Nifty-Dilapidation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$51

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

89% 61% +$108

Politics

6% 75% -$4

Tech

3% 0% -$1

Crypto

2% 57% +$1

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	+30	$26	86¢	$26	+$0	10-21 09:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+18	$15	94¢	$17	+$2	05-14 13:03
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+12	$10	71¢	$8	-$2	09-27 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$234	225	75	+150	Yes	+$65	05-01 07:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	07-04 17:02
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	2	$179	199	0	+199	No	+$20	07-04 17:26
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	2	$149	91	91	+0	open	—	07-04 17:22
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	1	$135	145	0	+145	No	+$10	08-02 15:34
Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$1	09-21 14:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	4	$48	29	29	+0	Yes	+$10	05-17 17:42
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	09-25 13:16
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	5	$38	100	0	+100	open	—	10-17 21:48
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	09-15 19:36
Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	09-15 19:36
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$4	05-16 14:53
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$2	06-22 17:38
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	2	$32	27	27	+0	No	+$8	06-01 18:52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	2	$26	17	17	+0	Yes	+$5	05-10 19:50
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	10-21 09:31
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	3	$22	100	0	+100	open	—	10-07 06:06
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	5	$21	100	0	+100	open	—	10-14 19:55
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?	3	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	06-02 02:10
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-16 14:52
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$19	21	0	+21	Yes	+$2	05-17 17:44
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	2	$15	57	57	+0	open	—	09-27 16:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 13:03
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$14	17	0	+17	Yes	+$3	07-04 16:57
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 22:31
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	07-04 17:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	09-27 16:05
France leading at halftime?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	07-04 21:17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	05-17 17:43
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	05-18 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:31:33	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xed769f…
10-17 21:48:05	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xb740c6…
10-17 13:18:32	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x81f13f…
10-14 19:55:01	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xc79dc9…
10-14 19:55:01	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x2791fe…
10-14 19:55:00	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xacbe39…
10-14 19:55:00	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xa62cc9…
10-11 05:23:30	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd68484…
10-10 23:54:18	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xa72fcc…
10-07 06:06:30	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x751258…
10-06 16:34:50	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0xbf3808…
10-03 09:50:42	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x63fef3…
09-29 12:15:44	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x72d18a…
09-29 02:24:56	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfaf944…
09-27 16:05:47	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x918421…
09-27 16:05:33	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	SELL	57	13¢	$7	0x64ea25…
09-27 08:45:32	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x652a0d…
09-25 13:16:12	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0e0fc7…
09-21 14:18:33	Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x7f2f56…
09-15 20:00:48	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xe2491f…
09-15 19:36:12	Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x47013e…
09-15 19:36:00	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xbe1aa3…
09-13 09:41:06	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x335649…
08-30 06:20:51	Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x96aa20…
08-02 15:34:14	Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0xb66ad8…
07-06 16:43:19	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x79f247…
07-04 21:17:11	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0bd014…
07-04 17:26:31	Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	88	90¢	$79	0x97dece…
07-04 17:22:41	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	SELL	91	83¢	$76	0x8a1afd…
07-04 17:18:55	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xafbb1f…
07-04 17:05:08	Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4334fe…
07-04 17:02:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x2850c2…
07-04 16:57:05	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xfa898f…
07-03 19:09:14	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xdefdd7…
07-03 16:23:29	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e4cbe…
07-02 17:08:26	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x019e60…
07-01 16:44:19	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9fa949…
06-28 16:35:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc67838…
06-27 22:32:08	Ghana to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x600557…
06-27 22:31:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x530172…
06-27 21:18:44	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9ff050…
06-27 06:44:58	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$3	0x561de9…
06-25 17:13:52	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa63db0…
06-24 20:25:13	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1f5019…
06-24 19:43:49	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x61e98b…
06-23 21:50:44	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe22958…
06-22 17:47:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc0c18c…
06-22 17:39:49	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0d01ab…
06-22 17:38:47	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x588a89…
06-17 18:36:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9b5b78…
06-16 05:43:09	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6a99fe…
06-02 02:10:36	Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x56dac1…
06-01 19:47:39	Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x43c116…
06-01 18:55:19	Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xb79843…
06-01 18:52:52	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x61c9dd…
05-25 19:01:17	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xbcabee…
05-22 17:30:23	Will Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8cbbe3…
05-21 16:56:41	Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a6b2d…
05-21 16:26:35	Will Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x83575a…
05-19 20:21:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4eb2ed…
05-19 20:06:21	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x68dd4d…
05-18 18:27:54	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbaffbc…
05-18 18:25:39	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0d6a2c…
05-18 18:23:10	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x7f98a1…
05-17 17:44:01	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x41d5e5…
05-17 17:43:22	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x3b7051…
05-17 17:42:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1cb9a2…
05-17 15:44:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7f2bb4…
05-17 15:38:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf0cd35…
05-17 15:26:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4c2e47…
05-16 14:53:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4aa421…
05-16 14:52:58	Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd4a7b9…
05-14 19:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfab45e…
05-14 13:03:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x99918c…
05-13 19:48:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x48bfd4…
05-13 18:58:28	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x789cba…
05-13 16:32:50	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc1cc59…
05-13 16:31:58	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x27963b…
05-13 16:31:40	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3f5f0b…
05-13 16:30:41	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc304d0…
05-13 16:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3f3e7e…
05-12 18:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc1a57f…
05-12 17:49:09	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xd87d6c…
05-12 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x648fe8…
05-12 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x99eaec…
05-12 17:11:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xed1202…
05-10 19:57:36	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x037719…
05-10 19:50:25	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xe820e4…
05-10 09:59:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x00a1f9…
05-01 09:04:10	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	BUY	91	81¢	$74	0x8af358…
05-01 07:30:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x2afdc8…
04-10 19:55:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	225	71¢	$160	0x9c026d…
01-01 00:24:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x332bb8…
01-01 00:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8c473f…