Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
296
Trades
1,521
lifetime
Volume
$39.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$382
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-13 06:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
39% 49% +$1,435
Sports
29% 36% -$1,620
Other
29% 40% +$350
Tech
2% 20% -$212
Crypto
1% 50% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -220 -$145 91¢ $-201 -$56 05-01 09:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +75 $44 82¢ $62 +$18 11-05 00:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +70 $32 68¢ $47 +$15 11-05 21:06
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +250 $35 18¢ $45 +$10 11-10 13:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +78 $21 23¢ $18 -$3 11-13 06:15
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +50 $8 13¢ $7 -$1 11-11 04:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +100 $26 3¢ $3 -$23 09-16 08:37