Puny-Closing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-25 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Sports

24% 0% $-2

Other

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-276	$-119	40¢	$-112	+$7	06-07 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	6	$3.8K	1,932	1,932	+0	open	—	05-11 23:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.9K	942	942	+0	No	$-1	04-14 13:27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.8K	1,034	1,034	+0	No	$-1	04-15 14:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$785	729	729	+0	open	—	06-25 04:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$629	352	352	+0	open	—	05-30 17:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	11	$556	703	703	+0	open	—	06-23 02:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$426	327	603	-276	open	—	06-07 06:28
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$389	377	377	+0	open	—	06-24 01:41
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$343	202	202	+0	open	—	06-23 01:08
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	2	$323	332	0	+332	open	—	06-14 22:42
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$313	190	190	+0	open	—	06-04 18:11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	2	$312	161	161	+0	open	—	05-31 04:51
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	3	$309	162	162	+0	open	—	06-13 14:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$307	216	216	+0	open	—	06-10 12:34
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$305	194	194	+0	open	—	06-18 17:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$299	241	241	+0	open	—	06-18 02:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	4	$292	179	179	+0	open	—	06-20 08:47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$285	145	145	+0	open	—	06-04 21:54
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$274	140	140	+0	open	—	05-25 01:33
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$252	442	121	+321	open	—	06-05 09:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$248	126	126	+0	open	—	05-24 13:54
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$234	355	355	+0	open	—	06-09 23:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$179	183	183	+0	open	—	05-23 23:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$150	228	0	+228	open	—	06-12 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$136	303	0	+303	open	—	05-29 16:24
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$86	331	331	+0	open	—	06-08 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$77	1,070	1,070	+0	open	—	05-11 11:36
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$49	2,217	2,217	+0	open	—	04-16 12:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$46	139	139	+0	open	—	05-28 15:14
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	171	171	+0	open	—	06-13 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 04:43:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	300	53¢	$159	0x38e996…
06-24 22:16:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	267	53¢	$142	0x9ce7ea…
06-24 22:16:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0x674abd…
06-24 01:41:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x1bb20e…
06-24 01:40:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	262	51¢	$133	0x948e1d…
06-24 00:25:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	283	51¢	$144	0xa2ea89…
06-23 09:15:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	94	54¢	$51	0xce4eb0…
06-23 07:24:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x5509fd…
06-23 02:45:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xf68484…
06-23 02:44:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	165	24¢	$40	0xafb7a8…
06-23 01:15:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	175	24¢	$42	0x3fc9c0…
06-23 01:08:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	202	86¢	$174	0xdc0d15…
06-22 22:46:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	202	84¢	$170	0xe68559…
06-21 04:23:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	324	28¢	$91	0x1855ec…
06-21 03:12:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	132	25¢	$33	0xa1553a…
06-21 03:12:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x83f169…
06-21 03:12:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	25¢	$28	0x246ae4…
06-20 08:47:23	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xe66677…
06-20 08:47:23	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	169	81¢	$137	0x86210e…
06-20 06:17:49	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xd38dd5…
06-20 06:17:49	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	119	82¢	$98	0x2dd49a…
06-20 00:30:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	105	72¢	$76	0xdda0a9…
06-20 00:29:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	99	72¢	$71	0xfb55cf…
06-19 22:44:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	130	75¢	$98	0xbb7482…
06-19 22:44:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	74	75¢	$56	0x9fc78d…
06-18 17:06:02	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	194	82¢	$159	0x7bb1b5…
06-18 12:14:17	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	194	75¢	$146	0x9e2e03…
06-18 02:55:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	241	60¢	$145	0x95d051…
06-17 22:15:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x4a41f6…
06-17 22:15:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	195	64¢	$125	0x3f1958…
06-14 22:42:46	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0xfcb069…
06-14 00:02:40	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0x630144…
