Wide-Cation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$687

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-15 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% — —

Other

35% 67% $-5

Crypto

8% 67% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$201	112	112	+0	open	—	05-09 03:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$164	160	35	+125	open	—	05-25 08:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$161	190	0	+190	open	—	06-02 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-06 13:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$21	0	21	-21	open	—	06-15 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 11:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 19:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-10 13:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-07 21:26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-10 18:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	06-15 08:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinski	2	$7	4	4	+0	Cristian Garin	+$1	05-05 10:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot	2	$6	3	3	+0	Barbora Krejcikova	+$0	05-05 10:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Simona Waltert	2	$6	9	0	+9	Simona Waltert	$-6	05-05 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 08:07:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa55b2a…
06-15 08:07:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd00a62…
06-02 20:27:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	190	85¢	$161	0xc91b89…
05-25 08:39:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xda53ec…
05-18 11:34:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x89f075…
05-11 19:54:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x168b4b…
05-10 18:25:45	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1c7a8c…
05-10 13:22:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x28974d…
05-09 03:29:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	112	90¢	$101	0xaadae9…
05-08 20:36:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa3bf0d…
05-07 21:26:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x528f77…
05-07 14:07:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0xabd6ea…
05-06 16:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xdb567a…
05-06 13:29:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0x9c3a1a…
05-06 05:46:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6c1f5b…
05-05 16:57:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x868d1e…
05-05 14:40:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc5e0f3…
05-05 14:36:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xe49227…
05-05 12:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x864557…
05-05 12:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6e521c…
05-05 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xba6509…
05-05 12:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb2bce8…
05-05 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x73323b…
05-05 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa82eef…
05-05 11:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc392e4…
05-05 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb98b6d…
05-05 11:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xf8ac19…
05-05 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x212e71…
05-05 11:10:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Simona Waltert	Yue Yuan	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x43a7fc…
05-05 11:02:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Simona Waltert	Yue Yuan	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x5695cc…
05-05 10:55:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot	Barbora Krejcikova	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x641220…
05-05 10:45:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinski	Cristian Garin	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x97fa8d…
05-05 10:24:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot	Barbora Krejcikova	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x4bd2be…
05-05 10:08:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jan Choinski	Cristian Garin	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x5100de…
05-05 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad3e5b…
05-05 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdca4ae…
05-05 09:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd19db7…
05-05 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7bc14f…
05-05 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x906768…
05-05 09:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xce70e0…
05-05 09:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb1187…
05-05 09:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x25da0e…
05-05 09:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x63cb76…