Realized P&L
+$35
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
71
lifetime
Volume
$1.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$419
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 09-25 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
65% 56% +$41
Other
35% 67% +$3
Sports
1% 0% -$10
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +100 $77 94¢ $94 +$17 06-30 21:40
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +108 $75 72¢ $77 +$2 09-25 10:16
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +107 $75 72¢ $77 +$2 09-25 10:17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +50 $47 97¢ $48 +$1 08-06 07:44
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +50 $34 70¢ $35 +$0 08-06 07:45
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +28 $25 96¢ $27 +$2 08-24 08:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +52 $25 42¢ $22 -$3 08-22 10:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $10 66¢ $16 +$6 05-28 06:12
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +115 $70 11¢ $13 -$57 07-13 09:23
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 06-08 06:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $0 05-16 15:06
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 06-30 05:39