Salty-Gauge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$261

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

367

Trades

69,746

lifetime

Volume

$475.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-02 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

73% 77% +$625

Politics

14% 73% -$434

Tech

9% 61% +$33

Sports

4% 63% +$61

Pop-Culture

0% 57% -$7

Crypto

0% 80% -$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1,232	$18.7K	19,261	18,150	+1,111	Yes	-$2,329	05-04 02:46
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1,316	$18.0K	18,955	17,631	+1,324	No	+$2,301	05-04 02:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	605	$17.5K	10,429	9,731	+698	Yes	+$75	04-28 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	663	$17.5K	10,570	13,358	-2,788	Yes	-$848	05-04 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	544	$13.2K	10,361	11,108	-747	Yes	-$1,048	04-29 15:53
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	451	$11.1K	6,258	6,250	+8	Yes	+$10	04-23 18:03
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1,107	$10.5K	16,914	17,009	-95	No	+$182	05-26 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	370	$10.4K	7,770	8,392	-623	Yes	-$216	04-25 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	360	$10.2K	6,401	7,204	-803	Yes	-$689	05-02 15:38
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	595	$8.9K	6,077	6,747	-670	Yes	-$411	04-22 15:57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	602	$8.8K	6,935	7,697	-762	No	+$463	05-24 19:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	429	$8.7K	5,928	5,635	+293	Yes	-$112	05-19 17:39
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	580	$8.7K	5,948	6,631	-683	Yes	-$300	04-20 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	489	$8.1K	12,858	13,240	-382	No	+$82	04-25 15:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	659	$7.6K	6,897	6,698	+199	Yes	-$509	05-11 16:30
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	560	$7.2K	5,620	5,928	-307	Yes	-$386	04-18 15:29
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	1,754	$7.0K	7,605	7,124	+481	No	-$69	04-10 14:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	1,116	$6.9K	5,818	5,934	-117	No	+$148	04-14 16:00
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	1,418	$6.6K	6,597	6,383	+214	Yes	+$158	04-13 15:31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	602	$6.4K	11,140	10,966	+175	No	+$216	04-27 15:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1,030	$6.1K	8,833	9,424	-592	Yes	-$468	05-09 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	376	$5.7K	4,574	5,502	-928	No	+$644	05-06 15:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	1,805	$5.6K	11,228	11,658	-430	Yes	-$213	04-14 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	404	$5.4K	3,786	3,093	+693	No	+$17	05-11 06:42
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1,262	$5.4K	21,836	22,065	-228	No	+$52	04-27 20:21
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	953	$5.4K	4,563	4,477	+86	No	-$205	04-13 15:32
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	787	$5.1K	4,842	5,880	-1,039	Yes	-$717	04-17 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	607	$5.1K	11,197	13,766	-2,568	No	+$105	05-04 16:11
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 200 219	604	$4.9K	2,809	2,692	+117	No	+$1	04-12 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	347	$4.7K	6,683	6,549	+133	No	+$351	04-25 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:55:06	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xe8ffce…
06-02 13:52:21	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xe34a91…
05-31 14:45:45	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x83c7ff…
05-31 14:45:30	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Yes	SELL	590	0¢	$1	0x149474…
05-31 14:45:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	SELL	232	0¢	$0	0x1a9d57…
05-31 14:45:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x5289b4…
05-31 14:45:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x37ed27…
05-31 14:45:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x420c27…
05-31 14:45:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xccf98e…
05-31 14:45:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x6bde2e…
05-31 14:45:02	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xbb1c09…
05-31 14:44:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Yes	SELL	237	0¢	$0	0xb2e904…
05-31 14:44:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	SELL	431	0¢	$1	0x068ed7…
05-31 14:44:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x6d8757…
05-31 14:44:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x6d9e7a…
05-31 14:44:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x8198d9…
05-31 14:44:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0xb1ed7a…
05-31 14:44:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0x9270ad…
05-31 14:44:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0x45b744…
05-31 14:44:27	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x30c199…
05-31 14:44:25	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 6% or more?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xda415e…
05-31 14:44:21	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x308a8f…
05-26 15:42:09	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	25¢	$18	0x3a8d78…
05-24 19:51:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	74	65¢	$49	0x0c0460…
05-24 17:23:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xf06689…
05-24 17:23:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x279942…
05-22 03:10:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	36	71¢	$26	0x12389d…
05-22 03:10:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xc06c2b…
05-22 03:09:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0e9875…
05-22 02:55:44	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0x1ea11b…
05-22 02:33:22	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xeb1bbf…
05-22 02:02:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x11cade…
05-22 01:57:45	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xdf6243…
05-22 01:55:25	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc837fb…
05-22 01:49:26	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x233b8d…
05-22 01:37:01	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x71787e…
05-22 01:19:03	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x5a7b2c…
05-22 01:08:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x377ebe…
05-22 01:08:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xf9961c…
05-22 00:56:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xd7d996…
05-22 00:55:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x23d931…
05-22 00:55:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x08a594…
05-22 00:49:30	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd324c1…
05-22 00:46:54	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0x691284…
05-22 00:35:00	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x69c995…
05-22 00:26:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3ff852…
05-22 00:21:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x50e23c…
05-22 00:19:47	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x5afe6b…
05-22 00:16:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x50c388…
05-22 00:15:47	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc2afa1…
05-21 23:49:29	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf32d08…
05-21 23:45:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xe4982d…
05-21 23:45:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x4766a5…
05-21 23:42:22	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xba08c4…
05-21 23:30:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5ee774…
05-21 23:29:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x44674a…
05-21 23:27:54	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x9b395f…
05-21 23:27:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x3ea17e…
05-21 23:27:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc1fe16…
05-21 23:17:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc524a7…
05-21 23:16:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x4dc393…
05-21 23:15:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x4954a0…
05-21 23:12:24	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf67d2f…
05-21 22:57:30	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x4d2491…
05-21 22:55:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x61a3f3…
05-21 22:49:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0xb8c831…
05-21 22:49:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x1d03b6…
05-21 22:44:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x9f7ebb…
05-21 22:43:55	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf47ac4…
05-21 22:43:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xcd032d…
05-21 22:40:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x516e42…
05-21 22:38:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0x3fe94a…
05-21 22:38:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a62d0…
05-21 22:37:40	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc7463b…
05-21 22:37:38	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xf93fc4…
05-21 22:37:17	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x192020…
05-21 22:21:22	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9613fb…
05-21 22:20:07	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x953043…
05-21 22:19:49	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x483e03…
05-21 22:19:30	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x308cd7…
05-21 22:19:12	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xa2427f…
05-21 22:18:39	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xdf85d6…
05-21 22:16:51	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xea3c69…
05-21 22:07:46	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x72af9a…
05-21 22:02:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x1ff4bd…
05-21 21:55:19	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3c5cda…
05-21 21:52:31	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x982f21…
05-21 21:50:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x239afc…
05-21 21:49:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x79eff7…
05-21 21:44:11	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x81b25b…
05-21 21:43:02	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x8b16c2…
05-21 21:42:52	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xf59011…
05-21 21:42:43	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x4051d3…
05-21 21:42:36	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa71e68…
05-21 21:42:34	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x32f8c8…
05-21 21:41:23	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x09103f…
05-21 21:39:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5963dd…
05-21 21:38:03	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x4c49a1…
05-21 21:34:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xd9795c…
05-21 21:30:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x6f847e…