Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,574
lifetime
Volume
$53.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$608
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-11 04:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
58% 100% +$4
Other
38% 100% +$7
Tech
4%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +260 $181 68¢ $176 $-5 06-10 19:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +110 $88 84¢ $93 +$5 06-10 19:19
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$1 06-10 15:52
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +110 $84 80¢ $87 +$3 05-28 19:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -80 $-73 80¢ $-64 +$9 06-08 23:11
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-04 01:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +50 $42 94¢ $47 +$5 06-04 22:53