Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$737

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$113

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-03 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$7

Other

36% 100% +$5

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+43	$40	98¢	$42	+$2	08-22 07:10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+41	$40	99¢	$41	+$1	08-16 07:38
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+31	$30	97¢	$30	+$0	11-03 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$0	02-23 19:17
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	01-04 19:24
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$1	02-23 19:18
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	03-10 09:58
will bnb dip to 400 in february	1	$44	46	0	+46	No	+$1	02-03 10:12
will bnb reach 1200 in february	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$1	02-03 10:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$40	44	0	+44	Yes	+$4	03-10 09:58
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	08-22 07:10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	08-16 07:38
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	03-10 10:13
will bnb dip to 400 in january	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-04 19:27
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	11-03 19:10
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-04 19:16
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	08-24 02:09
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	11-03 19:09
will bnb dip to 300 in march	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-10 09:57
will ink launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	08-09 08:03
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-04 19:25
Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	11-03 19:09
will risex launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174012704	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	08-09 07:55
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-24 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:10:13	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf30000…
11-03 19:09:43	Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1a56f4…
11-03 19:09:30	Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x00e8c4…
08-24 02:09:36	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb5517a…
08-22 07:10:30	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x1d36bb…
08-16 07:38:01	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xd85001…
08-09 08:03:19	will ink launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x302ace…
08-09 07:55:45	will risex launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174012704	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xae94d4…
07-24 18:14:04	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x620fdf…
03-10 10:13:09	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xe680fb…
03-10 09:58:19	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x178309…
03-10 09:58:03	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x9e109d…
03-10 09:57:45	will bnb dip to 300 in march	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9a4cb…
02-23 19:18:18	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xcf1d66…
02-23 19:17:58	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xc98a9c…
02-03 10:12:46	will bnb dip to 400 in february	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x1f8622…
02-03 10:12:22	will bnb reach 1200 in february	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x68c82b…
01-22 13:59:52	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xdb1cd2…
01-04 19:27:25	will bnb dip to 400 in january	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd78c66…
01-04 19:25:45	Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2169d1…
01-04 19:24:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x20afba…
01-04 19:16:55	Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x788ad5…