Obedient-Tugboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

184

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$275

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 85% -$206

Other

26% 74% +$76

Sports

16% 73% +$88

Politics

13% 82% -$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+100	$93	97¢	$97	+$4	07-01 10:47
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$83	96¢	$96	+$13	05-05 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+110	$90	56¢	$61	-$29	07-01 10:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$81	11¢	$10	-$70	07-01 13:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-50	-$19	21¢	$-10	+$9	05-05 02:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	8	$1.6K	821	821	+0	No	+$19	03-29 14:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	7	$1.2K	962	241	+722	Yes	+$9	04-03 02:40
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	9	$980	584	546	+38	Yes	-$95	02-09 17:07
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	3	$725	367	367	+0	Yes	+$8	02-09 16:51
will great britain record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 612	4	$656	330	330	+0	Yes	+$3	02-14 08:43
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	3	$435	445	0	+445	No	+$10	04-24 03:38
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	4	$331	181	181	+0	No	+$31	03-13 22:12
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	3	$254	130	130	+0	No	+$4	01-21 19:20
bitcoin above 74k on february 8	2	$254	100	156	-56	No	+$1	02-08 16:04
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$241	256	0	+256	No	+$15	03-31 14:23
bitcoin above 70k on february 11	4	$225	116	116	+0	No	+$7	02-11 16:24
bitcoin above 72k on february 8	7	$202	209	0	+209	No	+$7	02-08 16:16
will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026	1	$199	0	200	-200	No	-$1	03-12 08:28
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$192	200	0	+200	No	+$8	07-01 11:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$191	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	03-30 21:04
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	3	$188	200	0	+200	No	+$12	06-05 14:29
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$171	175	0	+175	No	+$4	02-24 20:34
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$169	172	0	+172	No	+$3	02-19 17:16
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$164	172	0	+172	No	+$8	02-21 05:34
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	2	$157	80	80	+0	No	+$3	02-09 16:07
bitcoin above 74k on february 9	3	$153	79	79	+0	No	+$5	02-09 16:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$152	160	0	+160	No	+$8	05-06 06:05
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$150	155	0	+155	Yes	+$5	06-21 05:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	3	$148	160	0	+160	No	+$12	05-06 06:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$143	150	0	+150	No	+$7	05-05 02:18
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	1	$134	143	0	+143	Yes	-$134	03-29 13:52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$134	160	50	+110	open	—	07-01 12:24
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$129	133	0	+133	No	+$4	04-05 21:30
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$1	02-19 19:48
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$1	02-10 06:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:48:37	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xbe0dc1…
07-01 22:44:37	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x71be87…
07-01 22:42:10	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4d4298…
07-01 21:22:43	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe909d0…
07-01 21:18:04	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xeeff5b…
07-01 13:49:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0xf04a27…
07-01 12:24:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x5350b9…
07-01 11:46:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x47b668…
07-01 11:06:01	Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x4106f8…
07-01 10:59:52	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0x576107…
07-01 10:58:59	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x171ffc…
07-01 10:58:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0x69a62e…
07-01 10:55:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0x2d0ae6…
07-01 10:50:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1d4184…
07-01 10:47:38	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6af6da…
07-01 02:42:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5ca642…
07-01 02:40:10	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6e8bd0…
07-01 02:36:04	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xdc710f…
06-29 21:15:02	will sweden reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134490	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xa68b08…
06-29 13:31:26	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x8d7709…
06-29 13:28:28	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa9b824…
06-29 10:28:22	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134474	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xde5695…
06-29 10:18:38	will dr congo reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134510	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x793e5b…
06-29 05:21:01	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x5ac23a…
06-29 05:02:10	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x204590…
06-29 05:02:02	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134474	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x1d4fe7…
06-29 05:01:53	will sweden reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134490	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcadb31…
06-29 05:01:38	will austria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134504	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0bcb1d…
06-29 05:01:16	will dr congo reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134510	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xffaa79…
06-29 05:01:05	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x873d96…
06-29 04:59:34	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd1d67b…
06-29 04:58:55	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x1051e8…
06-29 04:58:41	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120742	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x8873fe…
06-29 04:58:23	will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	No	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0xf21a0d…
06-29 04:58:08	will dr congo reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120778	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8e3841…
06-29 04:57:49	will sweden reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120758	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x7b7235…
06-29 04:53:49	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x67e15b…
06-27 02:04:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xfdae43…
06-26 20:30:49	will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x73f6a9…
06-26 20:28:19	will dr congo reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120778	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa67e46…
06-26 20:26:13	will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xffb541…
06-26 20:25:46	will saudi arabia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120765	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc06ead…
06-26 20:24:47	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x901eaa…
06-26 17:23:19	will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x127d15…
06-26 17:22:46	will saudi arabia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120765	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbc27af…
06-26 17:22:23	will uzbekistan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120777	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf9b67f…
06-26 17:21:58	will new zealand reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120762	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea4cec…
06-26 04:17:02	will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x295c04…
06-26 04:16:17	will new zealand reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120762	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xb7577c…
06-26 04:15:28	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x076011…
06-26 04:14:50	will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xee01aa…
06-26 04:12:50	will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc9b1e3…
06-26 04:09:01	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xebac50…
06-26 03:58:26	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x30c7a7…
06-26 03:58:08	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbf2af1…
06-26 03:54:20	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x69b18f…
06-26 03:52:49	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x7e8095…
06-26 03:51:38	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd300c6…
06-26 03:51:28	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x19fdc4…
06-25 02:59:32	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	53	72¢	$38	0xf5b807…
06-25 02:55:41	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd254a9…
06-25 02:52:59	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x871591…
06-24 21:47:19	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x612424…
06-24 21:42:43	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4fd412…
06-24 20:21:53	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x5bd5e8…
06-24 20:17:38	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	82¢	$48	0x83333b…
06-24 02:20:44	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb21fcd…
06-24 01:28:49	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x50e818…
06-24 01:04:55	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	91¢	$83	0xdd1a58…
06-24 01:03:11	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc8b617…
06-24 01:01:41	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x23b774…
06-24 01:01:16	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x29984f…
06-24 01:00:34	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xad19dc…
06-24 00:59:59	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xaafc89…
06-24 00:59:14	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x98c587…
06-24 00:58:43	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd4cb96…
06-24 00:57:56	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc177f8…
06-24 00:57:43	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x183a3a…
06-21 20:58:08	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5174b9…
06-21 20:56:58	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x89757b…
06-21 19:52:14	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x94e929…
06-21 05:10:52	Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x99ab73…
06-21 05:08:35	Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf8de03…
06-21 05:06:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xad0171…
06-18 22:39:04	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd27dff…
06-18 21:59:05	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x219b85…
06-17 04:34:14	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbf9ce4…
06-17 02:44:58	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x5ddcad…
06-17 02:44:06	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x0298b7…
06-17 02:41:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x731207…
06-17 02:37:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x81fa5e…
06-16 18:07:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xb0f834…
06-16 17:53:34	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0xf09e2b…
06-16 17:53:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8df086…
06-16 17:51:11	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xcde997…
06-15 01:37:57	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x584179…
06-15 01:37:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xfa2ca2…
06-14 19:23:22	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa93c10…
06-14 05:35:55	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x630ba4…
06-14 05:12:10	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc50e0d…