Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.45K
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved (7d)
1,524
Trades (7d)
8,747
10,801 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$174.7K
$225.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$31.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-09 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
56% 78% +$519
Politics
39% 65% +$787
Tech
2% 88% +$22
Sports
1% 67% +$302
Crypto
1% 77% +$42
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 3851 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +6,088 $2,659 99¢ $6.0K +$3,359 11-04 22:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5,015 $4,523 98¢ $4.9K +$396 11-05 19:54
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,461 $1,196 100¢ $1.5K +$261 11-04 07:21
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +1,587 $1,104 85¢ $1.3K +$242 11-08 15:38
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,775 $1,228 66¢ $1.2K -$61 11-07 02:56
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +1,003 $453 100¢ $1.0K +$549 11-06 02:59
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,018 $699 98¢ $1.0K +$301 11-07 08:29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +949 $773 99¢ $939 +$167 11-05 17:39
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +867 $867 100¢ $866 $0 11-08 03:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,550 $769 34¢ $854 +$85 11-09 16:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +904 $669 88¢ $791 +$122 11-09 18:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,219 $498 64¢ $780 +$282 11-08 20:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +733 $696 100¢ $730 +$34 11-07 03:06
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? No +690 $689 100¢ $689 $0 11-08 21:43
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? No +1,067 $869 63¢ $674 -$196 11-09 13:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +821 $506 76¢ $624 +$119 11-09 18:21
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? No +625 $290 99¢ $621 +$331 11-09 13:58
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +940 $562 64¢ $597 +$35 11-08 14:03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? No +580 $527 100¢ $579 +$52 11-04 09:08
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +625 $580 91¢ $571 -$9 11-08 17:02
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +558 $549 99¢ $555 +$6 11-09 14:13
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +570 $517 93¢ $529 +$12 11-09 18:12
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +543 $451 97¢ $529 +$78 11-07 00:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +504 $317 96¢ $486 +$170 11-04 21:59
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +485 $479 99¢ $482 +$3 11-06 15:08
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +759 $623 63¢ $475 -$147 11-09 01:11
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? No +475 $422 99¢ $469 +$47 11-08 15:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +455 $418 100¢ $454 +$36 11-04 15:13
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +469 $323 97¢ $454 +$131 11-07 00:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +550 $415 82¢ $454 +$39 11-06 14:37