Colorless-Plough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

668

Trades

887

lifetime

Volume

$7.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-04 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

81% 55% +$32

Sports

12% 47% -$3

Politics

3% 60% -$24

Crypto

3% 38% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+56	$10	18¢	$10	+$0	10-23 07:34
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+10	$5	70¢	$7	+$2	08-22 06:28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+7	$5	86¢	$6	+$1	10-07 21:44
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+22	$4	22¢	$5	+$1	10-07 21:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+31	$5	15¢	$5	$0	07-07 22:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+27	$5	14¢	$4	-$1	07-07 22:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+7	$5	32¢	$2	-$3	08-18 15:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?	2	$235	135	135	+0	Yes	+$35	09-15 20:27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	2	$114	65	65	+0	Yes	+$14	11-04 20:50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$110	127	0	+127	Yes	+$17	10-18 17:15
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	1	$100	123	0	+123	Carlos Alcaraz	+$23	11-01 04:24
Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?	1	$100	135	0	+135	Yes	+$35	09-27 12:35
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$87	47	47	+0	Yes	+$7	06-23 19:03
Will Colombia win on 2026-09-17?	3	$85	65	65	+0	Yes	+$45	09-17 19:59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$76	64	64	+0	Yes	+$26	07-19 22:06
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	3	$72	53	52	+1	Yes	+$33	04-14 22:22
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$68	150	126	+24	No	+$8	07-15 23:23
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	2	$67	62	62	+0	Yes	+$57	06-14 19:16
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	5	$65	48	47	+1	Yes	+$6	04-15 21:20
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	1	$60	67	0	+67	Diana Shnaider	+$7	11-01 04:26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?	2	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$14	09-15 21:11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$52	49	49	+0	Yes	+$2	10-21 15:16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	3	$52	32	32	+0	Yes	+$12	05-10 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:10 UTC	2	$50	88	0	+88	Up	-$50	06-04 05:11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$46	47	37	+10	Yes	+$6	10-07 21:42
will trump say military during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556645	3	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	07-28 18:37
epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	2	$42	32	32	+1	Yes	+$22	04-18 20:58
epl new bou 2026 04 18 bou	2	$40	37	36	+1	Yes	+$21	04-18 15:49
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$40	36,000	0	+36,000	Yes	-$40	07-23 08:20
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$40	49	0	+49	No	-$40	06-23 06:08
Will Barbados win on 2026-10-05?	3	$37	25	25	+0	Yes	+$7	10-06 01:44
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$37	27	27	+0	Yes	+$17	06-12 04:13
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 sun	2	$36	27	27	+1	Yes	+$17	04-12 15:20
will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	2	$35	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	07-11 23:48
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$35	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	07-06 03:17
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?	2	$35	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	05-09 16:49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	4	$35	43	17	+26	No	-$15	10-22 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:11:43	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1f0b46…
11-04 20:50:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x18b803…
11-04 18:38:01	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x48196a…
11-04 16:20:25	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8f3513…
11-04 16:15:28	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xddbb68…
11-04 12:54:07	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x64c498…
11-04 06:39:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe33ea4…
11-04 06:38:52	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf7879c…
11-03 19:58:58	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa96b99…
11-03 07:55:37	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x99a6db…
11-03 07:54:49	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2adea4…
11-03 02:34:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb26826…
11-03 02:34:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x981e79…
11-03 02:33:40	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xea5aa0…
11-03 02:33:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd19786…
11-03 02:32:36	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x79205b…
11-03 02:32:12	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa2d5c…
11-03 02:32:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfde13f…
11-03 02:26:51	Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf8dde9…
11-03 02:25:48	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie	Ben Shelton	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xddc565…
11-02 23:55:09	Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xda5010…
11-02 23:53:06	Will Salford City FC win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4f7010…
11-02 23:51:58	Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x21ff9c…
11-02 23:50:58	Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x93e326…
11-02 19:46:48	Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Ugo Humbert	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2fb9e3…
11-02 04:10:31	Taipei: Hou Chun Chien vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa1cfe9…
