Excited-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,770

lifetime

Volume

$147.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-22 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

38% 92% +$305

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes		+150	$40	10¢	$16	$-25	07-06 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	71	$11.7K	12,406	13,905	-1,500	open	—	03-27 22:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	43	$11.6K	14,300	14,300	+0	open	—	04-04 19:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	93	$7.8K	5,385	6,385	-1,000	open	—	04-25 21:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	57	$5.8K	7,078	8,178	-1,100	open	—	05-27 21:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	35	$4.8K	4,385	4,385	+0	open	—	05-29 02:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	27	$3.9K	4,890	4,911	-21	open	—	06-14 20:44
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 22:24
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	7	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-19 14:15
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 spread home 9pt5	4	$2.8K	2,841	2,841	+0	open	—	03-27 22:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$2.8K	3,700	1,450	+2,250	open	—	04-17 21:25
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	15	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 23:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	25	$2.5K	3,200	2,800	+400	open	—	05-28 21:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	25	$2.4K	2,600	2,200	+400	open	—	05-28 20:54
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29 spread home 4pt5	2	$2.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-29 19:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	19	$2.2K	2,303	2,303	+0	open	—	06-14 21:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$2.2K	1,827	1,827	+0	open	—	05-20 14:24
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-26 22:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	17	$2.1K	2,438	1,638	+800	open	—	05-10 17:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	21	$2.0K	3,578	1,278	+2,300	open	—	06-08 12:00
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	6	$1.9K	1,038	1,037	+1	open	—	03-29 22:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	27	$1.9K	2,126	2,126	+0	open	—	05-24 14:38
italy nordio reform referendum passes	15	$1.8K	1,370	1,370	+0	open	—	03-23 16:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	17	$1.8K	1,490	1,490	+0	open	—	05-29 15:07
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	38	$1.7K	2,200	1,969	+231	open	—	03-17 22:24
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	17	$1.7K	1,483	1,371	+112	open	—	06-12 15:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	23	$1.7K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	05-25 21:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$1.6K	5,200	5,200	+0	open	—	06-11 22:25
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	7	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-07 05:47
nba det orl 2026 04 06 spread away 2pt5	12	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-06 17:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$1.5K	1,964	1,964	+0	open	—	04-18 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 22:44:16	will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xbe66c8…
07-20 16:01:55	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xef124c…
07-18 19:48:46	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7a3df6…
07-17 22:42:46	will lana del rey release a new album by december 31 20260717173736119	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x249109…
07-17 22:42:27	will lana del rey release a new album by december 31 20260717173736119	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd327a8…
07-17 22:37:52	will lana del rey release a new album by december 31 20260717173736119	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xfe16d5…
07-17 22:37:52	will lana del rey release a new album by december 31 20260717173736119	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x6432ed…
07-17 21:48:30	will lana del rey release a new album by december 31 20260717173736119	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xcd984e…
07-17 21:07:37	will lana del rey release a new album by december 31 20260717173736119	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf824ae…
07-16 20:37:43	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	SELL	2	33¢	$0	0x5c2944…
07-16 20:37:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xf7417a…
07-16 20:34:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xd1f523…
07-16 20:17:31	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xd113b4…
07-15 21:33:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x623b78…
07-15 21:21:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x06c026…
07-14 22:25:28	will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x4b180e…
07-14 22:25:23	will apple tv announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131275	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x30e9df…
07-14 22:25:20	will a trailer for avengers doomsday premiere at sdcc 2026 20260713164810623	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xecee28…
07-14 22:23:38	will studio ghibli announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131278	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xe37fbb…
07-13 22:30:43	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x8eac61…
07-13 22:19:05	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6c0d1d…
07-13 22:19:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2f568d…
07-13 14:16:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x421dd2…
07-12 22:17:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xa58ad8…
07-11 18:09:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x08dcbf…
07-09 21:26:02	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x6f6fcd…
07-09 21:11:44	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb292e3…
07-08 22:44:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x207197…
07-08 22:39:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb42355…
07-08 22:32:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xfe1099…
07-08 22:17:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	SELL	37	36¢	$13	0xfacb35…
07-08 22:05:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xaeaa6e…
07-08 22:05:20	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x319161…
07-08 21:53:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xc5c0b8…
07-08 21:44:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x2076b0…
07-08 21:27:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xc57b12…
07-08 21:27:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x95fa33…
07-08 21:26:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	112	14¢	$16	0x4fff30…
07-08 21:26:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x7b1b96…
07-08 21:26:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0x653674…
07-08 21:13:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xbae92d…
07-08 20:53:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0xe21539…
07-08 20:49:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$43	0x8514c4…
07-08 20:48:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xffe64b…
07-08 20:43:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xea02be…
07-08 20:40:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$43	0x258219…
07-06 15:48:20	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x49f33a…
07-06 15:48:19	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xa489da…
07-06 02:01:17	will the announcers say ref or referee 10 times during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113085	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x87b9a1…
07-05 22:53:08	will the announcers say ref or referee 10 times during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113085	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4992f2…
07-05 22:53:01	will the announcers say ref or referee 10 times during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113085	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xac3053…
07-04 22:02:38	will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf016df…
07-04 16:52:44	will joey chestnut eat 60 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035698	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xf08073…
07-04 16:48:35	will joey chestnut eat 60 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035698	Yes	SELL	90	96¢	$87	0x5ea8ff…
07-04 12:11:13	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	161	4¢	$6	0x5a5bb7…
07-04 11:34:01	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2d4984…
07-04 00:40:08	will joey chestnut eat 78 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035704	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x837b6e…
07-03 22:48:46	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x22699c…
07-03 22:47:19	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd6d052…
07-03 22:47:19	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x6c25c4…
07-03 22:30:44	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x1b6ae6…
07-03 22:30:05	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x835731…
07-03 22:00:05	will joey chestnut eat 78 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035704	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x24a8e0…
07-03 21:46:14	will joey chestnut eat 60 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035698	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xeab0eb…
07-03 05:02:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x769f16…
07-03 03:44:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	56	80¢	$45	0x56ce43…
07-02 22:50:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xde79e9…
07-02 22:49:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x97bf13…
07-02 14:28:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	398	1¢	$4	0x5d9956…
07-02 14:20:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	403	1¢	$4	0x064853…
07-02 14:12:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaf80c8…
07-02 05:32:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x57011a…
07-02 03:50:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0xcaddc4…
07-02 03:35:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xa188f9…
07-02 03:30:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	184	4¢	$7	0xf654e6…
07-02 03:22:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x949f8d…
07-02 03:03:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcd927d…
06-29 23:48:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xd4bc60…
06-29 22:07:14	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6f692b…
06-29 13:28:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0x24e6b9…
06-29 04:57:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xcbe8ed…
06-29 00:29:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	243	1¢	$2	0xbe836c…
06-29 00:12:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x310b49…
06-29 00:12:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x38feb5…
06-28 23:13:49	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x5a0b2d…
06-28 23:04:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xb98333…
06-28 22:24:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	800	4¢	$30	0xa71b0e…
06-28 22:20:28	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x83b988…
06-28 22:00:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8bad79…
06-28 21:41:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x4ca50e…
06-27 22:35:19	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x94f521…
06-27 22:23:16	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xc12cb6…
06-27 22:07:53	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xbe9e09…
06-27 22:07:05	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8d12ab…
06-27 22:06:53	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7ebfb3…
06-27 22:06:41	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xd1c825…
06-27 22:06:16	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x613f60…
06-27 22:06:14	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xbe69c2…
06-27 22:06:14	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x716c28…
06-27 22:06:08	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x56565f…