Excited-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,441

lifetime

Volume

$129.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-11 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

40% 92% +$305

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-0	$5	16¢	$-0	$-5	06-02 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	71	$11.7K	12,406	13,905	-1,500	open	—	03-27 22:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	43	$11.6K	14,300	14,300	+0	open	—	04-04 19:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	93	$7.8K	5,385	6,385	-1,000	open	—	04-25 21:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	57	$5.8K	7,078	8,178	-1,100	open	—	05-27 21:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	35	$4.8K	4,385	4,385	+0	open	—	05-29 02:12
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 22:24
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	7	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-19 14:15
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 spread home 9pt5	4	$2.8K	2,841	2,841	+0	open	—	03-27 22:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$2.8K	3,700	1,450	+2,250	open	—	04-17 21:25
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	15	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 23:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	25	$2.5K	3,200	2,800	+400	open	—	05-28 21:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	25	$2.4K	2,600	2,200	+400	open	—	05-28 20:54
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29 spread home 4pt5	2	$2.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-29 19:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$2.2K	1,827	1,827	+0	open	—	05-20 14:24
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-26 22:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	17	$2.1K	2,438	1,638	+800	open	—	05-10 17:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	21	$2.0K	3,578	1,278	+2,300	open	—	06-08 12:00
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	6	$1.9K	1,038	1,037	+1	open	—	03-29 22:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	27	$1.9K	2,126	2,126	+0	open	—	05-24 14:38
italy nordio reform referendum passes	15	$1.8K	1,370	1,370	+0	open	—	03-23 16:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	17	$1.8K	1,490	1,490	+0	open	—	05-29 15:07
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	38	$1.7K	2,200	1,969	+231	open	—	03-17 22:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	23	$1.7K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	05-25 21:47
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	7	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-07 05:47
nba det orl 2026 04 06 spread away 2pt5	12	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-06 17:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$1.5K	1,964	1,964	+0	open	—	04-18 15:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$1.5K	1,150	1,100	+50	open	—	04-21 11:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	35	$1.5K	1,500	1,339	+161	open	—	05-28 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.3K	2,300	2,300	-0	open	—	06-02 14:28
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	4	$1.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-31 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:28:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x2d0995…
06-11 13:11:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0xeb79ff…
06-11 13:10:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	280	82¢	$230	0xb39614…
06-11 13:09:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	192	66¢	$126	0xd51d77…
06-11 13:07:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xef2043…
06-11 12:23:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x58a32d…
06-10 23:57:30	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb1365b…
06-10 23:31:48	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	416	8¢	$33	0xaebe9a…
06-10 22:53:37	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	74	89¢	$66	0x0a6a53…
06-10 22:37:00	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x6b4e94…
06-10 22:32:12	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x113d39…
06-10 22:02:22	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x39074e…
06-10 22:02:09	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	82	70¢	$57	0x427278…
06-10 22:00:18	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	36	54¢	$19	0x807624…
06-10 21:58:16	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	364	54¢	$197	0x9ef5d3…
06-10 21:54:45	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	178	7¢	$12	0x929127…
06-10 21:53:43	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1d4a6a…
06-10 21:53:28	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x32c04e…
06-10 21:43:16	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	82	69¢	$56	0xbd5e09…
06-10 21:17:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x8ccc5f…
06-10 21:13:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xc91376…
06-10 21:13:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	99	72¢	$71	0xf16e8a…
06-10 21:12:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x10735e…
06-10 21:11:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	46	72¢	$33	0x0019bb…
06-10 21:11:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	347	38¢	$132	0xb44bfa…
06-10 21:11:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0xc4d0be…
06-10 21:11:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0x84e2d2…
06-10 21:08:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x85dddb…
06-10 20:52:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x61baa0…
06-10 20:42:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xf57718…
06-10 20:18:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x64819e…
06-10 20:15:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x5aae2a…
