Realized P&L
-$1.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.47K
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved
375
Trades
2,434
lifetime
Volume
$477.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$38.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 10-26 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Politics
51% 63% -$30
Other
32% 56% -$16,835
Crypto
14% 62% +$4,440
Sports
3% 62% +$11,022
Tech
0% 33% -$403
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +7,500 $1,987 96¢ $7.2K +$5,199 08-05 08:04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,000 $5,568 62¢ $6.2K +$607 08-11 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6,016 $2,286 88¢ $5.3K +$3,038 08-06 18:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6,000 $4,440 78¢ $4.7K +$210 10-27 12:29
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,328 $2,374 85¢ $2.8K +$450 10-06 23:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +15,000 $2,925 18¢ $2.7K -$188 09-06 13:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $1,935 80¢ $2.4K +$480 10-23 01:38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3,000 $2,250 78¢ $2.3K +$75 10-27 12:39
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +3,000 $1,730 64¢ $1.9K +$205 10-20 12:01
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $912 74¢ $919 +$6 10-23 18:02
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +600 $456 92¢ $555 +$99 10-20 01:20
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +3,000 $731 15¢ $454 -$277 10-07 20:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +9,084 $584 4¢ $359 -$225 09-24 17:37
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +133 $73 98¢ $130 +$57 10-23 19:30
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +657 $99 15¢ $95 -$3 08-09 15:13
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +1,500 $705 4¢ $63 -$642 08-04 23:20
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +600 $336 10¢ $57 -$279 08-12 09:08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,250 $369 2¢ $25 -$344 10-23 19:57