Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
71 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.93K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$172
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 09-25 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
65% 59% +$126
Other
35% 67% +$3
Sports
1% 0% -$10
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +100 $77 98¢ $98 +$21 06-30 21:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +52 $25 52¢ $27 +$2 08-22 10:32
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +28 $25 97¢ $27 +$2 08-24 08:59
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 06-08 06:43
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +115 $70 8¢ $9 -$62 07-13 09:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-16 15:06
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 06-30 05:39