Exalted-Rebel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$169

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

537 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$32.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

47% 76% +$198

Other

34% 80% +$493

Crypto

17% 74% -$350

Tech

1% 100% +$26

Sports

1% 50% -$89

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		-600	-$209	7¢	$-40	+$169	05-16 23:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on january 9 2026	17	$1.3K	926	400	+526	No	+$4	01-10 23:24
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	1	$1000	1,006	0	+1,006	No	+$6	01-16 07:48
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$875	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	06-19 02:43
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	1	$776	800	0	+800	No	+$24	02-03 15:19
will israel strike gaza on january 11 2026	11	$745	709	655	+54	Yes	-$161	01-11 01:07
will israel strike gaza on january 16 2026	22	$709	703	200	+503	No	-$4	01-19 00:16
will israel strike gaza on january 6 2026	6	$598	602	0	+602	No	+$4	01-08 16:49
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	5	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$2	01-31 01:26
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$592	600	0	+600	No	+$8	04-13 01:33
will israel strike gaza on january 15 2026	22	$573	700	400	+300	Yes	-$161	01-16 06:02
si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318	5	$561	600	0	+600	No	+$39	01-16 12:03
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	4	$495	511	0	+511	No	+$16	01-31 07:05
will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	3	$494	500	0	+500	No	+$6	01-26 22:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	1	$460	500	0	+500	No	+$40	03-02 09:29
si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	4	$456	232	232	+0	No	+$7	01-31 03:09
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	1	$400	406	0	+406	Yes	+$6	05-21 07:17
will israel strike gaza on january 19 2026	8	$399	407	0	+407	No	+$8	01-21 03:42
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$395	405	0	+405	No	+$10	05-15 11:33
will trump talk to yoon suk yeol in february	5	$394	400	0	+400	No	+$6	02-05 05:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$390	200	326	-126	Yes	-$1	02-13 23:58
will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	6	$389	200	200	+0	No	+$9	01-31 05:53
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	5	$386	219	219	+0	No	+$12	02-02 04:52
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$369	400	0	+400	No	+$31	03-02 09:33
sea com bol 2026 01 10 com	5	$363	397	66	+331	No	+$14	01-10 15:59
will israel strike gaza on january 4 2026	4	$362	370	0	+370	No	+$8	01-06 05:57
will israel strike gaza on january 12 2026	14	$361	460	200	+260	Yes	-$23	01-12 03:55
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	3	$336	350	0	+350	No	+$14	06-10 15:46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$320	500	0	+500	Yes	+$180	01-15 04:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 12:15 UTC	4	$307	339	0	+339	Down	+$0	02-12 12:19
will israel strike gaza on january 2 2026	4	$306	310	0	+310	No	+$4	01-03 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 12:19:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x293407…
06-19 02:43:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x8673df…
06-14 02:35:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x37da1e…
06-13 23:25:09	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	No	BUY	123	88¢	$108	0x75bf7f…
06-13 23:24:34	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x99ecdd…
06-13 23:24:27	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x5a4537…
06-11 19:30:22	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	85¢	$217	0xbf6f93…
06-11 16:26:21	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0x9635b9…
06-11 15:24:52	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x18cea7…
06-10 15:46:58	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	187	96¢	$179	0x97e202…
06-10 14:57:30	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0x27f6d9…
06-10 14:02:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5307c0…
06-10 14:02:21	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x5217e3…
06-10 14:02:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22452b…
06-10 01:46:46	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xef81b2…
06-10 01:41:48	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x320f2e…
06-10 01:41:39	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x098c2e…
06-10 01:41:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xea4d11…
06-10 01:41:03	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb424ea…
06-10 01:40:52	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc5b764…
06-10 01:39:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea9b65…
06-10 01:38:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e66e7…
05-26 23:47:11	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x52c752…
05-25 01:48:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdb4ef0…
05-21 07:20:24	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5d44e0…
05-21 07:20:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x574512…
05-21 07:18:17	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	290	91¢	$264	0xaf45a9…
05-21 07:17:12	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	406	99¢	$400	0xbd5721…
05-16 23:42:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	600	35¢	$209	0x15ec80…
05-16 23:40:39	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x17c63e…
05-15 12:10:10	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	240	92¢	$221	0x5ba9dd…
05-15 11:34:19	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0xc9fc66…
05-15 11:34:09	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6276b8…
05-15 11:33:46	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0xcb6b91…
05-15 11:33:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xdace8f…
05-15 11:31:52	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xd5d0dc…
05-09 10:04:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf0b66d…
05-09 10:03:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x533876…
04-14 09:19:09	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xde8090…
04-14 09:14:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xba186b…
04-14 09:13:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	99	43¢	$43	0xca578d…
04-13 08:49:19	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xee2911…
04-13 03:12:57	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e57ad…
04-13 03:12:55	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd28a9…
04-13 03:12:55	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58c7c8…
04-13 01:52:53	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe19a1f…
04-13 01:46:31	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x22c64d…
04-13 01:33:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x453f00…
04-13 01:31:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x510cbb…
04-13 01:30:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x1d46b4…
04-05 16:57:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x62d0cd…
04-05 16:57:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x06cc28…
04-05 01:19:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0x54dc1e…
04-05 01:17:49	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$394	0xd43858…
03-19 12:00:41	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x3567b2…
03-09 00:31:39	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x742479…
03-02 09:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9eaa63…
03-02 09:33:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	366	92¢	$338	0xc386fb…
03-02 09:32:03	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x0db2ec…
03-02 09:31:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	429	51¢	$219	0xf6603a…
03-02 09:31:23	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8c1ed1…
03-02 09:30:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x7d5052…
03-02 09:30:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x4aaa71…
03-02 09:29:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x42f65f…
03-01 01:31:05	will dawn buckingham come in 3rd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0x0217fe…
03-01 01:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x249941…
03-01 01:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0a79be…
02-28 00:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8efb78…
02-28 00:04:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x08b41a…
02-27 23:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x4bac17…
02-27 23:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca91ae…
02-27 23:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x23d21b…
02-17 11:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb90bcd…
02-16 15:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6b53f5…
02-16 15:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe0e181…
02-16 07:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xed8b6a…
02-16 07:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9e696f…
02-16 07:38:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfdfcbd…
02-16 07:38:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x72c233…
02-16 07:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x6848d2…
02-15 13:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8c1f4…
02-15 13:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa27084…
02-15 13:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31be74…
02-15 07:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf239d8…
02-15 07:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb318c0…
02-15 07:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0xf937d8…
02-15 07:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xe38447…
02-15 07:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd671fe…
02-15 04:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0x030239…
02-15 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xfef442…
02-15 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0xc9fc86…
02-15 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x74fe4e…
02-15 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x57f8b1…
02-15 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x50edf2…
02-15 04:04:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0xc5514d…
02-15 04:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdc3b9e…
02-15 04:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb4c7de…
02-15 04:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x3b266b…
02-15 04:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x12bd0d…
02-15 04:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x628f09…