Sticky-Sigh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-27 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

10% 44% +$158

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$2.1K	1,338	1,338	+0	open	—	02-28 08:50
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	6	$1.2K	3,554	3,554	+0	open	—	01-03 13:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.0K	645	645	+0	open	—	04-23 22:28
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	3	$513	588	426	+162	open	—	03-29 20:46
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 65 89	2	$486	576	581	-5	open	—	03-02 03:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$406	2,037	625	+1,412	open	—	03-29 09:21
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	1	$280	636	0	+636	open	—	03-01 21:24
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	1	$270	472	0	+472	open	—	02-18 02:17
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	1	$250	446	0	+446	open	—	04-03 19:52
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	1	$250	413	0	+413	open	—	03-14 04:10
cbb gast coast 2026 01 03	2	$207	176	176	+0	open	—	01-03 19:41
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$200	714	0	+714	open	—	05-02 06:42
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	1	$200	356	0	+356	open	—	02-13 23:05
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 115 139	1	$200	340	0	+340	open	—	01-19 09:48
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	1	$200	516	0	+516	open	—	02-18 02:17
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	1	$200	583	0	+583	open	—	02-09 16:08
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	1	$200	370	0	+370	open	—	04-12 17:07
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	1	$200	628	0	+628	open	—	02-09 16:08
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 40 64	1	$200	597	0	+597	open	—	03-05 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$190	637	137	+500	open	—	05-01 00:34
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	1	$156	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	03-14 04:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$150	750	0	+750	open	—	04-02 00:47
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	1	$150	395	0	+395	open	—	03-17 03:19
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	1	$150	397	0	+397	open	—	04-06 17:30
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	1	$150	367	0	+367	open	—	03-07 23:48
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$125	658	0	+658	open	—	04-27 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	6	$114	430	143	+287	open	—	05-17 04:55
cs2 hero furia 2026 01 22	2	$110	444	0	+444	open	—	01-22 20:06
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	1	$110	761	0	+761	open	—	03-17 03:19
btc updown 5m 1771382100	2	$105	302	0	+302	open	—	02-18 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 00:50:44	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x73bc32…
05-27 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x313426…
05-26 21:45:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	121	13¢	$16	0xf605c5…
05-25 16:50:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x897e8a…
05-22 19:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa03aaa…
05-17 05:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	87	43¢	$37	0xbabb97…
05-17 05:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x1e654b…
05-17 05:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6fa8fb…
05-17 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	287	3¢	$10	0xc24481…
05-17 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0xdeb929…
05-17 04:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x61538f…
05-17 04:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x8361aa…
05-17 04:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	128	55¢	$71	0x0e624e…
05-17 04:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	129	16¢	$20	0xfbd567…
05-16 22:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	129	46¢	$60	0x756bbc…
05-16 22:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3ba134…
05-13 07:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,360	1¢	$14	0xb63dcc…
05-13 07:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x57ed57…
05-13 07:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x3cb496…
05-13 07:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x9cddbb…
05-13 07:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	281	27¢	$77	0x2c3498…
05-13 07:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	35	73¢	$25	0x6b80e3…
05-13 07:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x973194…
05-13 07:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xb1f4c5…
05-13 07:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xcecf79…
05-13 07:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x3b5c58…
05-13 07:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	54	69¢	$37	0x84ca21…
05-13 07:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa5817e…
05-13 07:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xec0adb…
05-13 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x479c85…
05-11 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x47068e…
05-02 06:42:56	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x3bd61b…
05-01 05:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xe33535…
05-01 05:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x27c161…
05-01 05:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0x7c9772…
05-01 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	59	42¢	$24	0xd91eed…
05-01 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xa40d6c…
05-01 00:43:10	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xfbbabc…
05-01 00:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x41a8f1…
05-01 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbb7c4d…
05-01 00:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x3e5036…
