Trained-Cash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-22 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-30

Other

30% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$621	312	312	+0	open	—	04-01 20:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$170	172	0	+172	open	—	04-15 09:16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	3	$110	112	7	+106	open	—	03-24 09:46
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	01-26 10:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	03-19 09:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-20 09:55
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-23 15:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-13 07:22
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-31 14:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	$-25	05-08 09:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 06:18
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-23 14:13
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-23 15:43
will israel take military action in gaza on march 19 2026	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-20 11:47
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	3	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-27 09:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 09:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 11:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-21 06:19
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-20 09:43
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$15	11	5	+6	open	—	04-27 08:33
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	4	$13	17	12	+5	open	—	03-20 13:33
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-20 11:54
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	3	$11	8	5	+2	open	—	03-20 09:33
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$10	13	8	+5	open	—	01-26 18:40
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 09:59
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 05:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-31 14:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 08:42
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-23 15:37
ethereum above 3000 on january 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-27 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 09:15:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0abee9…
05-08 09:33:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xadfb3a…
05-08 06:40:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x67bc43…
04-27 14:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe7e87a…
04-27 11:02:56	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x23fa76…
04-27 08:42:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa17c09…
04-27 08:42:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5eadfe…
04-27 08:39:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa136d0…
04-27 08:33:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x133c64…
04-25 11:11:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x811111…
04-25 11:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x76854d…
04-25 11:07:20	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x1f5f71…
04-24 13:11:42	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5c7bf4…
04-24 13:11:34	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbb4982…
04-24 13:00:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x91fc95…
04-24 12:59:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x50df9a…
04-24 12:59:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x57ec5c…
04-24 12:58:10	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xabf570…
04-24 12:57:36	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba3f6a…
04-24 12:41:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x99fa50…
04-23 15:02:58	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x911801…
04-21 06:19:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xf0b70e…
04-21 06:18:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e5016…
04-17 08:33:40	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc67bb9…
04-17 08:33:08	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xedb774…
04-15 20:40:50	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6e2ce5…
04-15 20:40:24	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xd21c8c…
04-15 20:39:36	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$0	0x71b1f9…
04-15 20:38:10	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x112ce9…
04-15 09:16:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99823f…
04-13 07:53:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x5c2808…
04-13 07:22:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xeb44a0…
04-09 10:29:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x901293…
04-09 10:29:09	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8c52c4…
04-09 10:28:41	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x90b693…
04-09 10:28:35	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc73933…
04-06 08:36:07	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xaf01e8…
04-06 08:35:49	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xadc161…
04-04 02:39:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf86934…
04-01 20:29:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0x8d6fd2…
04-01 12:52:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x96cab6…
03-31 15:03:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1a8daf…
03-31 14:54:21	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x8763be…
03-31 14:48:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a1a1a…
03-31 14:47:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03869b…
03-30 10:13:14	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x8fecea…
03-30 10:11:08	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x8f70f9…
03-30 10:09:44	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x0b3245…
03-27 09:15:33	will jeff bezos be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x61edd0…
03-27 09:12:25	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd7f45e…
03-27 08:30:43	cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x36aea2…
03-24 09:48:27	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc6b97f…
03-24 09:46:35	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xd69c9b…
03-24 09:45:11	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x9481df…
03-21 07:01:49	will israel take military action in gaza on march 20 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x154c36…
03-21 07:01:39	will israel take military action in gaza on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc8e126…
03-20 13:36:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xd491c4…
03-20 13:33:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x515306…
03-20 13:25:03	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x438fb4…
03-20 13:24:05	will 1113 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x539d33…
03-20 13:23:51	will 1416 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a86d1…
03-20 13:23:49	will 1719 ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdf15ae…
03-20 13:22:17	megaquake by march 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x500b1f…
03-20 13:15:21	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x3c9a10…
03-20 12:39:05	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x72b36e…
03-20 11:54:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfdf74c…
03-20 11:47:35	will israel take military action in gaza on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3302a8…
03-20 11:44:57	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5ba7c4…
03-20 11:26:27	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa542af…
03-20 11:23:55	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8e8442…
03-20 10:00:17	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x02fd58…
03-20 09:59:13	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x83c36e…
03-20 09:55:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x95786d…
03-20 09:53:01	will israel take military action in gaza on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0e0bc0…
03-20 09:50:53	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf945c9…
03-20 09:47:33	will 20 or more ships be successfully targeted by iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0c0bf5…
03-20 09:46:09	will mark zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x899b53…
03-20 09:46:05	will larry ellison be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd23f31…
03-20 09:46:01	will jensen huang be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0cd76…
03-20 09:44:25	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xfc9973…
03-20 09:43:27	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa240e1…
03-20 09:42:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa94a08…
03-20 09:33:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x699a8c…
03-20 09:32:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa68663…
03-20 09:22:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x127485…
03-20 08:56:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbf899c…
03-20 08:56:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9989a2…
03-20 08:51:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x52e76b…
03-20 08:50:57	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd2dfc0…
03-20 05:51:59	will israel take military action in gaza on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd30b5e…
03-20 05:39:59	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc06b8e…
03-20 05:35:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7979f1…
03-20 05:29:49	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 20	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaeb089…
03-20 05:29:11	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 21	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa7b5e6…
03-20 00:33:37	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 21	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e2b8c…
03-19 18:55:47	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x451123…
03-19 14:49:29	will ren yahuasi calamani win the 2026 la paz gubernatorial election 682	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca1062…
03-19 13:31:53	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x50adb6…
03-19 09:16:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x53632a…
03-19 09:13:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 20	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x873bbc…