06-10 20:14:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xac6268…
06-10 20:13:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0xb364d2…
06-10 20:09:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xa7e4d5…
06-10 20:04:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x395070…
06-10 19:00:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	157	67¢	$105	0x5b8d63…
06-10 18:25:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x55ea76…
06-10 18:24:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$14	0x55227b…
06-10 18:04:40	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0xe5920c…
06-10 17:16:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x494a51…
06-10 17:16:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x3ecebf…
06-10 16:59:57	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	62	67¢	$42	0x670c02…
06-10 15:56:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	39	68¢	$27	0x01359e…
06-10 15:55:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x11d733…
06-10 15:55:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0xecc71c…
06-10 15:49:33	cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0x6f6bed…
06-09 16:27:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	132	89¢	$117	0x84702d…
06-09 16:26:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x1f7f78…
06-09 16:02:30	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0xbe3be2…
06-09 15:58:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	163	88¢	$143	0xeaa192…
06-09 15:29:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x5b0590…
06-09 15:29:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	203	3¢	$6	0x37c026…
06-09 15:27:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	157	3¢	$5	0x549b34…
06-09 15:12:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xb5f25d…
06-09 14:46:01	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0xbb2c71…
06-09 14:42:06	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	69	9¢	$6	0x1286db…
06-09 14:40:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x1af2d4…
06-09 14:40:06	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	848	6¢	$51	0x52ac1d…
06-09 14:32:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	64	8¢	$5	0xecc869…
06-09 14:27:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x1a0f08…
06-09 14:23:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x5613a8…
06-09 14:22:13	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x1d2bf6…
06-09 14:16:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	321	6¢	$19	0x522938…
06-09 13:50:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	597	31¢	$185	0x498970…
06-09 13:40:00	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xd7ea38…
06-09 13:36:31	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	600	31¢	$186	0x4255ab…
06-09 13:22:03	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 09 game3 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb9ebda…
06-09 13:20:18	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 09 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	92	51¢	$47	0x9dcad2…
06-09 13:19:33	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 09 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0xc8d7e4…
06-08 22:24:15	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	174	51¢	$89	0xc58034…
06-08 17:22:01	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	174	50¢	$87	0xa8ee2c…
06-08 14:46:03	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	71	92¢	$65	0x89b204…
06-08 14:27:37	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x2494de…
06-08 12:44:21	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	544	9¢	$49	0x63f1ae…
06-08 12:00:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	925	2¢	$19	0x7af0ad…
06-08 11:06:54	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x2b6071…
06-08 11:06:52	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	365	90¢	$328	0xc97c5c…
06-08 10:36:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	205	7¢	$14	0x0ebfc1…
06-08 10:18:54	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xba2e09…
06-08 10:17:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x41df85…
06-08 10:16:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x2f5907…
06-08 10:09:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x877a17…
06-08 10:03:04	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa498b9…
06-08 09:43:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	953	2¢	$21	0x748fc6…
06-08 08:43:42	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	390	7¢	$27	0x9f1656…
06-08 04:41:21	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$286	0x2c6428…
06-07 22:39:22	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	SELL	400	44¢	$176	0xb957aa…
06-07 22:19:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4203d0…
06-07 22:01:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	248	96¢	$239	0xc92abb…
06-07 21:49:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0x0c95eb…
06-07 21:43:57	lol c9 ly 2026 06 07 game3	Cloud9	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xbca20b…
06-07 21:43:30	lol c9 ly 2026 06 07 game3	Cloud9	SELL	156	53¢	$83	0xe05ffb…
06-07 21:37:31	lol c9 ly 2026 06 07 game3	Cloud9	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x76f65d…
06-07 21:37:31	lol c9 ly 2026 06 07 game3	Cloud9	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x38ef66…
06-07 21:25:51	lol c9 ly 2026 06 07 game3	Cloud9	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xeed306…
06-07 21:02:12	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	194	97¢	$188	0xdf49f9…
06-07 20:51:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	194	96¢	$187	0x6802ab…
06-07 20:40:31	Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x0b5794…
06-06 23:11:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	400	42¢	$168	0x6abfaa…