Easy-Going-Hill — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$627

Unrealized P&L

-$626

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved (90d)

447

Trades (90d)

1,100

2,672 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.3K

$92.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$91

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-19 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

65% 38% -$248

Politics

27% 42% -$2,028

Crypto

8% 45% -$940

Tech

0% 38% +$24

Sports

0% 67% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+865	$717	11¢	$91	-$626	06-01 02:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$6.0K	6,121	0	+6,121	No	+$121	01-26 14:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	27	$3.0K	2,321	1,711	+610	Yes	-$319	06-20 14:07
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	15	$2.9K	3,044	74	+2,970	Yes	+$127	05-11 08:18
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$2.2K	2,471	0	+2,471	Yes	-$2,236	06-04 06:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2.2K	1,163	1,163	+0	No	+$162	06-01 06:21
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,350	0	+2,350	No	+$250	05-18 03:46
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$2.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$930	03-25 12:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$2.0K	1,321	1,200	+121	No	-$202	07-01 09:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$2.0K	2,469	0	+2,469	No	+$469	03-23 13:08
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,754	0	+1,754	No	+$72	05-14 09:11
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$1.6K	1,109	1,109	+0	No	-$97	07-02 08:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$1.6K	1,798	0	+1,798	No	+$198	05-29 05:57
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	12	$1.2K	1,550	0	+1,550	Yes	+$339	06-15 05:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$1.2K	1,277	0	+1,277	Yes	+$77	05-21 05:59
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	9	$1.1K	1,249	0	+1,249	No	+$99	05-21 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28?	19	$1.1K	611	611	+0	No	+$6	07-28 09:44
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	3	$1.1K	1,078	1,078	+0	cancelled	-$11	05-11 02:34
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$1000	1,852	0	+1,852	No	-$1,000	02-01 09:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$42	06-03 05:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$1000	1,149	0	+1,149	No	+$149	04-14 12:51
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$1000	1,086	0	+1,086	No	+$86	05-28 05:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$993	0	1,000	-1,000	No	-$7	06-19 05:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	12	$926	1,295	695	+600	No	-$281	07-14 02:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$900	915	0	+915	No	+$15	05-11 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 7?	10	$837	443	443	+0	No	+$48	08-07 22:26
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$829	900	0	+900	Yes	+$71	07-02 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?	22	$823	450	450	+0	No	+$76	07-23 15:45
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	11	$805	719	334	+385	Yes	+$65	08-04 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?	3	$792	420	420	+0	No	+$48	07-22 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?	36	$757	522	522	+0	No	+$95	07-29 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 11:02:04	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb82dd1…
08-13 15:47:34	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x6a38b5…
08-13 08:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x641b90…
08-13 08:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xad1401…
08-13 08:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4b088a…
08-13 08:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x341b82…
08-13 07:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x19b014…
08-13 06:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xee5df6…
08-13 06:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7b2e88…
08-13 06:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf572cf…
08-13 02:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0d428c…
08-12 15:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x27449e…
08-12 15:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x745a04…
08-12 11:12:03	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9c5834…
08-12 08:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x24903a…
08-12 08:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xb64258…
08-12 08:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x6bdfe6…
08-12 07:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x647d83…
08-12 07:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x95c221…
08-12 07:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb760b5…
08-12 07:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xfbf3fd…
08-12 07:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x121aa9…
08-12 07:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x2b0bfa…
08-12 07:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1197fa…
08-12 07:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9c80e1…
08-12 07:38:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8a3c48…
08-12 07:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf703bc…
08-12 07:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x20ab4c…
08-12 07:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x86e533…
08-12 04:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x775660…
08-12 04:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x246479…
08-12 03:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf80129…
08-12 03:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x823b82…
08-12 03:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4f3402…
08-12 03:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0x7ff35b…
08-12 03:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xe7fbf7…
08-12 03:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3e3829…
08-12 03:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xac12d7…
08-12 03:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf57637…
08-12 03:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0bb9f0…
08-12 02:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xd8e772…
08-12 02:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x42c93e…
08-12 02:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x0cef3d…
08-12 02:52:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe7f5b3…
08-12 02:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?	No	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xb1e4a9…
08-12 02:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x264bbf…
08-12 02:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x304d98…
08-12 02:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe6a92b…
08-12 02:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x40c9a5…
08-12 01:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa9c68a…
08-12 01:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0x516f56…
08-12 01:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x24aefb…
08-11 12:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xecf8f5…
08-11 12:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 11?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x725cf7…
08-11 09:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x3cd5ce…
08-11 08:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x19124d…
08-11 08:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x0853a5…
08-11 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x4cdca9…
08-11 08:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xbfea1e…
08-11 08:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8889f7…
08-11 08:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x944864…
08-11 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xfa2746…
08-11 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xd0d450…
08-11 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x7c9d23…
08-11 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x63eeb6…
08-11 08:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xe1a7f1…
08-11 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xc2f87e…
08-11 08:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x709cb5…
08-11 08:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x36b24a…
08-11 08:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbc7db4…
08-11 08:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd7d6a4…
08-11 08:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4f2de4…
08-11 06:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x0e7d17…
08-11 06:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7da08f…
08-11 06:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x96ba9d…
08-11 04:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x2bd8d0…
08-11 03:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x49edbb…
08-11 03:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 11?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xdf788a…
08-11 03:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcbf6f0…
08-11 02:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x49f723…
08-11 02:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf738ab…
08-11 02:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa77e79…
08-11 02:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x1b1df1…
08-10 23:48:10	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xba6fa6…
08-10 23:47:58	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x6a66ac…
08-10 15:48:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7de36e…
08-10 15:45:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x3cfa98…
08-10 15:44:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x857c0c…
08-10 15:41:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xfb6596…
08-10 15:41:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x97b9f4…
08-10 15:41:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x995c10…
08-10 15:41:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x72cc63…
08-10 15:40:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xec4c00…
08-10 15:40:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x2d989d…
08-10 15:39:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x0d2aca…
08-10 15:38:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x73507b…
08-10 15:38:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x11f699…
08-10 15:38:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2cff40…
08-10 15:38:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x2e84af…
08-10 15:37:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0x7df37b…