Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$867
Trades
87
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$49
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-01 02:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.3¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $146
vs crowd: 10% YES on $754)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $11 | $167 | $156 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $15 | $290 | $275 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $45 | $194 | $149 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $7 | $25 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $24 | $122 | $97 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $14 | $5 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $28 | $28 |
| Median | 1 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Below median | 7 | $8 | $15 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $13 | $188 | $175 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $14 | $32 | $18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $41 | $41 |
| unranked | 10 | $5 | $183 | $178 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +222 | $188 | $188 | 5 | 06-09 14:20 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +210 | $24 | $24 | 8 | 06-23 19:51 |
| Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | +175 | $173 | $173 | 1 | 06-28 21:48 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +122 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-28 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 21:48 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +75 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-28 21:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +71 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-09 14:20 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +64 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 06-25 15:28 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +62 | $1 | $10 | 6 | 06-30 18:44 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-30 18:44 |
| Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $7 | 2 | 06-23 19:51 |
| Trained-Cash 0x4fe6…13d6 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-25 14:32 |
| Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 12:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 13:29 |
| Important-Demand 0x3170…924c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +1 | $-5 | $5 | 3 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 07-01 02:59:10 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x495cde… |
| 06-30 18:44:05 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3e3d9… |
| 06-30 18:44:05 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xf3e3d9… |
| 06-28 21:48:10 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x891651… |
| 06-28 21:48:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x891651… |
| 06-28 21:48:10 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 175 | 99¢ | $173 | 0x891651… |
| 06-28 21:48:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x891651… |
| 06-28 21:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x891651… |
| 06-25 15:29:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7833ed… |
| 06-25 15:29:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7833ed… |
| 06-25 15:28:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12b16e… |
| 06-25 15:28:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12b16e… |
| 06-25 15:28:14 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 64 | 97¢ | $62 | 0x893ec4… |
| 06-25 15:28:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x893ec4… |
| 06-25 15:28:14 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x893ec4… |
| 06-25 14:32:17 | Trained-Cash 0x4fe6…13d6 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x46b7d8… |
| 06-25 14:32:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x46b7d8… |
| 06-23 19:51:13 | Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x09692e… |
| 06-23 19:51:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0x09692e… |
| 06-23 19:51:05 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf0aa13… |
| 06-23 19:51:05 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 32 | 98¢ | $32 | 0xf0aa13… |
| 06-23 19:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf0aa13… |
| 06-13 02:29:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x44adc1… |
| 06-13 02:29:28 | Famous-Audience 0x21d5…6f93 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x44adc1… |
| 06-13 02:29:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 0 | 81¢ | $0 | 0x44adc1… |
| 06-12 14:02:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xc7dca3… |
| 06-12 14:02:55 | Famous-Audience 0x21d5…6f93 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xc7dca3… |
| 06-11 11:03:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x60466d… |
| 06-11 11:03:52 | Negligible-Patent 0xee21…3721 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x60466d… |
| 06-09 20:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd1554e… |
| 06-09 20:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd1554e… |
| 06-09 20:19:09 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd1554e… |
| 06-09 17:10:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x867e34… |
| 06-09 17:10:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x867e34… |
| 06-09 17:10:40 | Important-Demand 0x3170…924c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x867e34… |
| 06-09 17:07:15 | Famous-Audience 0x21d5…6f93 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x0d32d2… |
| 06-09 17:07:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x0d32d2… |
| 06-09 14:20:25 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 113 | 86¢ | $97 | 0x1e6122… |
| 06-09 14:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x1e6122… |
| 06-09 14:20:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x1e6122… |
| 06-09 14:20:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x1e6122… |
| 06-06 14:12:01 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x86e0c2… |
| 06-06 14:12:01 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x86e0c2… |
| 06-06 14:11:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2a0404… |
| 06-06 14:11:51 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x2a0404… |
| 06-06 14:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2a0404… |
| 06-06 14:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2a0404… |
| 06-06 14:11:24 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9d6f30… |
| 06-06 14:11:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9d6f30… |
| 06-06 14:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc17e19… |
| 06-06 14:11:15 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc17e19… |
| 06-06 11:44:27 | Grounded-Bottling 0x4927…0f32 | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xccdb26… |
| 06-06 11:44:27 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xccdb26… |
| 06-06 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xccdb26… |
| 06-05 23:19:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x235cfc… |
| 06-05 23:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x235cfc… |
| 06-05 23:19:09 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x235cfc… |
| 06-05 23:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x235cfc… |
| 06-05 23:19:09 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x235cfc… |
| 06-05 16:07:04 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf951f4… |
| 06-05 16:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf951f4… |
| 06-05 16:07:04 | Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf951f4… |
| 06-05 16:07:04 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 64 | 88¢ | $56 | 0xf951f4… |
| 06-02 14:02:46 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 23 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x7eb6de… |
| 06-02 14:02:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7eb6de… |
| 06-02 14:02:46 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x7eb6de… |
| 06-01 17:05:18 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xc7c61a… |
| 06-01 17:05:18 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xc7c61a… |
| 05-31 20:47:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x600190… |
| 05-31 20:47:20 | Grounded-Bottling 0x4927…0f32 | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x600190… |
| 05-31 16:31:19 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x40b975… |
| 05-31 16:31:19 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x40b975… |
| 05-30 13:29:32 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x739c4a… |
| 05-30 13:29:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x739c4a… |
| 05-30 12:18:11 | Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x7104bd… |
| 05-30 12:18:11 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 12 | 60¢ | $7 | 0x7104bd… |