Small-Utilisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$928

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-28 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

48% 56% -$15

Politics

31% 85% +$64

Sports

13% 38% -$10

Crypto

8% 40% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes		+15	$10	82¢	$13	+$3	10-26 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$63	54	54	+0	No	+$39	05-24 16:59
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	07-06 13:54
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	05-27 06:05
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$42	29	29	+0	No	+$2	05-19 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$40	503	0	+503	Up	-$40	05-18 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	4	$38	29	28	+0	Yes	+$14	06-01 07:34
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	06-01 07:34
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$30	21	21	+0	Nothing	+$0	05-27 06:16
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	05-19 18:14
lol ktc dkc 2026 06 17	1	$25	28	0	+28	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$3	06-17 07:48
mlb stl cin 2026 05 24 total 9pt5	3	$25	22	22	+0	Under	-$5	06-06 04:54
Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	05-30 16:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-01 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-02 06:08
Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-04 07:24
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 08:56
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 17:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	10-28 08:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$20	49	0	+49	No	-$20	05-25 09:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	05-18 09:00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	06-17 07:56
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	05-23 15:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	-$2	05-20 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	4	$18	67	67	+0	No	-$2	05-30 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-18 11:01
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	05-27 06:06
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	-$15	06-17 07:59
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$15	15	15	+0	No	-$5	06-02 06:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	05-29 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	2	$13	11	11	+0	No	+$3	05-31 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x481651…
10-28 08:38:16	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x89c044…
10-28 08:36:16	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xc75b45…
10-26 18:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5f1f27…
10-26 18:38:57	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Rodri	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe705fc…
10-26 18:34:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x200f52…
07-06 13:54:13	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xcfbaf6…
06-17 07:59:49	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xd7e24f…
06-17 07:56:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe8aa38…
06-17 07:55:19	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xe3f024…
06-17 07:48:10	lol ktc dkc 2026 06 17	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x3c1c4f…
06-06 04:54:06	mlb stl cin 2026 05 24 total 9pt5	Over	SELL	22	43¢	$10	0x909617…
06-04 07:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0xe54001…
06-04 07:24:48	Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3db63f…
06-03 07:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x3321c6…
06-02 06:10:32	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x45604b…
06-02 06:09:29	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xf60533…
06-02 06:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcbf060…
06-01 08:14:30	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x319cd2…
06-01 08:07:53	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf83d4b…
06-01 08:04:39	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdd215c…
06-01 07:57:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x554860…
06-01 07:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb614e8…
06-01 07:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdb89c5…
06-01 07:50:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa3e692…
06-01 07:34:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4d18d3…
06-01 07:34:08	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x99058f…
06-01 07:34:03	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x18be8c…
05-31 12:58:38	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc71ba3…
05-31 12:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xf4e5e0…
05-31 12:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x41238c…
05-30 16:53:15	Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x721a15…
05-30 08:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x4c19f2…
05-29 14:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x7884c2…
05-29 14:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc17e80…
05-29 14:18:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x7b7367…
05-28 12:57:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc4215e…
05-28 12:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0xba531e…
05-28 06:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3bf73f…
05-27 12:33:06	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5f2337…
05-27 06:42:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x5baaf4…
05-27 06:42:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xf2b87f…
05-27 06:39:03	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb50310…
05-27 06:34:09	Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8e1621…
05-27 06:29:16	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc4f517…
05-27 06:21:08	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7c54a3…
05-27 06:16:16	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	21	74¢	$15	0x10a0ea…
05-27 06:08:29	Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x20a832…
05-27 06:06:02	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb89242…
05-27 06:05:27	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe396af…
05-25 18:05:03	Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd77e7c…
05-25 18:01:42	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x65a111…
05-25 09:28:33	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xce1cfc…
05-25 09:26:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x600095…
05-24 23:02:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1627f4…
05-24 17:06:18	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0d7dfe…
05-24 16:59:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x2d0ea2…
05-23 15:04:18	Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa62ece…
05-22 22:10:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x70102c…
05-22 15:28:51	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xfd1f59…
05-22 15:25:12	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x4c5d72…
05-22 15:21:33	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x393c6f…
05-22 07:51:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xa770b0…
05-22 07:32:40	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7a41f3…
05-22 07:30:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x28b992…
05-21 06:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0x17d1f0…
05-21 06:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x994b72…
05-20 14:47:10	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x35377f…
05-20 14:32:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2a330…
05-20 14:28:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x44e2e1…
05-20 08:56:59	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xbcf8a6…
05-19 18:14:49	Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3349e5…
05-19 05:11:19	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0x14dc01…
05-18 16:37:21	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xbfb52e…
05-18 16:21:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5148e6…
05-18 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c5272…
05-18 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x8c0a43…
05-18 11:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbef0ce…
05-18 11:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdaeabc…
05-18 11:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5a1f7b…
05-18 10:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc7f1a5…
05-18 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xe7f939…
05-18 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	299	8¢	$25	0x5dd543…
05-18 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x34d950…
05-18 09:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x471427…
05-18 09:03:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xbb415c…
05-18 09:00:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4911ab…
05-18 09:00:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x818387…