05-01 00:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb8645b…
05-01 00:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfcaf37…
05-01 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	137	98¢	$135	0x2db0df…
05-01 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	137	36¢	$50	0x85768a…
04-27 22:59:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x7f89c3…
04-27 22:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	575	9¢	$50	0xa17c9a…
04-27 22:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,617	6¢	$100	0xd0b370…
04-27 22:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	20¢	$50	0x0981f2…
04-27 22:57:22	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	658	19¢	$125	0xd26c66…
04-25 11:51:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x32fbed…
04-25 04:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xad4bda…
04-25 04:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x98d16c…
04-25 03:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xaefb22…
04-25 03:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x109140…
04-24 04:28:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	15¢	$50	0x56828b…
04-23 22:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	645	97¢	$627	0xc0ccc7…
04-23 22:22:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x164113…
04-23 22:17:02	btc updown 5m 1776982500	Down	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xcfb998…
04-23 22:16:06	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5223ef…
04-23 17:29:36	btc updown 5m 1776965100	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x976c17…
04-22 08:11:06	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	Yes	BUY	4,719	1¢	$50	0x54bf20…
04-22 08:10:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	Yes	BUY	878	3¢	$25	0x020e10…
04-22 07:12:40	btc updown 5m 1776841800	Up	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0x9783ab…
04-21 18:24:08	btc updown 5m 1776795600	Down	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0xa17008…
04-21 18:18:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x826cb1…
04-21 18:17:56	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0110dc…
04-21 18:16:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	629	16¢	$100	0xd0b250…
04-18 17:50:40	nba tor cle 2026 04 18	Raptors	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x53eebf…
04-18 05:58:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	645	62¢	$400	0xe2f7d6…
04-16 08:27:12	btc updown 5m 1776327900	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x92a4e8…
04-13 21:12:15	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	Yes	BUY	895	2¢	$20	0x454e04…
04-13 21:11:59	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x570c85…
04-13 03:46:23	ethereum above 2100 on april 13	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x664476…
04-13 03:42:41	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	Yes	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0xfdb166…
04-12 17:07:47	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	Yes	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xccf847…
04-12 17:07:07	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 65 89	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x5710ca…
04-12 17:06:21	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x214257…
04-12 17:06:05	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,017	2¢	$20	0x01630d…
04-12 17:05:57	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	Yes	BUY	222	27¢	$60	0x12c005…
04-11 20:15:03	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	Yes	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x3e1c2f…
04-11 20:14:15	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,980	3¢	$50	0xb970ea…
04-06 17:30:27	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	BUY	397	38¢	$150	0x2da549…
04-06 17:29:53	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x8647d7…
04-06 17:29:43	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 0 39	Yes	BUY	986	5¢	$50	0x235cff…
04-03 19:53:51	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	310	10¢	$30	0x9404e1…
04-03 19:52:45	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	446	56¢	$250	0xd71c6b…
04-02 00:47:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0x42f815…
03-29 20:46:54	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x1b67e4…
03-29 17:53:36	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	No	SELL	426	50¢	$213	0x93247e…
03-29 09:21:14	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,412	7¢	$100	0xe3ca7c…
03-29 03:08:14	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	No	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x0c48ed…
03-29 03:07:44	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xfde0c5…
03-29 03:07:06	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	277	4¢	$12	0x377961…
03-29 03:07:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	625	9¢	$56	0x43793f…
03-28 05:37:39	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xe9c2e1…
03-28 05:36:09	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xff1056…
03-17 03:19:55	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	Yes	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0x0c57cb…
03-17 03:19:35	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xe4d14a…
03-17 03:19:15	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	761	14¢	$110	0xe61fae…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c	112	$72.8K	3,473	04-27 20:42
Ondra 0x849c…4009	109	$781.4K	34,574	04-28 10:43
Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054	107	$67.2K	9,304	04-28 10:41
Low-Patty 0x5113…f0ba	106	$19.7K	1,027	04-27 22:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	104	$326.8K	8,227	05-28 22:10
Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1	103	$29.5K	1,073	04-26 19:03
Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e	102	$22.2K	7,971	05-28 23:34
International-Expertise 0xe130…4006	101	$25.7K	3,804	04-28 08:13