Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
296
Trades
1,523
lifetime
Volume
$39.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$394
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-14 07:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
39% 49% +$1,435
Sports
29% 36% -$1,620
Other
29% 40% +$350
Tech
2% 20% -$212
Crypto
1% 50% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -220 -$145 90¢ $-199 -$54 05-01 09:28
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $62 16¢ $63 +$2 11-14 07:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +75 $44 84¢ $63 +$20 11-05 00:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +70 $32 68¢ $47 +$15 11-05 21:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +78 $21 18¢ $14 -$7 11-13 06:15
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +50 $8 7¢ $4 -$4 11-11 04:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +100 $26 2¢ $2 -$24 09-16 08:37