Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$89
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$38
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 06-01 18:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
50% 50% $-6
Other
39%
Crypto
7%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-1 06-01 18:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 18:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 18:44
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -12 $-6 50¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 18:44
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 18:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 18:44
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-4 10¢ $-2 +$2 06-01 18:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 18:44