Tense-Divider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$42.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$210

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 11:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

34% 50% +$0

Crypto

32% 100% +$0

Other

32% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30?	No		+210	$207	99¢	$209	+$1	05-31 20:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes		+210	$2	1¢	$1	$-1	06-05 11:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	43	$4.6K	2,315	2,315	+0	open	—	01-09 03:17
trump out as president by march 31	42	$4.4K	2,264	2,264	+0	open	—	03-25 06:24
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	8	$3.0K	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	01-03 06:53
Trump out as President by May 31?	3	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	05-04 08:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$2.0K	1,035	1,035	+0	open	—	01-23 14:59
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	3	$1.5K	1,013	506	+507	open	—	02-11 03:35
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.2K	582	582	+0	open	—	01-09 11:06
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$1.2K	577	577	+0	open	—	01-07 13:08
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$1.1K	574	574	+0	open	—	01-02 00:26
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$1.1K	578	578	+0	open	—	01-12 02:31
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	02-17 13:38
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	02-03 05:25
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$1.0K	517	500	+17	open	—	01-04 03:10
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	open	—	02-13 06:26
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	13	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	02-08 19:41
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	3	$994	498	498	+0	open	—	02-18 10:00
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$994	498	498	+0	open	—	02-19 11:46
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	2	$993	500	500	+0	open	—	05-03 07:40
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$925	350	579	-229	open	—	01-10 05:12
will bnb reach 1200 in february	3	$922	463	460	+3	open	—	02-27 03:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$549	482	482	+0	open	—	03-03 13:06
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	1	$515	516	0	+516	open	—	01-03 08:59
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	1	$510	511	0	+511	open	—	01-23 18:16
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	1	$506	507	0	+507	open	—	02-12 03:02
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	1	$486	486	0	+486	open	—	02-14 21:54
Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	10	$478	446	153	+293	No	+$0	05-06 02:52
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	7	$471	236	236	+0	open	—	01-14 07:42
us strikes yemen by december 31	3	$469	350	120	+230	open	—	01-04 03:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$430	219	219	+0	open	—	04-22 09:27
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	1	$422	422	0	+422	open	—	02-14 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 11:46:24	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x5f4732…
05-31 20:01:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$207	0x2bd42f…
05-31 04:00:11	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1059fb…
05-29 18:55:41	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0x21b1a9…
05-26 02:00:09	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0x448582…
05-22 11:41:42	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xeec68c…
05-22 09:49:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x85560b…
05-21 12:48:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x27bdab…
05-17 12:33:11	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x5cfdc4…
05-16 05:18:24	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xa2718a…
05-06 03:09:00	Will Marco Rubio say "Interview" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8df032…
05-06 03:06:18	Will Marco Rubio say "Baby" or "Wedding" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0x5881f5…
05-06 02:52:00	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8370ad…
05-06 02:51:58	Will Marco Rubio say "Pentagon" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc60e58…
05-06 02:45:46	Will JD Vance say "Ukraine" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5e107a…
05-06 02:32:58	Will Marco Rubio say "Pentagon" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x8f91b4…
05-06 02:28:18	Will JD Vance say "Ukraine" in Des Moines?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb83580…
05-06 02:22:24	Will Marco Rubio say "Interview" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa9c90a…
05-06 02:03:16	Will JD Vance say "Ukraine" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xca9261…
05-06 02:02:32	Will Marco Rubio say "Baby" or "Wedding" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$104	0x475c34…
05-06 01:38:30	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xe75d09…
05-06 01:26:14	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbb8813…
05-06 01:15:22	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x362b55…
05-06 01:11:12	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x2913b6…
05-06 01:10:58	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x3e13a3…
05-06 01:09:34	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x15aadc…
05-06 01:08:16	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa6c8c3…
05-06 01:08:06	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc0f6cd…
05-06 01:05:30	Will Marco Rubio say "Baby" or "Wedding" during press briefing today?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x642cb4…
05-06 00:57:04	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1f92d6…
05-06 00:57:02	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb364f2…
05-06 00:57:00	Will Marco Rubio say "Filibuster" during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x50e785…
05-06 00:45:58	Will Marco Rubio say "Baby" or "Wedding" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7da3c4…
05-04 08:12:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	425	99¢	$421	0x81f3c5…
05-04 04:07:14	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	797	99¢	$788	0xa0e190…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1,222	99¢	$1,206	0x7b8a01…
05-03 07:40:28	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xfbf0af…
05-03 05:47:14	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "OpenAI" or "ChatGPT" this week?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xcc6f3b…
05-03 05:03:10	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x80baf7…
05-03 05:02:34	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "OpenAI" or "ChatGPT" this week?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5190ee…
04-30 14:13:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x718683…
04-25 08:54:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x3bb34a…
04-23 18:45:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x4a3b96…
04-22 09:27:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x3ed9bf…
04-20 08:19:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xaee248…
04-19 05:54:52	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xb7f475…
04-18 04:41:54	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$107	0x790bfd…
04-16 05:59:16	will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x2bbcf3…
04-11 14:03:33	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8b0fbd…
04-10 04:47:25	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb4707e…
04-09 18:05:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x60dfe8…
04-08 01:43:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0xaf51d4…
04-07 11:58:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xda4eed…
04-06 14:09:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x3cc91c…
04-06 13:37:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0x08d259…
04-05 15:24:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$107	0x40ec3c…
03-29 13:04:34	bill clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3bb0b1…
03-29 13:04:14	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd81dbc…
03-29 13:03:52	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7745a1…
03-29 13:03:38	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5d7673…
03-29 13:03:04	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9aac7e…
03-29 13:02:44	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2d909d…
03-29 13:02:26	will gas hit low 3pt05 by march 31	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1febd4…
03-29 13:01:30	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x9edf16…
03-26 15:22:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xf749cc…
03-26 13:57:59	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xf19a4b…
03-25 06:29:21	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xba0c53…
03-25 06:25:47	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x48ca4c…
03-25 06:25:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x34be64…
03-25 06:24:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x24dce2…
03-24 02:45:15	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9011e5…
03-24 02:35:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5efffa…
03-24 02:26:41	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe28e28…
03-20 12:39:31	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x62d4b0…
03-19 15:01:15	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x747943…
03-16 17:00:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3f1507…
03-15 14:40:41	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x8eecb2…
03-14 22:20:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd56d16…
03-14 22:12:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x9d2df1…
03-14 14:41:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6a52c4…
03-14 14:41:21	Unitas Labs FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13f4b9…
03-12 15:04:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x397433…
03-11 09:03:39	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc043fb…
03-10 10:37:05	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x8da778…
03-08 03:16:43	will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x61c7bb…
03-08 03:16:09	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0x8cb9b7…
03-07 13:55:55	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0xcafe1b…
03-06 04:51:29	Block Street FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x8757c1…
03-05 11:49:57	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xda8ce4…
03-04 13:19:13	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd532aa…
03-04 12:04:11	will trump say waste this week march 1	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd741a7…
03-04 11:58:13	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2a53c…
03-04 11:57:23	will hillary say trump 5 times during her epstein testimony	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd1aa07…
03-03 14:30:13	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x608760…
03-03 13:06:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0xf53b55…
03-02 13:50:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x66fd7b…
03-02 07:54:23	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x18d233…
03-01 14:48:41	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0xd92a7f…
03-01 13:32:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	410	0¢	$0	0xa0da77…
02-28 13:19:59	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefcd88…