Realized P&L
+$83
Unrealized P&L
-$710
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
104
Trades
687
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$224
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-27 15:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
67% 65% +$80
Other
33% 62% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,348 $724 11¢ $142 -$583 10-05 10:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +738 $73 6¢ $42 -$31 10-27 15:31
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -40 -$35 94¢ $-38 -$3 04-28 15:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 -$14 6¢ $-2 +$12 04-28 13:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? Yes +670 $90 0¢ $1 -$89 10-12 09:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? Yes +334 $16 0¢ $1 -$15 10-12 08:18