Noisy-Junker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$347

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved (7d)

461

Trades (7d)

1,304

32,491 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$119.6K

$818.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$297

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-06 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 83% -$2,442

Other

1% 73% -$967

Sports

0% 0% -$151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 718 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	—	+300	$297	99¢	$297	+$0	11-06 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 nemiga 1win 2026 04 20 total games 2pt5	11	$827	575	574	+1	Under	-$283	04-20 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	383	$791	2,732	0	+2,732	Down	-$620	03-27 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC	48	$679	1,296	0	+1,296	Down	+$7	04-03 09:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 08:30 UTC	51	$635	1,235	0	+1,235	Up	+$36	03-29 08:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:25 UTC	37	$635	1,269	0	+1,269	Up	-$16	03-29 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:45 UTC	68	$632	1,244	0	+1,244	Up	+$49	03-29 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 09:05 UTC	58	$629	1,211	0	+1,211	Down	-$18	03-29 09:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:40 UTC	74	$628	1,241	0	+1,241	Up	-$14	03-29 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 10:45 UTC	75	$612	1,221	0	+1,221	Down	+$58	03-29 10:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 10:15 UTC	43	$611	1,206	0	+1,206	Down	-$6	03-29 10:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 06:45 UTC	57	$606	1,255	0	+1,255	Up	+$9	03-29 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:10 UTC	43	$587	1,159	0	+1,159	Up	+$23	03-29 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:20 UTC	39	$585	1,168	0	+1,168	Down	-$95	03-29 10:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 11:00 UTC	55	$547	1,080	0	+1,080	Up	-$16	03-29 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:45 UTC	37	$546	1,089	0	+1,089	Up	-$65	03-29 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:30 UTC	20	$544	1,735	0	+1,735	Up	-$544	04-18 06:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 13:45 UTC	50	$503	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$3	04-03 13:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 10:00 UTC	48	$481	940	0	+940	Down	-$1	04-03 10:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 10:15 UTC	49	$478	949	0	+949	Down	-$30	04-03 10:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:30 UTC	47	$463	908	0	+908	Up	+$5	04-03 09:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:55 UTC	98	$430	845	0	+845	Down	-$9	03-29 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:55 UTC	43	$423	835	0	+835	Down	+$54	03-29 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:25 UTC	44	$420	858	0	+858	Up	+$55	03-29 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 24?	2	$410	212	212	+0	No	+$10	08-24 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 24?	2	$409	211	211	+0	No	+$9	08-23 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:25 UTC	118	$407	812	0	+812	Up	-$23	03-29 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 23?	2	$404	206	206	+0	No	+$4	08-22 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 23?	2	$404	206	206	+0	No	+$4	08-23 04:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:45 UTC	41	$399	792	0	+792	Down	+$13	04-03 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:25 UTC	18	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	09-27 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xaf8a44…
11-06 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x893fdf…
11-06 02:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbe5932…
11-06 02:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x75833f…
11-06 02:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x0a3879…
11-06 02:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x95054a…
11-06 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0xdc735e…
11-06 02:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x79f639…
11-06 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x353236…
11-06 01:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xe9e853…
11-06 01:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	254	99¢	$251	0x02afd8…
11-06 01:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x218173…
11-06 00:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x80b3ef…
11-06 00:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x0d62ee…
11-06 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x77ab89…
11-06 00:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8744b1…
11-06 00:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8df98e…
11-06 00:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf5473…
11-06 00:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ca59c…
11-06 00:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x30e593…
11-06 00:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x10b402…
11-06 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9c0957…
11-06 00:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a8d2…
11-06 00:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e84bd…
11-06 00:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x095762…
11-06 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc26b89…
11-06 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb57333…
11-06 00:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf05086…
11-06 00:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xefa710…
11-06 00:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x7a6f35…
11-06 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7850d9…
11-06 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x207f78…
11-06 00:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd1aac5…
11-06 00:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xcd15f1…
11-06 00:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x5d395e…
11-06 00:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc10940…
11-06 00:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa418a6…
11-06 00:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43be03…
11-06 00:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	189	99¢	$187	0xd434cf…
11-06 00:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x7d3722…
11-05 23:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x83d5e1…
11-05 23:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	238	99¢	$236	0x74be97…
11-05 23:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x388983…
11-05 23:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xe3b95a…
11-05 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x6d534a…
11-05 22:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0x93c1b0…
11-05 22:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x525ba0…
11-05 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd588da…
11-05 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x971b13…
11-05 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x8e59bc…
11-05 22:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xced7c4…
11-05 22:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xfaa483…
11-05 22:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb31c17…
11-05 22:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x48e8ec…
11-05 22:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x3175c7…
11-05 22:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb40808…
11-05 22:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x939e5a…
11-05 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0xae711a…
11-05 21:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xeb452a…
11-05 21:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x020927…
11-05 21:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0xd1ea29…
11-05 21:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa1dd84…
11-05 21:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	277	99¢	$274	0x5c629d…
11-05 20:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbf7e1b…
11-05 20:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4c9b12…
11-05 20:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xa2e0e4…
11-05 20:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x3e08df…
11-05 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xbf8607…
11-05 19:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x47306e…
11-05 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd632ec…
11-05 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84578e…
11-05 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2b663a…
11-05 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x040aae…
11-05 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9a1c2f…
11-05 18:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x159706…
11-05 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xe5be5f…
11-05 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xe43007…
11-05 18:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xee1e2f…
11-05 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x10ab22…
11-05 18:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa27027…
11-05 18:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa6d91…
11-05 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x54c2a5…
11-05 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	194	99¢	$192	0xf71936…
11-05 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x08fbbf…
11-05 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x787ae3…
11-05 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd71ad2…
11-05 17:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xec9ad9…
11-05 17:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5bc15b…
11-05 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xbeb9ca…
11-05 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0x1d1df3…
11-05 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05c37f…
11-05 17:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9f7727…
11-05 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xdfe88e…
11-05 16:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68c592…
11-05 16:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x136178…
11-05 16:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x4a9a3f…
11-05 16:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xd9bce1…
11-05 16:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xafd10c…
11-05 16:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x171633…
11-05 16:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9cd121…