06-13 14:12:01	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xe1fd0f…
06-13 14:12:01	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0x2ed679…
06-13 10:28:25	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	162	95¢	$155	0x91e05f…
06-13 05:09:09	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	6¢	$10	0xe0788a…
06-13 04:06:16	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0xf5109b…
06-12 15:15:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	66¢	$93	0x7bf5c1…
06-12 15:15:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	66¢	$57	0x6dd62c…
06-12 14:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	276	60¢	$166	0xd4188a…
06-12 12:21:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	276	57¢	$157	0x1a99ea…
06-10 12:34:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	207	71¢	$147	0xebd165…
06-10 12:34:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x8a7f5d…
06-10 12:33:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	216	71¢	$153	0x903ec7…
06-09 23:10:13	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	127	33¢	$42	0xf5069c…
06-09 23:10:13	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	195	33¢	$64	0xecb0e1…
06-09 23:10:13	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0xa81a81…
06-09 21:28:07	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	355	33¢	$117	0x9e7f7e…
06-08 19:14:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	135	13¢	$18	0xa3cd8e…
06-08 19:14:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	171	13¢	$22	0x5ad33f…
06-08 19:14:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x14baad…
06-08 15:17:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	331	13¢	$43	0x2be04c…
06-07 06:28:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	47¢	$154	0x2939a0…
06-07 06:26:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	47¢	$154	0x0746a2…
06-06 16:26:18	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	158	1¢	$2	0x8c9ba0…
06-06 14:05:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0x96d7ae…
06-05 09:48:31	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x45426a…
06-05 07:41:40	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x50aa4d…
06-04 21:54:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0xfbc8cf…
06-04 19:41:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$143	0x9b188b…
06-04 18:11:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	190	83¢	$157	0x4fc791…
06-04 15:56:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	190	82¢	$156	0xf8c269…
05-31 11:10:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	153	47¢	$72	0x544cbc…
05-31 07:38:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	153	47¢	$72	0x40f2fc…
05-31 04:51:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	161	97¢	$156	0x794cf4…
05-31 03:45:08	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	161	97¢	$156	0xe88616…
05-30 19:25:18	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xac44d8…
05-30 19:25:18	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x940380…
05-30 17:58:27	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0xc8de71…
05-30 17:58:25	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xa0bc99…
05-30 17:58:25	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x2913d6…
05-30 17:58:25	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x051a14…
05-30 17:11:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	163	96¢	$156	0x91fc16…
05-30 15:45:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	163	95¢	$156	0x85c2d8…
05-30 04:56:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xe50d2c…
05-30 04:56:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x1db4e4…
05-30 04:55:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$5	0x7d143f…
05-30 04:55:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	4¢	$7	0x11aeaa…
05-29 16:24:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	303	45¢	$136	0xd24a19…
05-29 13:31:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	43¢	$29	0x85a31b…
05-29 13:31:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	43¢	$90	0x9a97b9…
05-28 15:14:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	22¢	$31	0x0b57b3…
05-28 12:56:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	11¢	$15	0xae95f2…
05-25 01:33:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0xc7d58e…
05-25 00:11:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x1e8d73…
05-24 13:54:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xd3e9bc…
05-24 13:53:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0x3d45f4…
05-24 10:13:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x70deda…
05-23 23:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x9e690b…
05-23 23:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	163	37¢	$60	0x29c03b…
05-23 19:17:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	168	61¢	$102	0x5dfc11…
05-23 19:17:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x287842…
05-21 10:11:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	189	83¢	$157	0x13cc5e…
05-21 08:54:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	64	85¢	$54	0xe0ecd2…
05-21 08:54:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0x166c96…
05-21 08:54:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	81	85¢	$69	0x057e6b…
05-11 23:47:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	212	98¢	$207	0xfd4d07…
05-11 23:47:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	751	98¢	$734	0x053d71…
05-11 22:44:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	963	98¢	$941	0xe42db1…
05-11 19:15:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	969	97¢	$940	0x1949c1…