Dizzy-Barometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$681

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

180

Trades

1,591

lifetime

Volume

$190.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$288

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-16 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

51% 27% -$4,987

Other

25% 42% -$12,475

Crypto

24% 63% -$5,866

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes		+64,068	$969	0¢	$288	-$681	10-16 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	79	$23.4K	50,532	50,101	+430	No	-$10,358	04-18 10:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	21	$13.2K	10,232	10,232	+0	No	-$409	04-24 16:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	72	$13.0K	22,715	22,715	+0	No	-$2,838	04-21 16:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	27	$8.4K	19,003	19,003	+0	No	+$487	04-28 14:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	13	$8.3K	4,742	4,742	+0	No	+$348	04-16 04:03
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	7	$5.9K	3,114	3,114	+0	No	+$7	04-14 15:51
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 5	19	$5.6K	16,701	10,901	+5,801	No	-$5,238	04-06 00:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	24	$5.6K	5,496	5,496	+0	No	-$1,037	04-24 16:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 5	23	$5.4K	3,000	2,986	+14	Yes	+$280	04-05 12:44
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	44	$5.3K	9,022	12,063	-3,041	No	-$2,008	04-19 19:48
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	43	$5.3K	20,755	11,691	+9,064	No	-$1,380	05-04 06:04
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	13	$4.9K	2,971	2,970	+0	No	-$34	04-20 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$4.9K	3,412	3,412	+0	No	+$35	04-20 19:04
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	2	$4.8K	3,282	3,282	+0	Yes	+$1,739	04-14 21:54
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$3.5K	1,917	1,917	+0	No	+$203	04-13 10:32
bitcoin above 68k on april 1	4	$3.3K	2,663	2,591	+72	Yes	+$341	04-01 14:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.1K	2,206	2,206	+0	No	+$618	04-22 03:21
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	16	$3.1K	1,768	1,768	+0	Yes	+$227	04-11 05:11
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	22	$2.9K	1,855	1,855	+0	No	+$284	04-23 17:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	28	$2.6K	5,641	5,079	+561	No	+$775	05-08 03:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$2.6K	3,103	3,103	+0	Yes	-$73	04-02 15:00
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 2	2	$2.4K	1,319	1,301	+18	Yes	+$251	04-02 12:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 2	3	$2.3K	2,000	1,932	+68	Yes	+$283	04-02 08:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	28	$2.2K	2,759	2,759	+0	Yes	-$47	05-08 15:57
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 2	9	$2.2K	16,299	157	+16,142	No	-$2,150	04-03 03:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	27	$2.0K	1,660	1,634	+26	Yes	+$81	04-24 06:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	35	$2.0K	1,895	1,895	+0	No	+$77	04-24 11:32
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 1	37	$2.0K	38,392	17,843	+20,550	No	+$962	04-02 03:53
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	10	$2.0K	1,340	1,307	+33	No	+$323	04-30 22:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 2	14	$1.9K	2,233	2,143	+90	No	-$16	04-02 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 16:23:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,381	1¢	$26	0x5f8d9b…
10-14 14:33:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$8	0x46836e…
10-14 13:15:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x296f6d…
10-14 11:13:38	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$2	0xacc3b1…
10-13 16:27:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	13,387	1¢	$147	0xf83d5a…
10-12 13:03:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	688	1¢	$9	0x7059e0…
10-12 09:25:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e4fd2…
10-12 09:21:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xad878a…
10-12 09:10:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x85d2cd…
10-12 09:07:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x316b57…
10-12 09:05:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,897	1¢	$44	0x03a4b5…
10-12 08:20:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,220	1¢	$11	0xb04b86…
10-12 07:25:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xab59af…
10-12 00:08:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0xf8086b…
10-11 18:10:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	979	1¢	$9	0x0a27f0…
10-11 16:16:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,686	1¢	$15	0x4b3172…
10-11 09:10:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,761	1¢	$23	0x207f6d…
10-10 17:07:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xa213a2…
10-10 16:33:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x7125df…
10-10 15:21:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	599	1¢	$8	0xfdd486…
10-10 14:16:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	269	1¢	$3	0x50dd12…
10-10 05:04:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	10,979	2¢	$183	0x9ce84e…
10-10 04:52:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xbddcba…
10-09 10:00:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	396	2¢	$8	0x3192b9…
10-09 07:01:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,534	2¢	$74	0xc7f368…
10-09 06:32:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x4dde92…
