Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,029

lifetime

Volume

$363.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-10 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

53% 77% +$3,114

Other

25% 100% +$283

Crypto

18% 60% +$1,483

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	47	$50.5K	57,600	11,912	+45,688	open	—	06-03 21:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$21.7K	15,487	15,487	+0	open	—	03-01 08:22
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$17.1K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	07-06 00:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	29	$13.2K	42,251	37,578	+4,673	open	—	06-15 13:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	33	$11.4K	22,980	22,980	+0	open	—	06-11 17:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	41	$10.4K	22,750	25,250	-2,500	open	—	05-28 16:28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	28	$10.2K	9,804	9,804	+0	open	—	03-02 13:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	41	$7.9K	9,554	5,275	+4,279	open	—	04-21 22:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$6.4K	22,099	22,099	+0	open	—	06-11 20:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	14	$6.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	05-23 10:47
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	8	$5.7K	11,787	2,787	+9,000	open	—	08-05 08:04
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	18	$5.4K	16,203	3,994	+12,209	open	—	07-07 18:21
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	20	$4.7K	5,504	903	+4,601	open	—	04-10 22:48
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	6	$4.3K	10,866	0	+10,866	open	—	08-05 07:58
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	45	$4.3K	3,119	2,661	+457	open	—	05-28 11:13
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	9	$4.2K	4,188	3,288	+900	open	—	05-25 00:25
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	02-28 21:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-01 17:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	23	$3.5K	6,077	5,000	+1,077	open	—	04-22 09:53
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	17	$3.3K	7,673	0	+7,673	open	—	08-11 11:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$3.2K	3,011	2,000	+1,011	open	—	04-19 19:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	19	$3.1K	8,500	0	+8,500	open	—	08-06 09:57
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	5	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-01 09:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	19	$2.8K	3,124	2,584	+540	open	—	04-12 13:03
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$2.6K	3,057	0	+3,057	open	—	03-07 09:53
will trump say moon this week april 12	4	$2.5K	2,600	0	+2,600	open	—	04-07 14:12
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	12	$2.5K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	07-05 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$2.3K	6,016	0	+6,016	open	—	08-06 18:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$2.2K	4,683	0	+4,683	open	—	04-29 22:44
will trump say china during speech to the nation 20260714024840217	5	$2.1K	5,304	0	+5,304	open	—	07-17 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:44:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x6c4321…
08-11 11:44:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,616	19¢	$307	0xec9d7e…
08-11 10:19:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x8e8897…
08-11 10:19:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1c908c…
08-11 10:09:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xa449fe…
08-11 10:09:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x192c39…
08-11 10:08:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x0b7764…
08-11 10:06:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	191	19¢	$36	0x37bf3c…
08-11 10:02:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x8f58ac…
08-11 10:02:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x378e22…
08-11 09:39:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x7b2a8f…
08-11 09:34:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x1a1fdd…
08-11 09:34:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x58861b…
08-11 09:28:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	165	19¢	$31	0x4e439f…
08-11 09:28:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xc8e5c1…
08-11 09:28:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,625	19¢	$309	0x9d0ed5…
08-10 22:04:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3,000	82¢	$2,460	0x9dd646…
08-09 15:13:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x5d0453…
08-09 11:50:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x3eaa3f…
08-09 11:50:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	406	29¢	$118	0x16d5ad…
08-09 11:46:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2,000	29¢	$580	0x527bd9…
08-09 11:43:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	174	29¢	$50	0x04515c…
08-09 11:43:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	283	29¢	$82	0x7eab2d…
08-09 11:41:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	704	29¢	$204	0xf0481f…
08-09 11:32:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf2ba32…
08-09 11:24:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb76e71…
08-09 11:17:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7ac6fe…
08-09 11:16:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x6954f3…
08-09 11:04:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	409	29¢	$119	0x102094…
08-08 15:43:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x71ca4f…
08-08 15:30:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe874a5…
08-08 15:30:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	223	15¢	$33	0x0a6557…
