Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$189
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
26,063 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$526.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$25
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-08 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Politics
52%
59%
+$29,836
Crypto
26%
46%
+$7,396
Other
20%
52%
-$830
Tech
2%
87%
+$216
Sports
1%
67%
-$38
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-08).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -238 | -$141 | 6¢ | $-15 | +$126 | 05-29 15:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -601 | -$60 | 2¢ | $-9 | +$51 | 05-01 06:07 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | -0 | -$12 | 39¢ | $-0 | +$12 | 04-29 10:11 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298 | 459 | $14.3K | 190,224 | 161,761 | +28,463 | No | -$434 | 02-25 11:35 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026 | 905 | $10.9K | 293,708 | 276,979 | +16,729 | No | +$27 | 02-18 16:39 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 492 | $9.8K | 166,387 | 173,369 | -6,982 | No | -$52 | 02-25 06:55 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 135 | $9.7K | 22,259 | 20,854 | +1,405 | Yes | +$12 | 02-28 19:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 358 | $9.6K | 130,288 | 137,411 | -7,122 | No | +$264 | 02-13 14:23 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026 | 718 | $8.8K | 130,468 | 114,666 | +15,802 | No | -$422 | 02-18 22:56 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 347 | $8.1K | 124,605 | 142,829 | -18,224 | No | -$21 | 02-06 19:36 |
| will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936 | 274 | $7.6K | 100,154 | 80,497 | +19,658 | No | -$288 | 02-26 18:41 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | 91 | $7.4K | 8,210 | 7,533 | +677 | Yes | +$896 | 05-28 14:27 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 379 | $6.9K | 513,432 | 595,939 | -82,507 | No | -$76 | 03-14 09:36 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 272 | $6.8K | 111,821 | 82,749 | +29,071 | Yes | +$28,499 | 02-28 14:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 81 | $6.7K | 11,455 | 10,358 | +1,097 | No | -$22 | 05-27 12:58 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | 65 | $6.5K | 3,593 | 3,593 | +0 | No | +$79 | 05-28 00:12 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694 | 289 | $6.3K | 56,241 | 43,598 | +12,643 | No | -$736 | 02-26 19:50 |
| will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 148 | $6.0K | 29,491 | 35,180 | -5,689 | No | +$855 | 02-21 18:49 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 289 | $5.7K | 81,321 | 56,941 | +24,380 | No | -$286 | 02-26 17:10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 113 | $5.7K | 16,460 | 15,888 | +572 | No | -$16 | 04-22 17:45 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 506 | $5.5K | 85,140 | 78,210 | +6,930 | No | -$498 | 02-20 20:31 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 444 | $5.1K | 119,607 | 143,407 | -23,799 | No | +$637 | 02-19 01:48 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 68 | $5.1K | 44,500 | 45,000 | -500 | No | +$184 | 01-31 19:57 |
| israel strikes iran by february 28 2026 | 111 | $4.9K | 16,042 | 19,078 | -3,036 | Yes | -$2,378 | 02-26 22:22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | 299 | $4.9K | 58,026 | 58,032 | -6 | No | +$57 | 05-23 12:17 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 300 | $4.6K | 54,281 | 39,526 | +14,755 | No | -$135 | 02-28 19:48 |
| will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026 | 464 | $4.5K | 256,427 | 252,100 | +4,327 | No | +$54 | 01-29 11:23 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 78 | $4.3K | 11,039 | 10,899 | +140 | No | +$143 | 04-21 17:55 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026 | 527 | $4.2K | 134,002 | 114,656 | +19,346 | No | -$247 | 02-17 00:47 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 265 | $4.2K | 141,881 | 142,679 | -798 | No | +$139 | 01-31 19:59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 167 | $4.1K | 21,554 | 17,036 | +4,518 | No | -$431 | 05-22 09:30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 132 | $4.1K | 14,710 | 12,194 | +2,515 | No | -$214 | 05-22 14:36 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 172 | $4.1K | 97,300 | 81,634 | +15,666 | No | -$199 | 03-25 18:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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