Tedious-Guard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$344

Unrealized P&L

+$46

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

144

904 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.05K

$20.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$101

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-04 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

92% 30% -$5,171

Sports

7% 33% -$14

Crypto

1% 0% -$148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes		+341	$55	30¢	$101	+$46	11-04 14:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.0K	20,883	20,883	+0	No	$0	06-17 07:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	29	$839	3,000	2,300	+700	No	-$277	10-20 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	9	$754	1,412	1,412	+0	Yes	+$307	10-22 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	6	$681	3,086	1,042	+2,044	No	-$139	06-23 19:48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	40	$585	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$259	10-27 18:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$555	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$155	05-14 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$553	2,036	2,036	-0	No	-$58	11-03 03:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	10	$521	561	561	+0	Yes	+$130	06-19 05:13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$497	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$100	10-12 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	14	$495	868	868	-0	Yes	+$26	06-22 19:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	42	$463	3,141	3,141	+0	No	-$160	06-22 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	31	$456	2,102	2,102	+0	No	-$145	05-25 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	16	$438	2,764	225	+2,538	No	-$424	06-18 03:24
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	2	$428	581	581	+0	Over	+$328	06-20 18:31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	19	$390	591	591	+0	No	+$59	10-29 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$375	2,627	98	+2,529	No	-$334	06-23 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	32	$363	898	898	+0	No	-$3	10-28 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$355	1,309	9	+1,300	No	-$351	10-15 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	32	$346	961	961	+0	open	—	11-04 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$343	1,481	1,481	+0	No	-$257	05-14 23:13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	14	$324	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$90	10-16 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	17	$307	1,342	0	+1,342	No	-$307	06-14 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	12	$282	897	897	+0	No	+$13	05-22 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	3	$266	476	0	+476	No	-$266	10-23 14:08
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	5	$265	1,857	1,857	+0	Over	+$5	06-22 17:17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	9	$253	196	196	+0	Yes	+$130	05-29 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	14	$253	2,300	0	+2,300	No	-$253	10-22 11:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	21	$249	566	566	+0	No	+$11	10-22 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	7	$227	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$85	10-31 03:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	6	$226	1,228	1,228	+0	No	-$216	05-28 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	22¢	$45	0x63e7af…
11-04 15:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0xb5e249…
11-04 15:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8b1e36…
11-04 15:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x0075d0…
11-04 15:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xda8bfb…
11-04 15:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x9c3fe8…
11-04 15:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x4e58e4…
11-04 15:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x012e76…
11-04 15:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xa1258c…
11-04 15:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0d7174…
11-04 15:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x32653c…
11-04 15:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x1a7513…
11-04 15:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x358500…
11-04 15:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x0d54ab…
11-04 15:26:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x2ec6b9…
11-04 15:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xe2f82d…
11-04 15:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x874cb5…
11-04 15:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xe30d61…
11-04 15:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xdbeedb…
11-04 15:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x2af4a1…
11-04 15:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	22¢	$23	0x1651a8…
11-04 15:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x4094a6…
11-04 15:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb1844e…
11-04 15:22:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x0437ca…
11-04 15:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x56deb6…
11-04 14:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x761b89…
11-04 06:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2ed344…
11-04 06:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5f92bc…
11-04 06:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x283394…
11-04 06:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x2ca674…
11-04 06:13:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x6b305f…
11-04 06:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	654	14¢	$92	0x6ebb30…
11-04 05:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	17¢	$49	0x9634b7…
11-04 03:15:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xd6c175…
11-04 02:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x975e4a…
11-04 02:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x74b56e…
11-04 01:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x1d8640…
11-03 03:42:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,036	12¢	$248	0x420198…
11-01 18:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	8¢	$25	0x584d9b…
11-01 07:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	16¢	$52	0x7fd9de…
10-31 20:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	7¢	$22	0x4bc51a…
10-31 07:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,118	12¢	$134	0x7b4728…
10-31 06:26:01	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x9fe9b9…
10-31 06:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x65b3ed…
10-31 06:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x7cf82c…
10-31 06:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8d8743…
10-31 06:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x75bf86…
10-31 06:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb4ddec…
10-31 06:10:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xdc9598…
10-31 06:10:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xd65790…
10-31 06:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xd743f2…
10-31 06:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xd3a211…
10-31 06:06:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x20ef26…
10-31 06:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xbed01c…
10-31 05:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbb89ac…
10-31 05:09:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x8d1720…
10-31 04:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xb65ea6…
10-31 03:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	15¢	$11	0xf28dbd…
10-31 03:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x533b08…
10-31 03:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0a1aff…
10-31 03:58:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	12¢	$16	0xca3ba0…
10-31 03:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x65119a…
10-31 03:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	12¢	$18	0x2f3cfb…
10-31 03:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x23eed6…
10-31 03:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	15¢	$5	0x1ca085…
10-31 03:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x2f4fe5…
10-31 03:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7824d7…
10-31 03:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x3ec8b5…
10-31 03:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x82bcc9…
10-31 03:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6e80ee…
10-31 03:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbbd4ea…
10-31 03:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	563	15¢	$82	0xa0b628…
10-31 03:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x605e22…
10-31 03:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5d4642…
10-31 03:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7c0461…
10-31 03:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf89a7d…
10-31 03:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2a812d…
10-31 03:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	14¢	$12	0xecb185…
10-31 03:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	7¢	$13	0xb3c3f9…
10-31 03:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	5¢	$156	0x96faac…
10-31 02:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	756	3¢	$25	0x54fff2…
10-30 17:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x8e5b00…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$4	0xbaef3b…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x24a0da…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x08351a…
10-30 15:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xcb7cf5…
10-30 15:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	4¢	$8	0x248c44…
10-30 15:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xf06f2a…
10-30 15:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xa990ea…
10-30 15:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0xf14316…
10-30 15:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb1a969…
10-30 15:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xddc163…
10-30 15:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xb29f86…
10-30 15:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xa405c2…
10-30 15:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x885032…
10-30 15:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x9c3958…
10-30 14:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	3¢	$5	0x98c3e5…
10-30 14:47:46	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,713	2¢	$64	0xace862…
10-30 14:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	1¢	$4	0x37ba43…
10-30 14:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x66c79c…