Naive-Motel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

3,311

Trades

5,138

lifetime

Volume

$486.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$155

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-12 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

95% 68% -$10,116

Crypto

5% 73% -$182

Sports

1% 58% -$490

Politics

0% 56% -$221

Tech

0% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports		+169	$100	92¢	$155	+$55	11-12 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	3	$6.2K	3,676	3,676	+0	Team Falcons	+$1,099	10-15 14:28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	6	$6.2K	3,316	3,316	+0	MOUZ	+$395	10-05 16:17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	2	$6.2K	3,269	3,269	+0	Team Falcons	+$324	10-17 17:46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	5	$5.5K	2,928	2,928	+0	MOUZ	+$348	10-05 15:06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	2	$5.0K	2,595	2,595	+0	Yes	+$154	10-17 13:56
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	2	$4.7K	2,535	2,535	+0	Natus Vincere	+$378	10-05 14:05
cs2 shin g2 2026 10 05 game2	2	$4.2K	2,408	2,408	+0	G2	+$583	10-05 10:47
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	5	$4.2K	2,170	2,170	+0	Natus Vincere	+$177	10-05 13:04
cs2 eye gl1 2026 10 17	4	$3.8K	2,449	2,449	+0	EYEBALLERS	+$1,071	10-17 13:49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	6	$3.8K	2,110	2,110	+0	Vitality	+$224	10-10 16:49
cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	4	$3.7K	1,950	1,950	+0	Spirit	+$193	10-04 12:18
cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04 game1	3	$3.7K	1,992	1,992	+0	Vitality	+$305	10-04 17:15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner	3	$3.7K	2,187	2,187	+0	G2	+$700	10-06 14:01
cs2 fal2 aur1 2026 10 04 game1	6	$3.7K	1,916	1,916	+0	Team Falcons	+$171	10-04 12:59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	2	$3.2K	4,358	0	+4,358	BetBoom Team	-$3,225	10-17 17:47
cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04 game2	2	$3.1K	1,764	1,764	+0	Spirit	+$404	10-04 10:57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	8	$3.1K	3,530	0	+3,530	Vitality	+$424	10-05 17:52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	4	$3.0K	1,577	1,577	+0	Vitality	+$140	10-10 15:40
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner	2	$2.9K	1,550	1,550	+0	Spirit	+$215	10-03 14:14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	3	$2.7K	1,570	1,353	+217	MOUZ	-$7	10-24 10:11
cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 04 game2	4	$2.6K	1,391	1,391	-0	MOUZ	+$165	10-04 15:59
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	2	$2.6K	1,367	1,367	+0	TheMongolz	+$174	10-24 09:11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner	3	$2.5K	1,344	1,344	+0	Vitality	+$161	10-03 13:04
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 10 09 game1	6	$2.5K	1,357	1,357	+0	Spirit	+$189	10-09 17:57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	2	$2.4K	1,314	1,314	+0	Natus Vincere	+$196	10-07 15:24
cs2 mibr 100t 2026 10 17	2	$2.4K	1,419	1,419	+0	MIBR	+$405	10-17 13:11
cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 04	2	$2.3K	1,318	1,318	+0	MOUZ	+$317	10-04 15:59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	2	$2.2K	3,754	0	+3,754	PARIVISION	-$2,232	10-06 14:01
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	2	$2.1K	1,199	1,199	+0	FUT Esports	+$298	10-24 08:57
cs2 eye gl1 2026 10 17 game1	2	$2.1K	1,096	1,096	+0	GamerLegion	+$95	10-17 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 07:59:45	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x414bd7…
11-12 06:38:46	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	FURIA	BUY	239	96¢	$230	0xd287e8…
11-12 06:01:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x70c487…
11-12 05:33:18	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	230	75¢	$173	0x72e35a…
11-11 20:04:12	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	The Last Resort	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x27ff9e…
11-11 19:45:43	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winner	The Last Resort	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x57d133…
11-11 18:08:57	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner	The Last Resort	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x029ad2…
11-11 18:08:40	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x63bdc6…
11-11 17:36:21	Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs magic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs	magic	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xe361a8…
11-11 17:35:09	Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs magic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs	magic	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xf12daf…
11-11 15:52:09	Counter-Strike: Nexus vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	BakS eSports	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6dc5eb…
11-11 14:56:03	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xc84db1…
11-11 14:56:03	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc512d5…
11-11 14:56:03	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x94698b…
11-11 14:56:03	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x634e34…
11-11 14:56:01	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	ex-Sashi Academy	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xa780a4…
11-11 14:55:34	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner	Ducks	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0xb79720…
11-11 13:54:27	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner	Ducks	BUY	164	77¢	$126	0x26cc99…
11-11 13:52:33	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lunacy Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group D	G2 Ares	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x2b7178…
11-11 12:52:55	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lunacy Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group D	G2 Ares	BUY	139	76¢	$106	0x73b1e4…
11-11 11:41:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	149	71¢	$105	0x5715a6…
11-11 11:11:36	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	233	90¢	$210	0x0179c9…
11-11 10:53:34	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x59e7e1…
11-11 10:18:01	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	313	100¢	$313	0x7fb802…
11-11 09:30:42	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	313	76¢	$236	0xb6920d…
11-11 08:56:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4493b6…
11-11 08:47:42	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x4d29f1…
11-11 08:20:24	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x701bcb…
11-11 08:00:31	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	260	56¢	$146	0x972e82…
11-11 07:23:36	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x491207…
11-11 05:37:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	125	85¢	$106	0x93fcad…
11-10 10:10:46	Counter-Strike: Brute vs ILLYRIANS - Map 2 Winner	Brute	BUY	111	70¢	$78	0xc4cd71…
