Nifty-Dilapidation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$456

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$183

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-06 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% 0% $-6

Crypto

5% 75% +$5

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		-109	$-107	96¢	$-105	+$1	07-04 17:02
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No		-91	$-76	85¢	$-77	$-2	07-04 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$160	225	0	+225	open	—	04-10 19:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$107	0	109	-109	open	—	07-04 17:02
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	1	$76	0	91	-91	open	—	07-04 17:22
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 14:53
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-22 17:39
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 16:30
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-6	05-12 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$8	05-12 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-13 16:27
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-06 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-12 17:34
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-22 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 17:32
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 16:32
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 18:36
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-13 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 19:52
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 16:31
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-24 19:43
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-28 16:35
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 16:31
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-24 20:25
eth updown 15m 1767226500	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	01-01 00:24
btc updown 15m 1767225600	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-01 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 16:43:19	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x79f247…
07-04 17:22:41	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	SELL	91	83¢	$76	0x8a1afd…
07-04 17:02:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x2850c2…
06-28 16:35:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc67838…
06-24 20:25:13	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1f5019…
06-24 19:43:49	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x61e98b…
06-22 17:47:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc0c18c…
06-22 17:39:49	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0d01ab…
06-17 18:36:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9b5b78…
05-16 14:53:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4aa421…
05-14 19:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfab45e…
05-13 19:48:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x48bfd4…
05-13 18:58:28	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x789cba…
05-13 16:32:50	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc1cc59…
05-13 16:31:58	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x27963b…
05-13 16:31:40	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3f5f0b…
05-13 16:30:41	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc304d0…
05-13 16:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3f3e7e…
05-12 18:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc1a57f…
05-12 17:49:09	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xd87d6c…
05-12 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x648fe8…
05-12 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x99eaec…
04-10 19:55:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	225	71¢	$160	0x9c026d…
01-01 00:24:37	eth updown 15m 1767226500	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x332bb8…
01-01 00:04:45	btc updown 15m 1767225600	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8c473f…