Bouncy-Limestone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

548

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$56

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-08 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$0

Other

31% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	+52	$50	98¢	$51	+$1	05-30 23:24
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	06-01 13:50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	05-31 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	89	$484	548	549	-1	open	—	04-27 22:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	30	$454	447	447	+0	open	—	04-23 07:07
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	23	$347	353	353	+0	open	—	04-21 20:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$332	440	440	+0	open	—	04-27 16:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$257	176	176	+0	open	—	05-29 15:38
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$257	145	145	+0	open	—	04-12 19:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	16	$255	214	214	+0	open	—	05-24 14:12
will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	7	$218	112	112	+0	open	—	04-18 22:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$204	109	108	+0	open	—	04-17 21:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	14	$202	190	167	+22	open	—	04-20 23:49
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	7	$201	107	107	+0	open	—	04-12 19:02
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 09:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$191	90	120	-30	open	—	04-12 19:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 20:21
will trump cut off trade with spain	4	$175	80	100	-20	open	—	03-21 07:36
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$173	174	174	+0	open	—	04-27 18:09
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	17	$156	166	196	-30	open	—	04-23 14:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$150	90	90	+0	open	—	04-07 20:56
will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 495 233 864 361	2	$147	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 07:41
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$146	77	77	+0	open	—	04-12 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$136	128	128	+0	open	—	05-08 17:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$131	80	80	+0	open	—	04-07 22:34
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	5	$120	62	62	+0	open	—	06-01 01:27
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$114	62	62	+0	open	—	05-24 07:22
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	4	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	04-27 16:54
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	4	$109	57	57	+0	Yes	+$5	04-12 19:45
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	4	$105	64	64	+0	open	—	04-20 19:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$102	62	62	-0	open	—	04-27 18:54
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$102	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:43:55	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd3e0ab…
06-08 02:55:48	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	57¢	$31	0x4fc1cf…
06-08 02:55:37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xa2894a…
06-07 19:03:34	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x72f476…
06-07 16:31:30	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd869c2…
06-07 02:00:09	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$50	0x2cd770…
06-06 22:17:58	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd44c95…
06-05 10:28:24	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b3890…
06-01 13:50:21	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3b83e2…
06-01 13:20:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x0b07e4…
06-01 01:27:31	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x942b5a…
06-01 00:17:55	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x513615…
06-01 00:15:40	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xc25c9f…
05-31 22:26:04	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4e1ade…
05-31 21:03:35	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x0e91ae…
05-31 11:59:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x292e4b…
05-30 23:27:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6cafe0…
05-30 23:24:28	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x1bef4e…
05-30 23:21:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xfa99a7…
05-30 23:18:42	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x36ae3b…
05-30 23:17:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x831e23…
05-30 23:12:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd7b773…
05-29 15:38:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xc1310a…
05-24 14:12:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	65	91¢	$59	0x489f31…
05-24 07:22:04	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x0dd7de…
05-24 07:09:01	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0xcb8b3f…
05-23 21:11:19	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	27	60¢	$16	0x04a0d3…
05-23 17:51:59	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa9ec67…
05-21 17:18:53	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	27	91¢	$24	0x2ff1a2…
05-16 14:11:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6d077b…
05-16 13:24:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x36b7d4…
05-15 10:40:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xa47f38…
05-14 10:41:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfd791e…
05-13 12:28:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x86eae3…
05-13 09:43:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x13f6c2…
05-12 20:11:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x245b47…
05-12 17:26:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc71a66…
05-12 17:08:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9c1830…
05-12 17:07:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9667c4…
05-12 17:06:32	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x0ff838…
05-12 17:05:20	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x51a2aa…
05-12 16:57:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xeb54f1…
05-12 16:54:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd726d5…
05-12 16:52:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xc453f6…
05-12 15:33:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf7e041…
05-08 17:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc0a12a…
05-08 17:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0x306186…
05-08 17:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0xb586fa…
05-08 17:09:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	66¢	$28	0x36e9dd…
05-08 09:20:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3fa74f…
05-08 04:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x936dc3…
05-07 23:01:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0a954f…
05-07 20:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xc5aa55…
05-07 20:42:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xbfb424…
05-07 18:11:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x15d42d…
05-07 16:38:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x5512e1…
05-07 16:37:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	73	33¢	$24	0xbdaed6…
05-07 16:37:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x3c6d36…
05-07 14:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x46fe54…
05-07 13:32:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfeb5c2…
05-07 12:46:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x63dc4d…
05-07 12:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc3ef41…
05-07 12:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1abff3…
05-07 10:39:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x25bc68…
05-07 09:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x22859c…
05-07 09:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5c259f…
05-07 08:26:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xab3d2f…
05-07 08:25:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8803f8…
05-06 21:10:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x84e9f1…
05-06 18:57:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xd43ec9…
05-06 18:56:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc51423…
05-06 17:07:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb3be69…
05-06 12:54:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x019edf…
05-06 12:51:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x8ca2dc…
05-06 12:17:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x28d9f7…
05-06 12:17:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x5809cc…
05-06 12:07:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb4ccee…
05-06 11:58:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7a48ce…
05-06 11:43:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x00bbc1…
05-06 11:42:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x12fd67…
05-06 11:32:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0xe5f156…
05-06 11:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x3db21b…
05-06 10:58:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2dd151…
05-06 10:57:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2b5a77…
05-06 07:38:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x98f0f1…
05-05 22:54:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x56d759…
05-05 12:06:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0xb84f16…
04-29 12:09:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xbe6f59…
04-28 08:01:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xfe1d42…
04-28 08:00:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x98f67d…
04-28 04:20:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	29¢	$18	0x842a83…
04-27 22:52:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf264e2…
04-27 22:10:08	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc1bd93…
04-27 22:09:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x57982e…
04-27 22:09:54	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x231cca…
04-27 22:09:52	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x6cd0f7…
04-27 22:09:52	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1e365a…
04-27 21:52:32	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1596ed…
04-27 21:52:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd08744…
04-27 21:52:28	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf36bea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	83	$33.5M	46,143	06-05 21:02
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	80	$766.7K	54,174	06-09 22:49
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	79	$417.8K	30,397	06-01 02:25
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	76	$1.24M	19,888	06-10 03:40
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	76	$45.7K	10,532	05-08 08:26
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	73	$178.4K	1,388	06-08 20:58
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	73	$64.5K	6,560	06-09 20:22
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	70	$617.1K	9,490	06-10 02:53