11-10 09:43:58	Counter-Strike: Brute vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Brute	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x4cd7a7…
11-10 09:28:58	Counter-Strike: Brute vs ILLYRIANS - Map 1 Winner	Brute	BUY	54	85¢	$46	0x25dbee…
11-10 09:28:57	Counter-Strike: Brute vs ILLYRIANS - Map 1 Winner	Brute	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xbf48aa…
11-10 08:56:30	Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf8aada…
11-10 07:53:33	Brisbane 3: August Holmgren vs Philip Sekulic	August Holmgren	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc91380…
11-10 07:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 10?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x66f4fb…
11-10 07:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x6c44d1…
11-09 20:50:13	WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x66657c…
11-09 17:54:52	Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0x8631c5…
11-09 17:54:39	Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	404	87¢	$353	0x2976b2…
11-09 17:54:31	Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch	Max Houkes	SELL	152	13¢	$20	0x24ba20…
11-09 17:14:49	Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch	Max Houkes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x6cb3d2…
11-09 17:06:55	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs	FOKUS	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0x0b11e0…
11-09 17:02:10	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	457	94¢	$428	0xdaa301…
11-09 17:01:36	Sopo: Laura Pigossi vs Dalila Jakupovic	Laura Pigossi	SELL	430	100¢	$430	0x1e21af…
11-09 16:05:16	Sopo: Laura Pigossi vs Dalila Jakupovic	Laura Pigossi	BUY	430	88¢	$379	0x8fb0bb…
11-09 15:38:54	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner	Alliance	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xf8f31e…
11-09 14:50:30	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8b7be3…
11-09 14:49:19	Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel	Cosme Rolland De Ravel	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x668fce…
11-09 14:49:00	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner	Alliance	SELL	348	100¢	$347	0xa4a9ff…
11-09 14:40:01	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner	Alliance	BUY	348	76¢	$264	0xe98cbe…
11-09 13:39:48	Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel	Cosme Rolland De Ravel	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xb82574…
11-09 12:15:27	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann	Alex Michelsen	BUY	269	88¢	$237	0x9484e5…
11-09 11:55:28	Hersonissos 3: Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini	Lorenzo Angelini	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0x406148…
11-09 11:01:04	Hersonissos 3: Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	238	81¢	$193	0x42314e…
11-09 10:36:04	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs Prestige - Map 2 Winner	Prestige	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe167a3…
11-09 09:18:13	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner	Sökerorg	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa9f6ee…
11-09 06:58:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 9?	No	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x49e619…
11-09 06:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	67¢	$44	0x8d721e…
11-08 19:32:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	528	52¢	$275	0x2f26f3…
11-08 18:00:46	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x244b50…
11-08 17:41:45	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xbf76dc…
11-08 17:18:01	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	160	66¢	$106	0xd01c09…
11-08 16:45:30	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xabe891…
11-08 15:21:48	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	409	95¢	$388	0x67ab83…
11-08 10:56:45	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	116	87¢	$100	0xdf90cd…
11-08 09:57:25	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	375	98¢	$369	0x29dc1b…
11-08 09:02:33	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	191	97¢	$184	0xc097b5…
11-08 07:44:04	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	362	77¢	$279	0x088858…
11-07 20:35:15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	281	90¢	$253	0x47da68…
11-07 19:28:46	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x46bb44…
11-07 18:21:37	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	254	72¢	$183	0x082e51…
11-07 17:56:19	Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x4744c4…
11-07 17:02:24	Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	186	92¢	$171	0x2648a9…
11-07 17:00:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xe7e766…
11-07 16:34:37	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0x65ee6f…
11-07 16:28:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$160	0x7f7dfb…
11-07 14:08:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	161	79¢	$127	0x7bfdd6…
11-07 14:05:58	Counter-Strike: Lunacy Team vs maybe - Map 1 Winner	Lunacy Team	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xa48c6a…
11-07 11:54:28	Counter-Strike: Lunacy Team vs maybe - Map 1 Winner	Lunacy Team	BUY	128	83¢	$106	0x8706a6…
11-07 11:39:16	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Drama eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D	Johnny Speeds	BUY	242	65¢	$157	0x5506fc…
11-07 11:37:18	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xa5973b…
11-07 09:50:46	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	160	66¢	$106	0xc16328…
11-07 07:51:31	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	354	63¢	$223	0x1dbc0c…
11-07 07:04:27	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xfd5896…
11-06 18:40:22	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x267df2…
11-06 18:33:54	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Ryvex - Map 2 Winner	Ryvex	SELL	296	100¢	$296	0x6ca1ba…
11-06 16:54:58	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Ryvex - Map 2 Winner	Ryvex	BUY	296	92¢	$272	0xd60f3b…
11-06 16:40:09	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Ryvex - Map 1 Winner	Drama eSports	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0xbd470b…
11-06 16:05:00	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Ryvex - Map 1 Winner	Drama eSports	BUY	274	83¢	$228	0x1ed624…
11-06 15:27:03	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C	Sökerorg	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x23fc01…
11-06 14:27:28	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C	Sökerorg	BUY	230	77¢	$177	0x7e2978…
11-06 13:43:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xc8a16d…
11-06 13:00:16	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x59dc5f…
11-06 12:37:04	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	281	65¢	$183	0xf9665a…
11-06 11:46:21	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x6341e5…
11-06 11:33:55	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	187	88¢	$164	0x82ae69…
11-06 10:17:42	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xa0b06e…