Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

253

Trades

753

lifetime

Volume

$364

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-29 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

63% 67% -$30

Sports

24% 54% -$5

Crypto

8% 75% -$14

Tech

5% 44% -$7

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	+2	$1	92¢	$2	+$1	07-27 21:44
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+2	$1	64¢	$1	+$0	10-26 20:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	07-24 06:03
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	07-01 23:06
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	07-27 21:44
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	+1	$1	68¢	$1	$0	10-27 03:42
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+2	$1	10¢	$0	-$1	07-27 21:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?	13	$12	42	2	+40	No	-$12	06-21 15:44
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	7	$7	9	8	+2	Under	-$1	06-30 22:42
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	8	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	+$3	06-21 15:10
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	6	$6	24	0	+24	Spain	-$6	06-21 09:36
Mavericks vs. Heat	6	$6	34	0	+34	Mavericks	-$2	10-27 02:02
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	27	$5	50	39	+11	No	+$1	06-29 18:57
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$5	8	7	+1	No	+$4	06-27 21:00
bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	5	$5	900	0	+900	Yes	-$5	06-21 10:01
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	8	$5	5	4	+1	Over	+$2	06-27 04:30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	28	$5	6	3	+3	No	-$1	06-28 00:22
Cowboys vs. Eagles	4	$4	8	0	+8	Cowboys	-$2	10-27 02:23
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?	4	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	06-27 04:30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	5	$4	3	1	+3	Yes	+$0	06-21 16:30
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	21	$4	8	6	+2	No	$0	06-26 08:05
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	11	$3	3	1	+1	Over	+$0	06-22 01:44
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	4	$3	792	57	+735	No	-$3	06-21 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	3	$3	54	0	+54	Yes	-$3	06-22 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	3	$3	18	0	+18	No	-$3	07-27 03:06
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	12	$3	4	3	+1	Yes	+$2	06-22 00:32
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-26 07:55
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	11	$2	6	1	+5	No	+$0	07-14 21:08
Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	14	$2	39	17	+22	No	-$2	06-29 18:56
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	11	$2	19	10	+10	Yes	-$2	07-03 10:56
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	06-30 22:29
Will Ghana be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	3	$2	71	1	+70	No	-$2	06-24 06:15
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	$0	06-28 00:10
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	07-15 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	2	$2	24	0	+24	Yes	-$2	06-22 05:34
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 30?	2	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	06-29 23:48
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	2	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	-$2	06-21 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:13:49	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb45cd3…
10-28 20:03:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6c7a5…
10-27 03:42:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd9cf9a…
10-27 02:23:23	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8e562c…
10-27 02:23:12	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3c498e…
10-27 02:23:08	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x30be1d…
10-27 02:23:08	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ad56b…
10-27 02:02:02	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x39426f…
10-27 02:01:27	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfbe473…
10-27 01:54:26	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5aed81…
10-27 01:54:11	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf01da9…
10-27 01:54:09	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb17fb5…
10-27 01:53:47	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3a3190…
10-26 22:57:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x28ddd3…
10-26 22:55:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x77086f…
10-26 21:02:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf0e473…
10-26 20:56:45	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbe3c39…
10-26 20:15:26	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x500876…
10-06 02:22:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ac6d7…
09-16 18:07:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a6d2d…
09-16 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xc3371d…
09-16 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x9fa9f7…
09-16 18:00:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x0934e4…
09-10 14:19:16	Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x653b03…
09-10 12:40:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x155a68…
08-01 06:09:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x542917…
07-27 21:44:51	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe49182…
07-27 21:44:51	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31e735…
07-27 21:44:49	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcfb261…
07-27 15:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3c2ef5…
07-27 03:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x780e16…
07-27 03:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb5c016…
07-27 03:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x757780…
07-27 03:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe8546f…
07-27 01:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0b09a1…
07-25 06:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd3ac21…
07-25 06:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x661a11…
07-25 06:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x088262…
07-24 20:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6dacc…
07-24 16:34:00	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc95955…
07-24 14:47:57	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x49643f…
07-24 14:46:09	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x828489…
07-24 14:25:15	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x5a4582…
07-24 14:25:15	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x1772cc…
07-24 14:13:18	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x5a17bb…
07-24 13:05:52	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xd4fe08…
07-24 06:03:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7560b3…
07-23 22:55:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8bdc2…
07-23 22:50:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x41925c…
07-22 22:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xafe9b8…
07-21 21:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x208a2b…
07-21 21:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x587a9c…
07-21 12:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb77bb2…
07-20 22:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72a095…
07-20 22:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xf43b90…
07-20 19:40:46	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x691bca…
07-20 13:14:40	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad124a…
07-20 00:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3e2c3d…
07-20 00:21:43	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x331bda…
07-20 00:21:42	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdc10de…
07-20 00:21:42	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb5e86d…
07-20 00:21:42	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5c0b7d…
07-20 00:09:03	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6029a…
07-20 00:07:55	Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x676f24…
07-19 21:44:04	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x25a484…
07-19 21:44:03	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xa22302…
07-19 21:42:30	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x746cdd…
07-19 01:09:40	Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd06c3…
07-15 20:13:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x6522e1…
07-14 23:15:16	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4cb016…
07-14 23:12:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xec313d…
07-14 23:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?	No	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x6bb95b…
07-14 23:03:47	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8603c3…
07-14 21:08:43	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe6d114…
07-14 20:46:52	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbd33b8…
07-14 20:33:20	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x492c6e…
07-14 20:20:34	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x33b39a…
07-14 20:02:22	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xc47fcb…
07-14 14:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb6de2f…
07-14 14:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x867cf3…
07-13 00:06:59	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x89ebff…
07-12 22:17:55	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4ebe11…
07-12 18:56:05	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x7a35a9…
07-12 18:52:10	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf3f05b…
07-12 18:52:10	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28c15b…
07-11 17:01:20	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x3e35aa…
07-11 16:40:29	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xaef842…
07-11 16:17:02	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2cdff6…
07-11 16:08:37	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xfec02b…
07-11 15:19:56	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xcc6508…
07-11 01:52:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45ad7c…
07-11 01:51:08	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9ddb4c…
07-10 23:37:38	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c1b21…
07-10 23:33:40	Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f9684…
07-10 23:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7f6fa0…
07-10 23:23:16	mlb sea tb 2026 07 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbea6c6…
07-10 23:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6691e9…
07-10 21:15:52	Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa28f6…
07-10 20:49:34	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb46598…
07-10 20:23:28	Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x7a8f70…