Tidy-Billion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

3,922 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$117

$52.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-13 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$1,406

Other

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	34	$789	912	412	+500	Up	+$18	05-04 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	16	$567	500	300	+200	Up	+$27	05-04 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:00 UTC	8	$559	317	290	+27	Up	+$17	04-23 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:40 UTC	17	$534	455	439	+15	Up	+$70	04-16 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:20 UTC	20	$513	344	333	+11	Up	+$131	04-16 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:50 UTC	2	$483	347	336	+12	Up	+$120	04-17 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:15 UTC	36	$481	1,319	0	+1,319	Up	+$328	04-09 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	19	$468	368	301	+68	Up	+$21	05-04 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:50 UTC	10	$462	413	340	+72	Up	+$88	04-23 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	19	$461	343	243	+100	Up	+$21	05-04 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:55 UTC	6	$448	275	239	+36	Up	+$28	04-23 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	13	$446	346	200	+146	Down	-$146	05-08 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	38	$420	686	190	+496	Down	-$122	05-12 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:30 UTC	7	$410	549	129	+419	Up	-$3	04-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET	33	$392	901	0	+901	Up	+$190	05-12 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	15	$374	350	350	+0	Up	+$111	05-11 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	24	$369	359	359	+0	Down	-$31	05-08 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:20 UTC	16	$351	232	225	+7	Up	+$84	04-24 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:45 UTC	4	$339	206	201	+5	Up	+$64	04-23 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:45 UTC	13	$336	655	0	+655	Up	+$27	04-13 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:55 UTC	11	$332	657	0	+657	Up	+$75	04-13 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:55 UTC	10	$329	757	0	+757	Up	+$77	04-13 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	9	$329	269	159	+110	Down	-$77	05-04 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:15 UTC	11	$326	274	182	+92	Up	-$59	04-24 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:15 UTC	1	$320	512	0	+512	Down	-$320	04-24 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:50 UTC	13	$313	472	0	+472	Up	+$9	04-14 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:00 UTC	7	$307	759	0	+759	Up	+$152	04-15 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:50 UTC	4	$304	277	272	+6	Down	-$95	04-13 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$300	296	246	+50	Up	+$19	05-08 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:20 UTC	9	$291	618	0	+618	Up	+$85	04-21 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 10:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xaac578…
10-13 10:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0d1472…
10-13 10:00:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4a45bf…
10-13 09:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x33edc5…
10-13 09:54:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe206f0…
10-13 09:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe16923…
10-13 04:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xc531a1…
10-13 04:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x55ece5…
10-13 03:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x32277c…
10-13 03:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa431f2…
10-13 02:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xcece97…
10-13 02:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x27486a…
10-13 02:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcd06bc…
10-13 02:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3ea72f…
10-13 01:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x6b64e5…
10-13 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc121d3…
10-13 00:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x84eee1…
10-13 00:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3550a2…
10-12 12:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xce3bd6…
10-12 09:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3d1da2…
10-12 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcddee6…
10-12 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x6b9e08…
10-12 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1eb535…
10-12 09:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x54b3ca…
10-12 08:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf0d7a9…
10-12 08:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbed343…
10-12 08:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xafb209…
10-12 08:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x96a7e9…
10-12 08:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x08469d…
10-12 08:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x62f45a…
10-12 03:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x6d2357…
10-12 03:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x928cd8…
10-12 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf99563…
10-12 02:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a26b1…
10-12 02:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x979532…
10-12 02:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc69a7d…
10-12 02:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xbe05c6…
10-12 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc96ea6…
10-12 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xa25791…
10-12 00:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0640fb…
10-11 15:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x147bf1…
10-11 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x285c13…
10-11 14:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x5e6038…
10-11 14:43:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3f8da4…
10-11 12:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x90b966…
10-11 12:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6da0b6…
10-11 08:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x11e47d…
10-11 08:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x63d041…
10-11 07:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x56918b…
10-11 07:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5c1c0…
10-11 06:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x1390d4…
10-11 06:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x296f0c…
10-10 04:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeab98b…
10-05 09:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf1456d…
10-04 09:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x227e00…
10-04 09:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc27860…
10-04 09:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf323a8…
05-20 14:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1604a1…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xf20c2c…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xbc1a6f…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x213193…
05-20 13:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe25092…
05-20 13:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x85c7fd…
05-17 10:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x253d7a…
05-16 18:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xe09c85…
05-16 18:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x43b653…
05-16 09:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf3d08b…
05-16 03:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x058483…
05-16 03:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd4b210…
05-16 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6784bd…
05-16 03:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x89a3c7…
05-16 03:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x25d51a…
05-14 03:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x93da18…
05-14 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa9165d…
05-13 16:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x4c37a4…
05-13 16:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6c399a…
05-13 13:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	97	11¢	$11	0x99d3c1…
05-13 13:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	97	59¢	$57	0x860f41…
05-13 12:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x76745c…
05-13 11:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5a4921…
05-13 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5ab7c…
05-13 11:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x078ae9…
05-13 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0fa065…
05-13 11:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x93cad0…
05-13 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba5427…
05-12 15:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe520e0…
05-12 14:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	90¢	$34	0xcc6a52…
05-12 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x32e0fc…
05-12 14:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x55d258…
05-12 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5f3322…
05-12 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x00b84d…
05-12 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xcee528…
05-12 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x55abdf…
05-12 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2520cc…
05-12 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xe9843f…
05-12 13:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x1e8c4f…
05-12 12:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xf65698…
05-12 12:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63c31f…
05-12 12:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6b7313…
05-12 12:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x71fb14…