Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$717

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$91.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

$21.3K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-20 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

50% 76% -$7,608

Other

41% 100% +$2,278

Crypto

9% 71% +$105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+7,400	$6,716	98¢	$7.2K	+$525	09-28 19:50
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+5,676	$4,840	86¢	$4.9K	+$13	09-29 11:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	+2,224	$1,952	90¢	$2.0K	+$61	09-28 08:57
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	+2,655	$2,038	74¢	$2.0K	-$60	10-04 18:47
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	+1,860	$1,721	90¢	$1.7K	-$38	10-20 20:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	-2,879	-$1,221	42¢	$-1195	+$26	09-01 16:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,100	$878	82¢	$896	+$18	08-30 19:21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	-800	-$717	96¢	$-764	-$48	07-23 08:35
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-252	-$239	97¢	$-244	-$5	07-21 00:42
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	+200	$182	99¢	$199	+$17	09-20 03:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+200	$114	94¢	$187	+$73	10-09 18:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-400	-$199	16¢	$-64	+$135	09-20 04:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+115	$14	12¢	$14	+$1	07-20 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	14	$10.4K	9,400	2,000	+7,400	open	—	09-28 19:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	18	$7.1K	4,052	3,400	+652	No	+$247	08-30 00:08
Iran leadership change by December 31?	13	$5.2K	5,876	200	+5,676	open	—	09-29 11:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$4.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$600	03-19 06:31
Iran leadership change by September 30?	18	$4.0K	2,032	2,032	+0	No	+$48	09-27 11:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$3.3K	3,900	0	+3,900	Yes	-$3,276	03-19 06:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$3.2K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$3,240	03-19 06:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	8	$3.1K	1,800	1,600	+200	open	—	10-09 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	10	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$43	09-27 04:24
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$2.1K	1,124	1,124	+0	No	+$81	01-17 07:25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	9	$2.0K	2,655	0	+2,655	open	—	10-04 18:47
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$39	09-27 04:21
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	8	$2.0K	2,224	0	+2,224	open	—	09-28 08:57
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$44	03-19 06:30
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$43	01-14 00:48
us forces enter iran by january 31	9	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$46	01-17 07:34
xrp all time high by march 31 2026	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$50	01-26 17:46
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$115	01-17 03:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$1.7K	1,833	0	+1,833	No	+$110	01-02 15:59
Iran leadership change by November 30?	4	$1.7K	1,860	0	+1,860	open	—	10-20 20:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$40	01-17 07:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	9	$1.6K	805	805	+0	No	+$21	08-23 17:41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	5	$1.2K	0	2,879	-2,879	open	—	09-01 16:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	5	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$4	07-26 06:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	9	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$6	09-14 13:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$1.0K	1,463	0	+1,463	No	+$454	03-19 06:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$1000	1,786	0	+1,786	Yes	-$1,000	01-14 00:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$1000	1,266	0	+1,266	No	+$266	01-14 00:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	14	$991	500	500	+0	No	+$2	07-25 23:55
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$10	01-02 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:05:18	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x73fb2c…
10-20 11:23:56	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	1,250	93¢	$1,163	0xb673fd…
10-09 18:04:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xbf7d7f…
10-07 11:22:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,200	95¢	$1,140	0x14eeb0…
10-04 18:47:10	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	321	77¢	$247	0x0e0670…
09-29 14:34:20	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	600	77¢	$462	0x82ce51…
09-29 11:06:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe33ab5…
09-28 19:50:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x3e622e…
09-28 09:00:32	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x3924f6…
09-28 08:57:17	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x5cfbcb…
09-27 14:52:03	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	565	77¢	$435	0x74e580…
09-27 14:38:42	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	435	77¢	$335	0xa3abc2…
09-27 12:10:53	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	666	88¢	$586	0xbbf750…
09-27 11:20:59	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	737	100¢	$735	0xf178db…
09-27 11:18:38	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$294	0x63ec0b…
09-27 10:06:57	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc0427b…
09-27 06:54:36	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc05471…
09-27 06:19:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	78	88¢	$69	0x678a80…
09-27 04:24:21	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	534	77¢	$411	0x34a691…
09-27 04:24:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,096	0xe79d06…
09-27 04:21:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	385	88¢	$339	0x0d0b7a…
09-27 04:21:08	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbdcd1f…
