Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$497

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

366

Trades

2,058

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-02

last 10-15 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 57% -$406

Other

28% 45% -$59

Politics

17% 40% -$27

Tech

2% 25% -$5

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	83	$592	838	838	+0	No	+$43	08-05 00:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	52	$590	318	317	+1	Yes	+$1	08-06 16:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	94	$400	1,362	1,362	+0	No	-$15	08-11 13:50
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	40	$314	549	549	+1	No	-$10	08-07 07:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	28	$304	324	324	+0	Yes	-$16	09-04 07:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$295	294	294	+0	No	+$17	08-16 09:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	30	$277	229	229	+0	open	—	09-04 07:52
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	71	$252	1,064	1,064	+0	No	-$97	08-07 07:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	37	$238	722	722	+0	open	—	08-16 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$200	204	0	+204	Down	+$4	10-02 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	5	$200	204	0	+204	Down	+$4	10-02 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$200	222	0	+222	Down	-$200	10-03 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	7	$200	208	0	+208	Up	+$8	10-02 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$200	215	0	+215	Up	+$15	10-02 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$200	213	0	+213	Down	+$13	10-02 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$200	211	0	+211	Down	+$11	10-01 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	5	$200	211	0	+211	Down	+$11	10-02 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	6	$200	213	0	+213	Down	+$13	10-02 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	11	$200	225	0	+225	Down	+$25	10-01 12:29
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	33	$176	382	382	+0	open	—	09-04 07:52
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	18	$171	112	111	+1	Yes	+$2	08-05 02:55
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	15	$169	273	273	+0	No	-$18	08-07 07:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	19	$158	284	284	+0	No	-$1	09-04 07:52
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	18	$151	110	109	+1	Yes	+$2	08-05 02:01
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	20	$126	83	83	+0	Yes	+$5	08-16 09:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	3	$118	86	86	+0	No	+$37	08-11 05:35
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	13	$92	85	85	+0	No	+$2	08-07 07:13
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$89	82	82	+0	Yes	+$3	08-17 08:30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	22	$84	304	304	+0	No	-$52	08-07 07:17
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	4	$66	49	48	+1	Yes	-$3	08-06 03:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 03:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xa737a5…
10-15 03:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa25ba8…
10-15 03:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcc79ab…
10-15 03:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfff648…
10-15 03:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x8fb597…
10-15 03:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6711e2…
10-15 02:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xad7a00…
10-15 02:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x13ccca…
10-15 01:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x483663…
10-14 16:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd2c57c…
10-14 15:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xe5fc60…
10-14 15:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x15c3ab…
10-14 15:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8522be…
10-14 15:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1a4068…
10-14 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6bc890…
10-14 13:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7616e0…
10-14 13:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xc46123…
10-14 13:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x657baf…
10-14 07:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x994f75…
10-14 01:58:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd396b3…
10-13 12:33:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x397137…
10-13 12:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xfa5cd7…
10-13 11:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0d450c…
10-13 10:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x97d2fd…
10-13 09:18:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfda578…
10-13 02:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6477fe…
10-13 02:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x340550…
10-13 00:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe0986b…
10-12 23:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x356f4e…
10-12 14:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xe9e0fa…
10-12 14:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45bcf7…
10-12 14:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbe7c5d…
10-12 14:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x997183…
10-12 14:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x6b144a…
10-12 12:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe63dc4…
10-12 05:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0e0f65…
10-11 20:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x699600…
10-11 16:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x8b1e77…
10-11 16:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x0e9eaf…
10-11 15:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcd29ff…
10-11 15:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1a710d…
10-09 15:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x189243…
10-09 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbd9c0e…
10-09 15:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x976e61…
10-09 15:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x11a76b…
10-09 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8bd4d5…
10-09 13:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xadc62e…
10-08 20:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9c8589…
10-08 19:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x288838…
10-08 19:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb05889…
10-08 16:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x04dd68…
10-08 15:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xe7aefa…
10-08 15:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x83b2fb…
10-08 11:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc6e384…
10-08 11:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x8530fe…
10-08 11:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xe6f124…
10-08 11:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x975631…
10-08 10:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x759442…
10-08 07:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xbcc86c…
10-08 07:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x074a30…
10-08 07:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x56551f…
10-08 04:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x63db2b…
10-08 04:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7ccc58…
10-07 17:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf893a4…
10-07 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6716fc…
10-07 14:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4ed5c8…
10-07 13:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x868de0…
10-07 09:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2b20af…
10-07 02:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xef92c6…
10-07 02:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xc20c65…
10-07 02:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x878cec…
10-06 19:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x947806…
10-06 14:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd5b7a0…
10-06 11:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1bbd3c…
10-06 09:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8e080f…
10-06 08:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa9f516…
10-05 20:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x15fad5…
10-05 16:28:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2bbfb3…
10-05 16:28:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x237f0b…
10-05 14:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x288b13…
10-05 13:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe081be…
10-05 13:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x51f10d…
10-05 13:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4eb208…
10-05 07:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x88814a…
10-05 07:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xc2a611…
10-05 03:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x473518…
10-05 02:13:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd8f043…
10-05 02:13:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2ff25e…
10-04 23:28:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3ba447…
10-04 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc1f781…
10-04 21:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xc80d9d…
10-04 16:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c04d2…
10-04 16:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xe16273…
10-04 16:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x22d6fb…
10-04 00:14:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x030b5e…
10-04 00:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xf46bbb…
10-04 00:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7453cf…
10-03 01:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	85	90¢	$77	0xd1415c…
10-03 01:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	137	90¢	$123	0x78391b…
10-02 22:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	155	95¢	$148	0x20ca6d…