08-08 12:00:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	247	15¢	$37	0xd0a7a9…
08-08 12:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0xdbc095…
08-06 18:06:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x815b6d…
08-06 17:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	950	78¢	$741	0x1e02f3…
08-06 17:33:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbd761f…
08-06 17:01:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xaa7c87…
08-06 12:52:08	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260731171732970	No	BUY	1,149	2¢	$17	0x068329…
08-06 09:57:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2,500	28¢	$688	0xe71c66…
08-06 09:31:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1,500	32¢	$477	0x64c413…
08-05 16:35:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	3,500	44¢	$1,522	0x05573a…
08-05 13:01:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	111	42¢	$47	0xe90e68…
08-05 12:59:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	173	42¢	$73	0xaa2140…
08-05 12:59:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x8ac8c1…
08-05 12:59:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	195	42¢	$82	0xa8db8a…
08-05 12:57:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5dd86a…
08-05 12:57:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9aa43a…
08-05 12:56:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb5489f…
08-05 12:56:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x564ccb…
08-05 12:56:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xddafd2…
08-05 12:56:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x31cee6…
08-05 12:51:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	215	42¢	$91	0x1fcfa4…
08-05 12:50:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xbebefc…
08-05 12:44:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x73ada1…
08-05 12:40:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x9f1436…
08-05 12:40:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	192	42¢	$81	0x6dd360…
08-05 12:40:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x6c66f4…
08-05 08:04:35	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	1,500	59¢	$885	0x807b1d…
08-05 07:58:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	3,980	7¢	$279	0x8326e1…
08-04 23:20:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,500	47¢	$705	0x894cad…
08-04 22:15:18	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	1,287	48¢	$618	0x00c361…
08-04 14:35:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6,000	38¢	$2,280	0x186a79…
08-04 14:28:15	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	4,231	29¢	$1,227	0x979f1e…
08-04 11:44:47	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	70	58¢	$40	0x57e028…
08-04 11:44:42	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc303f2…
08-04 11:44:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x70e92f…
08-04 11:44:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x5308a1…
08-04 11:44:23	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0xdb00bc…
08-04 11:43:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x454acc…
08-04 11:38:08	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	301	58¢	$174	0x169d96…
08-04 10:53:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	183	38¢	$69	0x6ce9a2…
08-04 09:24:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	62	38¢	$24	0x820fac…
08-04 09:20:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeade0a…
08-04 09:20:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7dee00…
08-04 08:06:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xe1d7ce…
08-04 08:03:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	No	BUY	405	20¢	$81	0x72040f…
08-03 07:01:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x252cdc…
08-03 07:01:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2,492	0¢	$10	0x1a26af…
08-02 21:41:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	388	53¢	$206	0x03d7f5…
08-02 17:27:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0x9057e8…
08-02 17:24:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc680b2…
08-02 17:23:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x77d94b…
08-02 17:23:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	374	53¢	$198	0xe702e1…
08-02 15:27:03	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1,621	54¢	$874	0x1dcffa…
08-02 12:33:18	will marco rubio say israel or israeli during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534171	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42129d…
08-01 14:00:54	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	1,250	67¢	$832	0xec122c…
07-31 09:42:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	No	BUY	1,653	80¢	$1,314	0xd8fa3f…
07-31 09:33:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,500	29¢	$725	0x848955…
07-29 19:22:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	6,782	7¢	$475	0x2f280a…
07-29 19:22:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc4c363…
07-29 12:33:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	212	8¢	$18	0xdb336d…
07-29 12:32:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x1e565f…
07-29 12:32:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	3,363	8¢	$286	0xffc9d6…
07-29 12:32:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x9f8a0d…
07-29 12:32:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	2,404	8¢	$204	0xaddfac…
07-28 23:19:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	880	26¢	$228	0xd10f91…
07-25 21:32:00	mlb laa sf 2026 07 25	San Francisco Giants	BUY	63	100¢	$62	0xe68956…
07-23 23:23:30	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	2,500	50¢	$1,250	0x055e83…
07-23 23:22:54	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	702	52¢	$365	0xf1603b…