Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$923
$2 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$8,526
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 01:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1
vs crowd: 15% YES on $905)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $128 | $109 | +$19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $9 | $659 | $651 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 6 | $25 | $66 | $42 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $0 | $527 | $527 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $110 | $64 | +$46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fancy-Restroom 0x576f…720d | Down | +516 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | +515 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 00:53 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | +459 | $90 | $106 | 17 | 05-12 00:53 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | +136 | $24 | $24 | 8 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Required-Dessert 0x0710…0f96 | Down | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 00:53 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | +80 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | +56 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Up | +41 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | Down | +41 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | +26 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Dramatic-Issue 0xa350…06e7 | Up | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 00:47 |
| Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Up | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Courteous-Skean 0x297c…8cf7 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3898…bc3a | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:23 |
| Tight-Bronco 0x7fde…0ab6 | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd8…560e | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 01:23:29 | Hearty-Steak 0xa71a…4cc7 | Down | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x2063cd… |
| 05-12 00:53:36 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcbb0f5… |
| 05-12 00:53:11 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xc0d0be… |
| 05-12 00:53:06 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | BUY | 215 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe53749… |
| 05-12 00:53:04 | Required-Dessert 0x0710…0f96 | Down | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x79ceb4… |
| 05-12 00:48:24 | Courteous-Skean 0x297c…8cf7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf540cd… |
| 05-12 00:47:58 | Dramatic-Issue 0xa350…06e7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x528bc1… |
| 05-12 00:43:44 | Fancy-Restroom 0x576f…720d | Down | BUY | 516 | 97¢ | $500 | 0x0fdfdb… |
| 05-12 00:43:39 | Tight-Bronco 0x7fde…0ab6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbaedee… |
| 05-12 00:38:43 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x0eb7c1… |
| 05-12 00:38:08 | Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Up | BUY | 21 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x9721e4… |
| 05-12 00:38:08 | Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Up | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x0cef8d… |
| 05-12 00:38:08 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xbaa8d6… |
| 05-12 00:38:08 | Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Up | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x4c2680… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x77ba69… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xe3592d… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 42 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x6d9feb… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x95f8f4… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x25fb3a… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x2a883f… |
| 05-12 00:38:05 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x7d3b8f… |
| 05-12 00:38:03 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x2a689e… |
| 05-12 00:33:39 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Down | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x3f2d25… |
| 05-12 00:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x17f752… |
| 05-12 00:28:39 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x238d60… |
| 05-12 00:28:39 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x43c0ee… |
| 05-12 00:28:39 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xd6732d… |
| 05-12 00:28:36 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3e02d9… |
| 05-12 00:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x8ff27b… |
| 05-12 00:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x3898…bc3a | Up | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xdaefc0… |
| 05-12 00:23:09 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xaac313… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xdf172d… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 22 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xf0d965… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 13 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x7ddba6… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x252b95… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x18ca2d… |
| 05-12 00:19:04 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0x8d1f00… |
| 05-12 00:19:04 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x6306c6… |
| 05-12 00:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x3c6a84… |
| 05-12 00:18:43 | Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Down | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x62dd5d… |
| 05-12 00:18:23 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x9dc306… |
| 05-12 00:18:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xe5d862… |
| 05-12 00:13:14 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xa65899… |
| 05-12 00:13:14 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x2f9da4… |
| 05-12 00:12:44 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 25 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xcf52d1… |
| 05-12 00:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x0f03c8… |
| 05-12 00:08:00 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x044f2e… |
| 05-12 00:07:50 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 31¢ | $15 | 0xb5498a… |
| 05-12 00:07:32 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 40 | 34¢ | $13 | 0x2af0e8… |
| 05-12 00:07:31 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x7d20cb… |
| 05-12 00:06:29 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xeeb848… |
| 05-12 00:03:43 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | SELL | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xc9facd… |
| 05-12 00:03:10 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x0d8907… |
| 05-12 00:02:31 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 43 | 42¢ | $18 | 0x8f7b81… |
| 05-12 00:02:17 | Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | Down | BUY | 41 | 58¢ | $24 | 0x3b7328… |
| 05-11 00:03:12 | (anonymous) 0xecd8…560e | Down | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x2f1f30… |