Forsaken-Clause — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$995

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved (30d)

1,451

Trades (30d)

1,677

29,246 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$22.4K

$360.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-01 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$7,049

Other

0% 64% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp baez droguet 2026 04 02	2	$179	100	100	+0	Titouan Droguet	+$5	04-03 09:23
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	2	$166	210	210	+0	No	-$6	06-14 21:19
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina	4	$159	100	99	+1	Anhelina Kalinina	+$38	04-21 18:16
atp etcheve draper 2026 04 13	3	$151	100	100	+0	Tomas Etcheverry	+$33	04-13 12:45
atp elias schwaer 2026 04 13	2	$118	70	70	+0	Joel Schwaerzler	+$20	04-13 16:05
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$89	395	0	+395	No	-$89	07-14 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:35 UTC	3	$85	164	0	+164	Down	+$79	07-30 09:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$82	153	0	+153	Up	+$70	10-10 10:29
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellien	3	$81	50	50	+0	Hugo Dellien	+$18	05-22 11:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$78	142	0	+142	Down	-$78	10-17 21:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	1	$77	142	0	+142	Up	-$77	10-16 10:44
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	5	$75	100	98	+2	Coco Gauff	+$13	04-26 10:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$65	118	0	+118	Up	-$65	10-20 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	9	$65	118	0	+118	Up	+$53	10-18 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$64	118	0	+118	Up	+$55	10-19 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$60	109	0	+109	Up	-$60	10-15 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$59	109	0	+109	Up	-$59	10-15 14:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	1	$59	109	0	+109	Up	-$59	10-18 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:15 UTC	2	$58	109	0	+109	Up	+$51	06-17 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$57	109	0	+109	Down	+$52	09-20 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$57	109	0	+109	Down	+$52	05-22 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:25 UTC	2	$55	109	0	+109	Up	-$55	07-30 10:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	2	$55	99	0	+99	Up	-$55	10-16 11:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	1	$55	99	0	+99	Down	-$55	10-16 17:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:45 UTC	4	$55	99	0	+99	Down	+$45	10-18 01:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$51	99	0	+99	Up	+$48	10-15 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$51	95	0	+95	Up	-$51	10-20 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$51	95	0	+95	Down	-$51	10-17 21:29
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	68	0	+68	Brazil	+$18	06-19 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$50	91	0	+91	Down	-$50	10-12 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x463fab…
11-01 10:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x86e4c3…
11-01 10:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd1af6c…
11-01 09:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x4f8ea2…
11-01 09:00:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0xf819ca…
11-01 07:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x46c339…
11-01 04:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x19bb0d…
11-01 03:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	54¢	$31	0xf9d863…
11-01 02:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x10fc5e…
11-01 01:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x9b6366…
11-01 01:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x97453a…
11-01 01:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xf24446…
11-01 00:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x71969c…
10-31 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x588540…
10-31 21:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4b0827…
10-31 21:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf315cb…
10-31 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xefea93…
10-31 19:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xc4b48e…
10-31 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x511c4c…
10-31 18:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x33038c…
10-31 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x3bd7a2…
10-31 18:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x24de70…
10-31 18:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x141dd7…
10-31 18:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0xa92a44…
10-31 16:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x4244e5…
10-31 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x71faef…
10-31 13:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xffe953…
10-31 12:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x3ed7ad…
10-31 10:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x700219…
10-31 07:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x8b5d9f…
10-31 04:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	54¢	$31	0x05d03d…
10-31 03:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x78c9b2…
10-31 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x2c5406…
10-31 01:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	51¢	$38	0xdbd7f5…
10-31 01:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd7f99a…
10-31 00:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	54¢	$19	0xb4aba9…
10-31 00:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0xba1040…
10-31 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xb5dc7e…
10-31 00:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xdac8b0…
10-31 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x924c01…
10-30 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbc0ff4…
10-30 19:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5bf48c…
10-30 10:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0x1ae43e…
10-30 07:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0x263cb4…
10-30 06:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x322660…
10-30 05:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$23	0xa74763…
10-30 05:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcf58d6…
10-30 05:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x3e7e38…
10-30 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x652e7d…
10-30 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf18aef…
10-30 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xf80614…
10-30 03:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x950215…
10-30 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc34832…
10-30 03:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xfb42d5…
10-30 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa8ac24…
10-30 02:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x7ec11c…
10-30 00:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0ee183…
10-30 00:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa95199…
10-30 00:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x978da9…
10-29 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x173944…
10-29 23:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x462312…
10-29 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x872f03…
10-29 20:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xaaf4f4…
10-29 20:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x4d9229…
10-29 20:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	54¢	$31	0x3c84b4…
10-29 17:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x8aa188…
10-29 16:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xeac00b…
10-29 15:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xd74c5c…
10-29 15:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xea3ac9…
10-29 15:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x473118…
10-29 15:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x96b0de…
10-29 15:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x762e8e…
10-29 14:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd907c6…
10-29 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xe2fb8a…
10-29 08:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x9995ee…
10-29 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x041a64…
10-29 08:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x85c5c4…
10-29 07:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x94eabc…
10-29 06:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x78fb66…
10-29 05:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xea2544…
10-29 05:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x94fe37…
10-29 04:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x79c1a9…
10-29 04:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x21d20a…
10-29 02:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6c3714…
10-29 02:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x223f6e…
10-29 01:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8f2c99…
10-29 01:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xdef571…
10-29 01:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3d8091…
10-29 01:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x0285ca…
10-29 01:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x31d4ae…
10-29 01:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfac886…
10-29 00:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdd5458…
10-28 20:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcdbe0e…
10-28 20:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$18	0xc07cad…
10-28 19:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0xe49ac8…
10-28 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x751559…
10-28 19:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x73e25b…
10-28 18:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9d7f44…
10-28 18:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9c14c6…
10-28 13:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7d51ed…