Happy-Turtle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

162

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-14 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

76% 31% -$749

Politics

16% 33% -$1,011

Tech

7% 0% -$3

Crypto

0% 8% -$28

Sports

0% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	25	$1.0K	1,225	1,225	+0	No	+$122	08-14 03:23
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	23	$787	8,220	0	+8,220	No	-$787	08-14 03:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$597	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	07-29 05:35
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$480	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$480	07-04 16:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$425	1,064	564	+500	Yes	-$121	07-29 08:02
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	30	$424	1,208	1,208	+0	No	-$298	07-31 01:20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	3	$394	660	160	+500	No	-$202	07-06 17:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$358	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-14 01:31
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$348	248	248	+0	Yes	+$148	07-23 11:11
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	4	$323	218	218	+0	No	+$56	07-28 01:46
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	5	$310	417	222	+195	Over	-$71	07-07 17:04
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	10	$304	300	300	+0	open	—	08-13 18:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$300	506	0	+506	Spain	+$206	07-19 16:59
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	4	$300	454	139	+316	No	+$115	07-15 19:34
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	3	$280	300	300	+0	Yes	+$128	08-12 16:55
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	3	$262	346	180	+166	Under	+$81	07-14 12:52
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	11	$242	430	0	+430	No	-$242	08-14 00:05
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$232	401	401	+0	open	—	08-13 17:31
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	5	$203	800	800	+0	No	-$3	08-13 17:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	07-29 05:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$200	157	157	+0	open	—	07-28 00:28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	8	$197	300	300	+0	No	+$1	08-02 00:48
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	3	$197	270	270	+0	open	—	07-29 07:41
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$188	232	232	+0	No	-$1	07-14 12:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$183	273	273	+0	open	—	07-29 05:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$178	964	964	+0	open	—	07-28 00:29
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	3	$177	400	400	+0	No	-$44	08-10 09:21
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$172	500	500	+0	open	—	08-13 23:51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$164	211	211	+0	Yes	-$1	07-10 16:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	5	$160	196	196	+0	open	—	07-28 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 03:24:58	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$2	0x81f4bf…
08-14 03:23:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x99a0e1…
08-14 02:17:16	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,871	4¢	$75	0xb0e667…
08-14 02:16:07	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	3,026	4¢	$118	0x4982ec…
08-14 02:06:19	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x701674…
08-14 02:05:40	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$39	0x55a1a5…
08-14 01:59:42	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x678ba1…
08-14 01:41:07	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x67d914…
08-14 01:40:04	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$11	0xd195da…
08-14 01:31:48	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0xb039e6…
08-14 01:31:22	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	414	5¢	$21	0x49fded…
08-14 01:31:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0xe3be8e…
08-14 01:14:31	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0xaab0c2…
08-14 00:05:16	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xa9e88a…
08-13 23:58:48	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xa663a8…
08-13 23:58:39	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x3335b5…
08-13 23:57:58	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xff209d…
08-13 23:57:36	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xfd113c…
08-13 23:56:49	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x718391…
08-13 23:55:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x1d6915…
08-13 23:54:43	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x84f4ed…
08-13 23:54:06	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	117	23¢	$27	0xa39604…
08-13 23:51:36	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	25¢	$51	0x745576…
08-13 18:12:58	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc22f78…
08-13 18:12:03	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x95fcbc…
08-13 18:09:37	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x0ab813…
08-13 18:09:19	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8f27c3…
08-13 18:08:58	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	67	53¢	$36	0x527cb8…
08-13 18:08:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x1524dd…
08-13 17:55:15	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	106	62¢	$66	0x3a2873…
08-13 17:54:30	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$27	0x1b7f8f…
08-13 17:54:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0xee1389…
08-13 17:46:49	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xaf1a84…
08-13 17:46:22	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x187bff…
08-13 17:46:18	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x97b000…
08-13 17:46:01	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x882729…
08-13 17:45:55	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xf0f57f…
08-13 17:44:28	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xa34bef…
08-13 17:41:57	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	SELL	99	19¢	$19	0x0a85a6…
08-13 17:41:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x4c594e…
08-13 17:40:16	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x6c11dc…
08-13 17:39:57	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x4ba992…
08-13 17:39:37	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	220	63¢	$138	0x2e84b5…
08-13 17:36:21	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	7¢	$72	0xf0ce1d…
08-13 17:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x0a997f…
08-13 17:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 13?	Yes	SELL	94	25¢	$23	0xd58c68…
08-13 17:33:06	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	255	60¢	$153	0xf3bbcc…
08-13 17:31:51	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0xb149bf…
08-13 17:31:30	Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	301	28¢	$83	0xdb35e7…
08-13 14:12:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x50faab…
08-13 10:04:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x73b83e…
08-13 10:04:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2fb5de…
08-13 10:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x895e45…
08-13 10:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xf63ef3…
08-13 09:58:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xcd681a…
08-13 09:58:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	67	54¢	$36	0x8c3487…
08-13 09:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	46	45¢	$20	0x719f6d…
08-13 09:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xc2c548…
08-13 09:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xbfc748…
08-13 09:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x5e5271…
08-13 09:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x9378ec…
08-13 08:05:39	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x42ee3f…
08-13 01:34:04	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$22	0xf9f83e…
08-13 01:19:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	No	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0x4438f2…
08-13 00:53:00	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$15	0xc4c13b…
08-13 00:51:46	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$37	0xf5baa3…
08-13 00:15:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x08ef4c…
08-12 17:30:37	cs2 navi 3dmax 2026 08 12	3DMAX	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x502b92…
08-12 17:30:31	cs2 navi 3dmax 2026 08 12	3DMAX	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xf0a62f…
08-12 17:27:39	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	100 Thieves	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x9f0c5c…
08-12 17:19:34	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	BUY	49	28¢	$14	0x009526…
08-12 17:19:15	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x296591…
08-12 16:55:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	93	49¢	$45	0x7b3ed1…
08-12 16:55:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xcbbc7b…
08-12 16:55:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0x910fe3…
08-12 16:54:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x69274f…
08-12 16:54:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xca820d…
08-12 16:50:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	73	44¢	$33	0x57d7ee…
08-12 16:48:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$121	0x22d0fb…
08-12 13:49:27	cs2 nip lgc 2026 08 12	NIP	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9e46d8…
08-12 13:45:49	cs2 nip lgc 2026 08 12	NIP	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x88b1fd…
08-12 13:45:34	cs2 nip lgc 2026 08 12	NIP	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x3ac729…
08-12 13:44:51	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xbcc83f…
08-12 13:42:12	cs2 nip lgc 2026 08 12	NIP	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x5bf8bb…
08-12 13:39:40	cs2 nip lgc 2026 08 12	NIP	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0xf34143…
08-12 05:35:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x0ca291…
08-12 03:29:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x201c44…
08-12 03:28:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x06fe09…
08-12 02:36:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$0	0x14bea3…
08-12 01:13:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x80cb66…
08-12 01:13:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x13cc8a…
08-12 01:12:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc611ee…
08-12 01:09:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xfb1d94…
08-12 01:09:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xa0a1e0…
08-11 16:55:27	Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0xa7c136…
08-11 16:52:45	Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x8ffea8…
08-10 14:18:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x54cd6d…
08-10 14:17:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	103	8¢	$8	0xa4e556…
08-10 13:55:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc9e44a…
08-10 13:50:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x97872f…