Sizzling-Ounce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$42.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-11 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

11% 67% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will united states record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 445	4	$3.6K	1,817	1,817	+0	open	—	02-20 02:39
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$2.6K	1,315	1,315	+0	open	—	02-07 18:26
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$2.5K	1,313	1,313	+0	open	—	03-27 13:55
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	3	$2.4K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	07-19 13:17
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.6K	808	808	+0	open	—	01-09 22:53
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	08-09 22:20
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$1.2K	720	514	+206	open	—	02-20 06:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	open	—	04-21 23:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$1.2K	617	617	+0	open	—	04-08 00:14
Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?	2	$1.2K	1,164	0	+1,164	open	—	04-08 19:13
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$1.0K	633	475	+158	open	—	06-15 01:03
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$1000	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-14 20:37
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	2	$994	541	541	+0	open	—	06-22 21:34
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	7	$925	526	526	+0	open	—	03-27 13:55
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	12	$868	5,602	5,602	+0	open	—	01-12 21:27
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$835	839	0	+839	open	—	01-23 22:37
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$802	409	409	+0	open	—	02-20 11:39
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	2	$800	401	401	+0	open	—	01-12 21:27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$796	440	440	+0	open	—	07-02 23:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$783	0	833	-833	open	—	06-14 21:10
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	3	$774	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 02:36
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$770	400	400	+0	open	—	03-08 10:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	6	$716	545	411	+133	open	—	06-14 21:28
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	12	$709	0	770	-770	open	—	06-06 08:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	6	$695	430	330	+100	open	—	03-03 20:05
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?	2	$619	397	397	+0	open	—	04-27 03:23
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	1	$596	600	0	+600	open	—	07-22 11:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$562	776	435	+341	open	—	01-31 20:37
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	11	$536	498	298	+200	open	—	02-20 19:17
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	5	$479	569	8	+561	open	—	08-11 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 07:05:45	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x9f77d2…
08-09 22:20:15	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	700	96¢	$668	0x98b951…
08-09 22:20:03	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x5b889a…
08-09 22:19:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	148	79¢	$117	0x16d9a4…
08-09 22:18:12	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Mackenzie Dern	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x5c44be…
08-09 22:17:58	ufc eds est1 2026 08 15	Esteban Ribovics	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x45caeb…
08-09 22:17:40	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x5d0275…
08-09 22:17:19	mlb det sf 2026 08 09	Detroit Tigers	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x24f965…
08-09 22:17:04	mlb tb sea 2026 08 09	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xbc8dd5…
08-02 04:16:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0x929761…
08-02 04:15:59	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x69c1c0…
08-02 04:15:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xaee3d0…
07-22 12:32:52	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x4c9416…
07-22 11:05:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0x5f6d62…
07-22 10:34:58	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8623c4…
07-22 10:18:25	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	151	82¢	$124	0x1ebf42…
07-19 13:17:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	270	70¢	$189	0x9b6ce1…
07-19 13:17:28	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	632	98¢	$617	0x948e9e…
07-19 08:48:04	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	632	98¢	$619	0xfebba3…
07-17 19:37:58	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x2e67c4…
07-17 19:37:48	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	57	71¢	$40	0x2a402d…
07-17 19:36:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x797c46…
07-17 19:34:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x0af01d…
07-17 19:33:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xc89bd4…
07-17 19:33:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x8784f7…
07-12 19:00:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0xe52947…
07-12 19:00:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb00f72…
07-12 19:00:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x80d202…
07-12 18:59:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x58f7aa…
07-12 18:58:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	284	62¢	$176	0xc22fba…
07-06 21:33:40	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x980a1d…
07-06 21:09:47	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd9c8f1…
07-06 20:54:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x5e8ecf…
07-06 20:53:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0x99a4d6…
07-06 20:53:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x0d59dd…
07-02 23:49:19	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	440	92¢	$405	0x44551c…
06-30 18:43:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xbd63ff…
06-30 18:41:43	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xdd9323…
06-30 18:41:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xcb9fb5…
06-30 18:40:59	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8c38c2…
06-30 18:40:41	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xbc4adf…
06-26 07:51:10	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	93¢	$166	0x2499f2…
06-26 04:48:32	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xbb3b89…
06-26 04:44:04	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xd4a10a…
06-26 01:41:35	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x001c48…
06-26 01:20:02	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x2ddd24…
06-26 00:56:25	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	393	93¢	$365	0x5e331f…
06-22 21:34:08	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	541	94¢	$509	0xa6b443…
06-22 04:51:17	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	89¢	$392	0xc4b1cb…
06-22 04:50:43	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x065b93…
06-22 04:50:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x42d6af…
06-18 01:30:32	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,264	95¢	$1,200	0x55afb3…
06-15 01:03:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	475	91¢	$432	0xd1c07c…
06-14 21:28:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa29a3e…
06-14 21:28:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	133	90¢	$120	0x4dd29e…
06-14 21:26:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	124	38¢	$47	0x2f42e2…
06-14 21:26:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xafbf4a…
06-14 21:26:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xa792dd…
06-14 21:26:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x8534c0…
06-14 21:19:10	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x83621e…
06-14 21:18:31	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x19659c…
06-14 21:17:57	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 gane win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcef1fb…
06-14 21:17:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	335	83¢	$278	0xd3c095…
06-14 21:17:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	77	83¢	$64	0xf24ae1…
06-14 21:17:42	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xcb358a…
06-14 21:17:27	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x26181f…
06-14 21:17:00	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc48ab2…
06-14 21:10:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x8cdd7f…
06-14 21:00:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x7160be…
06-14 20:58:51	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0xa91ecb…
06-14 20:53:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	633	94¢	$595	0x9c8f63…
06-09 23:50:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0x59deaa…
06-09 23:48:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa2344a…
06-08 01:20:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xcdf7af…
06-08 01:20:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x44c7e1…
06-06 08:55:07	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	178	92¢	$164	0x7f891d…
06-06 07:18:42	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x82de6c…
06-06 07:05:54	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x660430…
06-06 06:29:33	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xf903fb…
06-06 06:22:30	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	541	90¢	$485	0x04ab2a…
06-06 06:16:28	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	208	90¢	$187	0xeb32e4…
06-06 05:43:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x46a084…
06-06 04:50:48	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x94ec47…
06-06 04:32:09	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x756bd0…
06-06 04:22:34	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x25fce6…
06-06 03:58:55	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x51cfbc…
06-06 02:45:10	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xee5981…
06-06 01:25:58	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	149	92¢	$138	0xf9e9fa…
06-03 23:18:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x2421d7…
06-03 23:17:48	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	385	92¢	$353	0x0ac365…
06-03 23:12:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	425	90¢	$382	0xdd03ea…
05-25 16:16:25	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x19ed6e…
05-25 16:15:55	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xeb26e7…
05-18 07:20:51	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6df90f…
05-18 04:06:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd8a6e7…
05-18 04:06:15	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x0e7b77…
05-18 04:06:05	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x852fba…
05-18 04:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x469042…
05-15 04:02:23	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc930ab…
05-15 04:02:14	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdf07c0…