Realized P&L
-$956
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
403
Trades
2,681
lifetime
Volume
$76.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$627
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
53% 83% -$552
Politics
43% 82% -$455
Tech
3% 80% +$2
Sports
0% 100% +$44
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +120 $85 82¢ $98 +$13 10-26 08:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +90 $81 96¢ $86 +$5 08-27 02:21
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -74 -$67 97¢ $-72 -$5 05-13 05:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $65 68¢ $67 +$3 10-27 21:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +80 $52 80¢ $64 +$13 10-24 16:16
China coup attempt before 2027? No -64 -$62 97¢ $-62 -$1 10-27 03:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +50 $33 100¢ $50 +$17 09-10 23:23
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +50 $43 90¢ $45 +$1 10-27 23:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +45 $26 94¢ $42 +$17 10-09 16:15
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +30 $15 97¢ $29 +$14 10-08 13:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +70 $135 12¢ $8 -$127 10-20 14:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$4 22¢ $-2 +$1 05-20 01:39