10-09 06:29:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xdb0e57…
10-09 06:27:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xea04b0…
10-09 06:16:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x52cb0f…
10-09 06:15:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x073d5e…
10-09 05:46:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb7d645…
10-09 05:32:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xe957bf…
10-09 05:29:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,398	2¢	$97	0x2c4909…
10-09 05:29:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,858	2¢	$60	0x083632…
10-08 15:31:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,955	2¢	$99	0x24f743…
10-08 14:46:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,007	2¢	$40	0x122675…
10-08 14:41:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,245	2¢	$43	0xfa2924…
10-08 14:33:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	645	2¢	$12	0x23a600…
06-01 13:42:17	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,916	4¢	$231	0xb9860c…
05-24 19:48:33	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	SELL	139	4¢	$5	0xcbd019…
05-12 11:03:35	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	215	5¢	$10	0xdc811f…
05-12 08:14:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,172	4¢	$46	0x8d90ca…
05-12 00:24:52	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5,300	1¢	$37	0x41e4e5…
05-10 08:34:17	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,550	4¢	$197	0x224834…
05-08 23:51:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xea2b59…
05-08 23:50:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe494e1…
05-08 23:50:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc82256…
05-08 23:50:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa04185…
05-08 23:50:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x189f48…
05-08 23:50:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd1db36…
05-08 23:50:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	605	4¢	$24	0xb884da…
05-08 23:34:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xc23544…
05-08 23:33:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xbd1a73…
05-08 23:33:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x9b4f92…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xbdb4cb…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	585	4¢	$23	0xb09df2…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xb031c4…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa39a77…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7f3b7a…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7275d0…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6b6cde…
05-08 23:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2ad64b…
05-08 23:33:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x131002…
05-08 23:33:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x711023…
05-08 23:33:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x18f2a2…
05-08 23:33:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1db41d…
05-08 23:33:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x88f544…
05-08 23:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x96f588…
05-08 23:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xec3302…
05-08 23:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb43862…
05-08 23:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x86b9a0…
05-08 23:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4abd3b…
05-08 23:26:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	715	5¢	$36	0xe6fbb6…
05-08 23:26:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc6e3f3…
05-08 23:26:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xc4a574…
05-08 23:26:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x80cce6…
05-08 23:26:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x1ebee0…
05-08 23:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x38547c…
05-08 23:14:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xcdb73d…
05-08 23:14:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,127	5¢	$56	0x116cc4…
05-08 22:46:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xa874c3…
05-08 22:37:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x3fe708…
05-08 22:35:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x60394c…
05-08 22:26:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x69331d…
05-08 22:20:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xcd3202…
05-08 22:13:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7d8fd6…
05-08 22:08:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x4004dc…
05-08 21:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaa416b…
05-08 21:34:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6ffbd1…
05-08 21:23:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x36dc85…
05-08 21:14:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x7a05ee…
05-08 21:13:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	145	4¢	$6	0x7f503a…
05-08 21:02:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,139	7¢	$150	0x902b1c…
05-08 21:01:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xedfcca…
05-08 21:01:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	244	7¢	$17	0x19a7f9…
05-08 20:57:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd4c58d…
05-08 20:57:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x185c9c…
05-08 20:57:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	522	7¢	$37	0xbea3be…
05-08 20:52:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	1,065	13¢	$138	0x4b3c8b…
05-08 20:51:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x60b159…