Quirky-Serial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$519

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-05 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$39

Other

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-56	$-13	22¢	$-13	+$0	07-03 04:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$8.9K	8,215	9,421	-1,206	open	—	06-01 12:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 19	2	$2.3K	1,134	1,133	+1	open	—	04-19 16:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 16	2	$2.1K	1,085	1,080	+5	open	—	04-16 17:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 15	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,021	+2	open	—	04-15 18:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 21	2	$1.1K	1,176	0	+1,176	open	—	04-21 14:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	1	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	04-19 16:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	1	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	04-16 17:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	3	$1.1K	1,126	0	+1,126	open	—	04-26 01:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	2	$999	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	04-23 02:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 14	1	$989	997	0	+997	open	—	04-13 23:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 13	1	$977	990	0	+990	open	—	04-13 04:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$922	0	1,481	-1,481	open	—	05-25 11:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	1	$822	829	0	+829	open	—	04-27 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$720	595	595	+0	open	—	05-21 00:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 22	1	$674	688	0	+688	open	—	04-22 14:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?	2	$552	569	0	+569	open	—	04-25 14:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 24	1	$500	521	0	+521	open	—	04-23 23:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	1	$300	312	0	+312	open	—	04-22 00:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	2	$300	330	0	+330	open	—	04-28 00:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$200	276	0	+276	open	—	04-22 12:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$200	267	0	+267	No	+$67	05-05 00:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$200	217	0	+217	open	—	04-27 02:02
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	1	$200	209	0	+209	open	—	05-01 15:00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	04-27 03:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$45	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 13:03
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$36	51	0	+51	open	—	07-05 04:44
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$33	35	0	+35	open	—	07-04 07:08
will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	07-03 02:44
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	06-25 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$15	36	0	+36	Up	+$21	05-10 13:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 04:44:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x9bb3ae…
07-04 07:08:19	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0xfe4edb…
07-03 05:46:19	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x49b09e…
07-03 05:44:11	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa03b35…
07-03 04:01:43	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	23¢	$13	0x22761f…
07-03 02:44:53	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb6316b…
06-25 02:58:52	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5a328f…
06-01 12:57:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0x629718…
06-01 12:09:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x53e7c7…
06-01 12:07:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,887	20¢	$1,578	0xcd5e75…
06-01 12:07:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,534	23¢	$350	0x852d6d…
05-31 06:30:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,399	85¢	$2,885	0xcc6854…
05-30 12:57:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,561	90¢	$1,401	0x7f0db0…
05-29 19:03:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,734	85¢	$2,316	0xc670f8…
05-25 12:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x55bb18…
05-25 11:40:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,481	62¢	$922	0x32a10c…
05-21 00:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	595	37¢	$220	0xa9e78a…
05-10 13:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9b161e…
05-10 13:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2b6d75…
05-10 13:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb02236…
05-10 13:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x93a579…
05-10 13:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfb6208…
05-10 13:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0x6e717d…
05-10 13:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa00b91…
05-05 00:48:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xb5303d…
05-05 00:48:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x236199…
05-01 15:00:30	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	Jannik Sinner	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xec7b1a…
04-28 00:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x9e72d7…
04-28 00:45:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5cbe3a…
04-27 03:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	829	99¢	$822	0xeb2e0c…
04-27 03:43:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x2f17d0…
04-27 02:02:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xff5893…
04-26 01:37:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	588	97¢	$568	0x9382c9…
04-25 14:22:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	466	97¢	$452	0x015df0…
04-25 14:20:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7a3642…
04-25 04:30:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x9b026b…
04-24 23:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x110382…
04-23 23:26:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 24	No	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x28249b…
04-23 02:11:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	No	BUY	722	97¢	$699	0x609c52…
04-23 00:49:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	No	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x407f7a…
04-22 14:46:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	688	98¢	$674	0x5d9e46…
04-22 12:35:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	276	72¢	$200	0xf047e6…
04-22 00:31:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xe5afca…
04-21 14:06:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 21	No	BUY	853	99¢	$846	0xa72236…
04-21 00:23:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 21	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x65a25c…
04-19 16:49:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	No	BUY	1,147	99¢	$1,132	0x388e4c…
04-19 16:48:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 19	No	SELL	1,133	100¢	$1,132	0x928d15…
04-18 00:32:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 19	No	BUY	1,134	99¢	$1,121	0x4163f5…
04-16 17:46:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	No	BUY	1,124	96¢	$1,079	0xab5754…
04-16 17:45:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 16	No	SELL	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0xea94db…
04-15 18:01:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 16	No	BUY	1,085	94¢	$1,020	0x9af081…
04-15 18:01:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 15	No	SELL	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x8e8b2d…
04-15 00:45:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 15	No	BUY	1,023	97¢	$996	0x8f1a30…
04-13 23:42:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 14	No	BUY	997	99¢	$989	0x5f1396…
04-13 04:04:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 13	No	BUY	990	99¢	$977	0xeabc85…