11-01 23:19:51	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot	Novak Djokovic	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xee5606…
11-01 17:24:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$8	0x634d5a…
11-01 04:26:36	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x1323e3…
11-01 04:24:51	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x266412…
10-31 22:22:43	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0d0030…
10-31 22:22:22	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf5c3ff…
10-31 22:22:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4c4d8f…
10-31 22:21:43	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9e1e23…
10-31 22:21:21	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5a8ecb…
10-31 22:21:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5c41ad…
10-31 22:19:54	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x06fc91…
10-29 15:00:41	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6d0ce8…
10-29 14:09:22	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfa89d0…
10-28 19:27:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2785fc…
10-28 17:06:55	W100 New Braunfels, TX: Ella McDonald vs Elvina Kalieva	Ella McDonald	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf5a9af…
10-28 17:06:31	W35 Norman, OK: Gloriana Nahum vs Capucine Jauffret	Gloriana Nahum	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf90dce…
10-28 00:25:30	Seoul: Billy Harris vs Aleksandar Vukic	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xecc0c4…
10-27 19:17:24	Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4fc60d…
10-27 17:39:51	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x94b4cb…
10-27 17:38:54	Sioux Falls: James Kent Trotter vs Maks Kasnikowski	Maks Kasnikowski	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8349d7…
10-27 17:37:09	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0dacb1…
10-27 14:36:59	Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8a36b2…
10-26 23:08:15	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x969d84…
10-26 23:07:38	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x75a683…
10-26 23:07:21	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf34fb3…
10-26 23:06:17	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x184f1e…
10-25 17:45:51	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2e0d94…
10-25 17:39:54	Sioux Falls: Erik Arutiunian vs Colin Sinclair	Colin Sinclair	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9e1c4f…
10-25 17:38:39	Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Jonah Braswell	Spencer Johnson	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4fdeab…
10-24 00:10:06	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x81b8b9…
10-23 23:56:20	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x795581…
10-23 19:33:41	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xc15ab7…
10-23 19:10:39	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9dec48…
10-23 08:48:38	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6cc68e…
10-23 07:34:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5d3a21…
10-23 04:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x77d857…
10-23 04:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0xc04e58…
10-23 04:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x0f7b6b…
10-22 01:50:15	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8db4fa…
10-22 01:49:36	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6d1281…
10-22 01:48:56	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7ae180…
10-22 01:48:24	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe93d16…
10-22 01:47:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xde9b1b…
10-22 01:47:20	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4b3bd2…
10-22 01:46:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe01d60…
10-22 01:45:26	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x32aea4…
10-22 01:45:03	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x48c162…
10-22 01:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2ab874…
10-22 01:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x22cc38…
10-22 01:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb10c3a…
10-21 18:44:08	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfa74ca…
10-21 18:40:15	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x419e75…
10-21 18:38:56	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa4824f…
10-21 18:38:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xad98de…
10-21 15:20:44	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfee8f1…
10-21 15:20:03	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3a59e7…
10-21 15:19:30	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x673cfb…
10-21 15:18:39	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xce264e…
10-21 15:18:21	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbc6314…
10-21 15:16:59	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xa4c047…
10-21 15:16:29	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xc58adc…
10-21 15:16:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xa178ea…
10-21 15:15:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x220947…
10-20 21:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc67824…
10-20 21:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6bd867…
10-20 20:59:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd20d47…
10-20 20:26:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x37bd76…
10-20 20:16:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x46ee5a…
10-20 14:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xa5c4c8…
10-20 04:32:08	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf4b90f…
10-20 04:31:51	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x43caf1…
10-20 04:31:17	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbde7d0…
10-20 04:30:36	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x35f047…
10-20 04:30:23	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6ba415…