Excited-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,694

lifetime

Volume

$145.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 05:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

38% 92% +$305

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	71	$11.7K	12,406	13,905	-1,500	open	—	03-27 22:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	43	$11.6K	14,300	14,300	+0	open	—	04-04 19:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	93	$7.8K	5,385	6,385	-1,000	open	—	04-25 21:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	57	$5.8K	7,078	8,178	-1,100	open	—	05-27 21:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	35	$4.8K	4,385	4,385	+0	open	—	05-29 02:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	27	$3.9K	4,890	4,911	-21	open	—	06-14 20:44
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 22:24
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	7	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-19 14:15
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 spread home 9pt5	4	$2.8K	2,841	2,841	+0	open	—	03-27 22:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$2.8K	3,700	1,450	+2,250	open	—	04-17 21:25
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	15	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 23:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	25	$2.5K	3,200	2,800	+400	open	—	05-28 21:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	25	$2.4K	2,600	2,200	+400	open	—	05-28 20:54
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29 spread home 4pt5	2	$2.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-29 19:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	19	$2.2K	2,303	2,303	+0	open	—	06-14 21:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$2.2K	1,827	1,827	+0	open	—	05-20 14:24
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-26 22:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	17	$2.1K	2,438	1,638	+800	open	—	05-10 17:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	21	$2.0K	3,578	1,278	+2,300	open	—	06-08 12:00
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	6	$1.9K	1,038	1,037	+1	open	—	03-29 22:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	27	$1.9K	2,126	2,126	+0	open	—	05-24 14:38
italy nordio reform referendum passes	15	$1.8K	1,370	1,370	+0	open	—	03-23 16:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	17	$1.8K	1,490	1,490	+0	open	—	05-29 15:07
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	38	$1.7K	2,200	1,969	+231	open	—	03-17 22:24
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	17	$1.7K	1,483	1,371	+112	open	—	06-12 15:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	23	$1.7K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	05-25 21:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$1.6K	5,200	5,200	+0	open	—	06-11 22:25
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	7	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-07 05:47
nba det orl 2026 04 06 spread away 2pt5	12	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-06 17:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$1.5K	1,964	1,964	+0	open	—	04-18 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 05:32:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x57011a…
07-02 03:50:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0xcaddc4…
07-02 03:35:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xa188f9…
07-02 03:30:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	184	4¢	$7	0xf654e6…
07-02 03:22:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x949f8d…
07-02 03:03:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcd927d…
06-29 23:48:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xd4bc60…
06-29 22:07:14	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6f692b…
06-29 13:28:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0x24e6b9…
06-29 04:57:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xcbe8ed…
06-29 00:29:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	243	1¢	$2	0xbe836c…
06-29 00:12:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x310b49…
06-29 00:12:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x38feb5…
06-28 23:13:49	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x5a0b2d…
06-28 23:04:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xb98333…
06-28 22:24:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	800	4¢	$30	0xa71b0e…
06-28 22:20:28	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x83b988…
06-28 22:00:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8bad79…
06-28 21:41:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x4ca50e…
06-27 22:35:19	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x94f521…
06-27 22:23:16	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xc12cb6…
06-27 22:07:53	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xbe9e09…
06-27 22:07:05	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8d12ab…
06-27 22:06:53	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7ebfb3…
06-27 22:06:41	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xd1c825…
06-27 22:06:16	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x613f60…
06-27 22:06:14	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xbe69c2…
06-27 22:06:14	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x716c28…
06-27 22:06:08	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x56565f…
06-27 22:06:04	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x3ad9f3…
06-27 22:04:50	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x6c47ef…
06-27 13:14:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf57da0…
06-27 05:27:41	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x1ce650…
06-25 14:42:25	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xc98db3…
06-24 15:23:07	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x70e59f…
06-24 00:05:25	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517283	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x392cfd…
06-24 00:05:20	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517283	No	SELL	106	18¢	$19	0x8ff634…
06-23 22:27:56	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517283	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb94aa9…
06-23 22:26:32	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517283	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xa019db…
06-23 22:26:17	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517283	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xad6da9…
06-23 22:26:02	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517283	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x496ec4…
06-20 14:53:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xc23068…
06-20 14:46:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x8678e0…
06-20 13:01:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	47¢	$73	0x08ca45…
06-20 12:58:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x274322…
06-20 12:47:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0x14195a…
06-20 11:52:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	47¢	$53	0x1c1cc3…
06-20 11:52:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0x7c5114…
06-19 18:16:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x9ba863…
06-19 15:28:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x3e93e4…
06-19 15:19:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x98417d…
06-19 14:46:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x2d5548…
06-19 14:45:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x091dc5…
06-19 14:44:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	92	35¢	$32	0x950cd3…
06-19 14:44:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x69cb33…
06-19 14:32:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	77	35¢	$27	0x746beb…
06-19 13:57:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x40ae28…
06-19 13:43:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xcc224b…
06-19 13:43:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x406663…
06-19 12:59:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x808450…
06-17 22:28:34	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x791c2a…
06-17 21:11:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xadef50…
06-17 17:31:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	129	47¢	$61	0x7a964f…
06-17 13:58:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	129	53¢	$69	0xa28ada…
06-17 10:52:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x7c6df9…
06-17 09:46:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1082d9…
06-17 09:23:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	150	73¢	$110	0xe78154…
06-17 07:54:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x04ef2b…
06-16 22:46:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x2e6db4…
06-16 22:10:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x39832b…
06-16 22:04:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0xfa602a…
06-16 22:04:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x3bb0ba…
06-16 22:04:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x101e9a…
06-16 22:04:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x69ecb2…
06-16 22:04:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x4f8666…
06-16 22:04:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x0cf1d8…
06-16 22:04:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0xd65ae4…
06-16 22:04:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x5bd286…
06-16 22:04:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xb49f17…
06-16 22:04:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x7e1ac6…
06-16 22:04:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0xa2c7f6…
06-16 22:04:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x214316…
06-16 22:03:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xabf4c6…
06-16 21:33:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x10effd…
06-16 21:29:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0c4894…
06-16 21:23:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x7b54c2…
06-16 21:19:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe4ee32…
06-16 17:42:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x4bdb6f…
06-16 10:35:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x7b174a…
06-16 10:35:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x49692f…
06-16 10:21:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x4c9591…
06-16 09:58:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x32f958…
06-16 09:58:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x32f958…
06-16 09:23:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb128c7…
06-16 08:52:21	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	86	52¢	$44	0x8858f8…
06-16 08:52:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	114	52¢	$60	0xb7b5f1…
06-16 08:37:07	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	118	53¢	$62	0xe40ce2…
06-16 08:37:06	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xaf1fe2…
06-16 08:37:06	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	73	53¢	$38	0x0ee85f…
06-15 23:06:54	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	172	53¢	$91	0xb4ed25…