Forsaken-Clause — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

13 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$290

$290 lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down		+20	$11	2¢	$0	$-10	05-05 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	45	+45	Down	+$21	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$25	45	+45	Down	+$21	05-04 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$25	45	+45	Up	+$21	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$25	45	+45	Down	$-25	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$25	45	+45	Down	+$21	05-05 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$25	45	+45	open	—	05-05 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$24	45	+45	open	—	05-05 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$24	45	+45	Up	$-24	05-05 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$24	45	+45	Down	$-24	05-04 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$23	45	+45	open	—	05-05 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$23	42	+42	open	—	05-05 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$12	23	+23	Down	+$10	05-04 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$11	20	+20	open	—	05-05 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0xb9944b…
05-05 20:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xacd66d…
05-05 18:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0x5e1b65…
05-05 18:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xeba0df…
05-05 14:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x86a5a1…
05-05 02:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x83e8da…
05-05 00:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0x2f4673…
05-05 00:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0xf9a83e…
05-04 23:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0xd3524a…
05-04 23:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$24	0x42eaad…
05-04 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0x559691…
05-04 21:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	55¢	$12	0x5c0f0c…
05-04 21:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	54¢	$25	0x88f863…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$2.85K	62	05-05 20:20
United-Designer 0xa2a0…15a1	4	$2.47K	5	05-05 00:39