Defiant-Underestimate 0x4fd899…82af91 Create alert
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
286
Trades
2,908
lifetime
Volume
$22.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$225
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-01 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 59% +$222
Other
35% 52% -$630
Politics
10% 24% -$920
Sports
7% 50% +$60
Tech
6% 73% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $100 36¢ $143 +$43 07-30 22:58
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $60 4¢ $45 -$15 11-01 07:39
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +944 $29 3¢ $27 -$2 10-16 12:49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 10¢ $10 -$14 10-14 20:56
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-18 17:36
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -97 -$32 0¢ $-0 +$31 08-03 05:04
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -100 -$10 0¢ $-0 +$10 08-21 21:39