Tedious-Guard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

-$194

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

469

951 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$8.58K

$21.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$68

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-06 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

93% 30% -$5,166

Sports

7% 33% -$14

Crypto

1% 0% -$148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes		+1,054	$158	4¢	$45	-$113	11-06 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes		+1,124	$104	2¢	$22	-$81	11-06 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.0K	20,883	20,883	+0	No	$0	06-17 07:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	29	$839	3,000	2,300	+700	No	-$277	10-20 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	9	$754	1,412	1,412	+0	Yes	+$307	10-22 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	36	$739	1,408	1,408	+0	Yes	+$203	11-06 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	6	$681	3,086	1,042	+2,044	No	-$139	06-23 19:48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	40	$585	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$259	10-27 18:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$555	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$155	05-14 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$553	2,036	2,036	-0	No	-$58	11-03 03:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	10	$521	561	561	+0	Yes	+$130	06-19 05:13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	33	$498	1,769	1,769	+0	No	-$198	11-05 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$497	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$100	10-12 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	14	$495	868	868	-0	Yes	+$26	06-22 19:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	42	$463	3,141	3,141	+0	No	-$160	06-22 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	31	$456	2,102	2,102	+0	No	-$145	05-25 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	16	$438	2,764	225	+2,538	No	-$424	06-18 03:24
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	2	$428	581	581	+0	Over	+$328	06-20 18:31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	19	$390	591	591	+0	No	+$59	10-29 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$375	2,627	98	+2,529	No	-$334	06-23 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	32	$363	898	898	+0	No	-$3	10-28 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$355	1,309	9	+1,300	No	-$351	10-15 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$343	1,481	1,481	+0	No	-$257	05-14 23:13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	14	$324	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$90	10-16 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	17	$307	1,342	0	+1,342	No	-$307	06-14 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	12	$282	897	897	+0	No	+$13	05-22 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$266	476	0	+476	No	-$266	10-23 14:08
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	5	$265	1,857	1,857	+0	Over	+$5	06-22 17:17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	9	$253	196	196	+0	Yes	+$130	05-29 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	14	$253	2,300	0	+2,300	No	-$253	10-22 11:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	21	$249	566	566	+0	No	+$11	10-22 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	7	$227	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$85	10-31 03:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 17:46:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x6c0c93…
11-06 17:38:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x4c3e42…
11-06 16:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	527	9¢	$47	0xe10f2c…
11-06 12:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	9¢	$13	0x1ddfe0…
11-06 11:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	9¢	$11	0xda600b…
11-06 09:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	15¢	$92	0xd1c67f…
11-06 09:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4af7e7…
11-06 09:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbbe540…
11-06 09:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe54cf7…
11-06 09:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0x0eceb3…
11-06 09:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	14¢	$35	0x41e043…
11-06 09:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xb605c3…
11-06 09:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2eb090…
11-06 09:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x28ea1d…
11-06 09:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xfa4b11…
11-06 08:32:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x50ae5f…
11-06 07:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	299	58¢	$173	0xf46103…
11-06 07:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	58¢	$86	0xbf89c0…
11-06 06:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x61fe57…
11-05 15:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	30¢	$57	0xd975e3…
11-05 15:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	30¢	$77	0xa72f37…
11-05 15:39:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,434	9¢	$123	0xd99bdd…
11-05 15:39:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x0ad606…
11-05 00:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	24¢	$42	0x7ec906…
11-05 00:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x69e317…
11-05 00:37:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x432e18…
11-05 00:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x56521e…
11-05 00:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x32d2ac…
11-05 00:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x8dbf40…
11-05 00:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x93bf1d…
11-05 00:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x5fe3b2…
11-05 00:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa7f239…
11-05 00:08:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xd4a61e…
11-05 00:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	24¢	$39	0xfbb11f…
11-04 23:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0xd98952…
11-04 23:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1e5243…
11-04 23:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	24¢	$63	0xb4b959…
11-04 23:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x850ac2…
11-04 23:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe6ed3c…
11-04 23:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xf2bc74…
11-04 23:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	24¢	$14	0x40a13f…
11-04 23:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0xe2ff02…
11-04 23:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xaec449…
11-04 23:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xc31230…
11-04 23:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2e73a0…
11-04 23:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x17c1de…
11-04 23:30:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x395871…
11-04 15:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	22¢	$45	0x63e7af…
11-04 15:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0xb5e249…
11-04 15:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8b1e36…
11-04 15:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x0075d0…
11-04 15:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xda8bfb…
11-04 15:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x9c3fe8…
11-04 15:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x4e58e4…
11-04 15:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x012e76…
11-04 15:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xa1258c…
11-04 15:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0d7174…
11-04 15:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x32653c…
11-04 15:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x1a7513…
11-04 15:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x358500…
11-04 15:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x0d54ab…
11-04 15:26:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x2ec6b9…
11-04 15:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xe2f82d…
11-04 15:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x874cb5…
11-04 15:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xe30d61…
11-04 15:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xdbeedb…
11-04 15:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x2af4a1…
11-04 15:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	22¢	$23	0x1651a8…
11-04 15:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x4094a6…
11-04 15:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb1844e…
11-04 15:22:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x0437ca…
11-04 15:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x56deb6…
11-04 14:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x761b89…
11-04 06:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2ed344…
11-04 06:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5f92bc…
11-04 06:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x283394…
11-04 06:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x2ca674…
11-04 06:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x6b305f…
11-04 06:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	654	14¢	$92	0x6ebb30…
11-04 05:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	17¢	$49	0x9634b7…
11-04 03:15:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xd6c175…
11-04 02:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x975e4a…
11-04 02:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x74b56e…
11-04 01:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x1d8640…
11-03 03:42:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,036	12¢	$248	0x420198…
11-01 18:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	8¢	$25	0x584d9b…
11-01 07:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	16¢	$52	0x7fd9de…
10-31 20:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	7¢	$22	0x4bc51a…
10-31 07:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,118	12¢	$134	0x7b4728…
10-31 06:26:01	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x9fe9b9…
10-31 06:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x65b3ed…
10-31 06:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x7cf82c…
10-31 06:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8d8743…
10-31 06:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x75bf86…
10-31 06:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb4ddec…
10-31 06:10:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xdc9598…
10-31 06:10:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xd65790…
10-31 06:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xd743f2…
10-31 06:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xd3a211…
10-31 06:06:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x20ef26…