Rough-Efficiency — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

430 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-22 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

97% 89% +$68

Politics

2% 80% -$69

Crypto

1% 100% +$7

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 2?	12	$438	221	221	+0	No	+$4	05-02 22:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	3	$411	208	208	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?	4	$381	192	192	+0	Yes	+$3	05-27 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on May 26?	6	$372	189	189	+0	No	+$6	05-26 23:08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 25?	4	$365	192	192	+0	No	+$17	05-25 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 26?	2	$346	176	176	+0	No	+$5	05-26 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 25?	3	$341	173	173	+0	No	+$5	05-25 18:39
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 28?	3	$335	169	169	+0	Yes	+$2	05-29 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?	4	$313	158	158	+0	No	+$3	05-24 20:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?	2	$308	260	51	+209	Yes	+$2	05-09 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	4	$306	155	155	+0	No	+$2	06-10 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on May 24?	3	$306	222	89	+133	No	+$4	05-24 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 29?	4	$302	153	153	+0	No	+$2	05-29 21:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31?	2	$297	151	151	+0	No	+$4	05-31 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?	2	$276	141	141	+0	No	+$3	05-25 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 10?	1	$258	263	0	+263	Yes	+$5	06-10 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?	3	$255	129	129	+0	No	+$2	05-25 18:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 26?	3	$251	256	0	+256	No	+$5	05-27 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 30?	4	$244	123	123	+0	No	+$1	05-31 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?	3	$242	122	122	+0	No	+$2	05-30 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 23?	2	$238	205	37	+168	No	+$4	05-23 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?	10	$233	126	126	+0	No	+$7	05-04 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	5	$230	254	8	+246	Yes	+$32	05-31 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 28?	3	$221	112	112	+0	No	+$3	05-28 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?	4	$220	111	111	+0	No	+$2	05-29 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	3	$218	113	113	+0	No	+$8	05-27 15:40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	6	$217	236	0	+236	Yes	+$19	05-30 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 25?	3	$215	158	64	+94	No	+$6	05-26 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?	1	$210	212	0	+212	Yes	+$2	05-17 23:03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 15?	2	$205	207	0	+207	No	+$1	05-15 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 14:53:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x6daa38…
06-20 01:58:38	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x46eec5…
06-12 16:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x975155…
06-12 16:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x4f1049…
06-12 16:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa1d1f0…
06-12 16:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xd3dffe…
06-12 16:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9d0f9e…
06-12 16:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x6fa0ce…
06-12 16:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	107	96¢	$102	0x4d0dfb…
06-12 15:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7d5f11…
06-12 15:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x5a43f9…
06-12 15:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0xefe637…
06-12 15:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x30abca…
06-12 15:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xa18bfb…
06-12 15:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0xdbc721…
06-12 15:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0xbabc4c…
06-12 15:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x93a851…
06-10 23:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	263	98¢	$258	0x7323fb…
06-10 23:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xd0ae8a…
06-10 23:53:18	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe5ead2…
06-10 21:45:24	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfada57…
06-10 21:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x2c98d1…
06-10 14:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd0cd87…
06-10 14:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xf4ed58…
06-10 14:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xb395a9…
06-10 13:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x4831f2…
06-10 13:58:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x4d3ebe…
06-10 13:57:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x84ed09…
06-10 13:54:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4785d3…
06-10 13:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x903451…
06-10 13:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xac9217…
06-10 13:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x53c27c…
06-08 15:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2ed04c…
06-08 15:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x904142…
06-08 15:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x138300…
06-08 15:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xa2999c…
06-08 15:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x410e2b…
06-08 15:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xfea24d…
06-08 15:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x534a24…
06-08 15:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x2d3473…
06-08 15:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 8?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xad0d70…
06-05 16:07:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xa65dbc…
06-05 15:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x1cc8fc…
06-05 13:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x4611c8…
06-03 21:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x3531cc…
06-03 21:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x4b4939…
05-31 22:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 31?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$101	0x462500…
05-31 21:56:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xf59bee…
05-31 19:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd03a37…
05-31 18:56:16	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	SELL	52	6¢	$3	0xd1e8ea…
05-31 18:56:11	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x1d4ede…
05-31 13:48:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x426a59…
05-31 01:27:47	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	BUY	98	87¢	$86	0x4ea6c0…
05-31 01:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xab9cde…
05-31 01:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 30?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0x3917d6…
05-30 22:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0xc56dc2…
05-30 22:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9cf10b…
05-30 22:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x89287c…
05-30 22:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 30?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x854a27…
05-30 21:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x93b527…
05-30 21:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0e3bd2…
05-30 20:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0x433595…
05-30 20:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xfbc6b4…
05-30 20:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	86	88¢	$76	0x2c6ce2…
05-30 20:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xe889ad…
05-30 20:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	93	83¢	$77	0x81eb33…
05-30 19:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4dd35a…
05-30 19:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 30?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xfe8e43…
05-30 19:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x86cf4a…
05-30 19:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 30?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x6e8b01…
05-30 19:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf55a9f…
05-30 19:13:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd2e1b9…
05-30 15:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x11655d…
05-30 15:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xeaec08…
05-30 14:32:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x2dacbf…
05-30 14:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4e5361…
05-30 13:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x21d09a…
05-30 11:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x95794d…
05-30 11:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xca7f34…
05-30 11:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x62742c…
05-30 11:13:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x51d5cd…
05-30 01:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x120118…
05-30 01:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x37437d…
05-30 00:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 29?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x2b26c4…
05-30 00:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe295eb…
05-30 00:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xf452e6…
05-30 00:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7d5c76…
05-30 00:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0xfefd5c…
05-30 00:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x05cfd3…
05-29 23:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x6e65e5…
05-29 22:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x597ae8…
05-29 21:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x3475a2…
05-29 21:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x008ab1…
05-29 21:41:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xa848f2…
05-29 21:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 29?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xc36993…
05-29 21:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x8d8a5f…
05-29 21:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x424bc1…
05-29 18:54:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 29?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe5bc63…
05-29 18:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x18cb79…
05-29 15:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0x13c5df…