4…
05-12 11:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xba810f…
05-12 11:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0691f3…
05-12 11:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xbdb1fe…
05-12 11:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x69173e…
05-12 11:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x347592…
05-12 11:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4fd654…
05-12 10:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x81ede7…
05-12 10:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x488476…
05-12 10:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0x7b2fb1…
05-12 09:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x6169a9…
05-12 09:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x20059b…
05-12 09:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x9cdc78…
05-12 09:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x471fc4…
05-12 09:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xd00dd6…
05-12 09:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x8d6de3…
05-12 09:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb54fd1…
05-12 09:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x91a970…
05-12 09:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x06b0a5…
05-12 09:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7ecc58…
05-12 09:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x178b42…
05-12 09:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xcaede5…
05-12 09:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x3d9f1f…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xeea4c8…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe7ce68…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xc662a4…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x693026…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x6690ac…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x11456c…
05-12 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0ad292…
05-12 09:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x59c00e…
05-12 09:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x8e2f77…
05-12 09:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd4d4b7…
05-12 09:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x565782…
05-12 09:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x016b68…
05-12 09:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6cee98…
05-12 09:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x643799…
05-12 09:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x636ea8…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd53eb5…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc32d1c…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc278aa…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xaa414d…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x78090a…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6b23be…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x685ef8…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x44fb22…
05-12 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1ed679…
05-12 09:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0x342634…
05-12 08:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x63dd3f…
05-12 07:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0xd32614…
05-12 06:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0x383532…
05-12 04:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd846be…
05-12 04:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x70d5fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	928	$347.7K	59,215	05-16 18:33
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	917	$553.7K	22,713	05-16 18:35
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	905	$662.8K	39,800	05-16 18:31
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	897	$307.7K	47,549	05-16 18:33
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	897	$279.2K	88,927	05-16 18:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	895	$348.3K	99,273	05-16 18:34
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	888	$55.4K	11,077	05-16 03:42
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	886	$141.8K	15,409	05-16 18:34