09-22 13:53:24	Will Milady floor price reach 4 ETH before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x44ca82…
09-20 04:39:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	227	86¢	$195	0x585b57…
09-20 04:38:31	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	50¢	$199	0xc9a358…
09-20 04:37:22	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	209	92¢	$193	0x6665f6…
09-20 03:48:18	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x859de7…
09-20 03:46:06	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	173	96¢	$166	0xdb081b…
09-19 11:46:53	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	693	86¢	$596	0xd01e00…
09-18 14:02:42	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$592	0xdd0d0e…
09-14 13:20:54	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	597	97¢	$579	0x5438be…
09-14 13:19:54	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbf437d…
09-14 13:19:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	600	16¢	$96	0xc64a2d…
09-14 13:19:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x49a8c3…
09-14 13:19:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x38041d…
09-14 13:18:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	536	85¢	$456	0x8d0012…
09-13 14:56:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x5c5a25…
09-11 23:01:12	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x85e35f…
09-08 01:57:21	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xa54bc5…
09-08 01:57:12	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x6e26ea…
09-08 01:55:52	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xac8723…
09-08 01:55:31	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x698f58…
09-07 05:12:15	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	532	86¢	$457	0x823fce…
09-07 00:46:27	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	161	74¢	$119	0xb3cffd…
09-06 22:51:49	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0ae07d…
09-06 18:54:16	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xed6e88…
09-06 14:50:45	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xa1a4db…
09-06 03:08:16	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x4e0c43…
09-05 11:30:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xbb5c2b…
09-05 05:22:01	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x2924c5…
09-04 21:33:39	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x070f73…
09-04 19:11:28	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xf7d3f2…
09-04 16:00:36	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x92788e…
09-04 12:50:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x3a39a9…
09-04 09:29:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xeeb33c…
09-03 03:24:04	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1,120	85¢	$952	0x9fbc42…
09-01 16:32:43	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x51ee15…
09-01 11:50:10	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xc58e3a…
08-31 05:43:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xc574a6…
08-31 02:19:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x95b7db…
08-30 19:21:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x5652a0…
08-30 15:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x76a1fc…
08-30 14:55:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	182	29¢	$53	0x99b6d1…
08-30 11:27:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$283	0xb4ca9f…
08-30 08:20:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2534f4…
08-30 05:53:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0xf52d07…
08-30 05:38:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x84bfa5…
08-30 05:31:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x2f3dab…
08-30 05:16:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xdb5aa7…
08-30 05:11:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xe86ee7…
08-30 01:29:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x69ab3f…
08-30 00:11:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xfe3c76…
08-30 00:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$581	0x45632d…
08-30 00:09:43	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$967	0xfc3cc3…
08-30 00:08:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0xd20f74…
08-28 05:53:13	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	74	92¢	$68	0x76f51b…
08-26 11:51:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6db58e…
08-25 20:55:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xbb965c…
08-25 20:54:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x578289…
08-25 20:53:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xbf5ab1…
08-25 20:52:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xf71700…
08-25 20:52:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x7c1d75…
08-25 09:47:16	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	49¢	$137	0xeb54eb…
08-25 08:23:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4b8e17…
08-25 00:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xae0f26…
08-25 00:53:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x998190…
08-25 00:53:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1f3184…
08-25 00:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x16ed3b…
08-25 00:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x20d654…
08-24 17:20:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xea08ff…
08-24 14:29:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x1ee211…
08-24 01:31:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x917500…
08-23 17:41:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	378	98¢	$372	0xda4e6c…
08-23 07:44:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xa80081…
08-23 05:57:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	316	97¢	$308	0xf1f580…
08-23 05:11:18	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x08f5f3…
08-23 04:30:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xed2967…
08-23 03:23:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x98c287…
08-23 02:03:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xe58bd6…
08-23 02:02:58	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x65a2f7…