Sizzling-Ounce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$1.94K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

13% 67% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-770	$-709	93¢	$-719	$-10	06-06 08:55
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+633	$570	90¢	$573	+$3	06-06 06:16
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	+541	$485	91¢	$490	+$5	06-06 06:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+221	$150	70¢	$153	+$3	06-09 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will united states record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 445	4	$3.6K	1,817	1,817	+0	open	—	02-20 02:39
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$2.6K	1,315	1,315	+0	open	—	02-07 18:26
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$2.5K	1,313	1,313	+0	open	—	03-27 13:55
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.6K	808	808	+0	open	—	01-09 22:53
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$1.2K	720	514	+206	open	—	02-20 06:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	open	—	04-21 23:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$1.2K	617	617	+0	open	—	04-08 00:14
Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?	2	$1.2K	1,164	0	+1,164	open	—	04-08 19:13
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$1000	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-14 20:37
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	7	$925	526	526	+0	open	—	03-27 13:55
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	12	$868	5,602	5,602	+0	open	—	01-12 21:27
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$835	839	0	+839	open	—	01-23 22:37
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$802	409	409	+0	open	—	02-20 11:39
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	2	$800	401	401	+0	open	—	01-12 21:27
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	3	$774	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 02:36
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$770	400	400	+0	open	—	03-08 10:00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	12	$709	0	770	-770	open	—	06-06 08:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	6	$695	430	330	+100	open	—	03-03 20:05
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?	2	$619	397	397	+0	open	—	04-27 03:23
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$570	633	0	+633	open	—	06-06 06:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$562	776	435	+341	open	—	01-31 20:37
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	11	$536	498	298	+200	open	—	02-20 19:17
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	1	$485	541	0	+541	open	—	06-06 06:22
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	04-08 19:15
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	03-08 09:59
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$337	202	146	+57	open	—	03-30 11:39
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	1	$329	330	0	+330	open	—	02-28 23:10
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$300	152	152	+0	open	—	02-14 02:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$292	153	153	+0	open	—	03-15 14:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$269	188	188	+0	open	—	03-02 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:50:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0x59deaa…
06-09 23:48:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa2344a…
06-08 01:20:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xcdf7af…
06-08 01:20:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x44c7e1…
06-06 08:55:07	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	178	92¢	$164	0x7f891d…
06-06 07:18:42	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x82de6c…
06-06 07:05:54	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x660430…
06-06 06:29:33	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xf903fb…
06-06 06:22:30	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	541	90¢	$485	0x04ab2a…
06-06 06:16:28	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	208	90¢	$187	0xeb32e4…
06-06 05:43:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x46a084…
06-06 04:50:48	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x94ec47…
06-06 04:32:09	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x756bd0…
06-06 04:22:34	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x25fce6…
06-06 03:58:55	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x51cfbc…
06-06 02:45:10	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xee5981…
06-06 01:25:58	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	149	92¢	$138	0xf9e9fa…
06-03 23:18:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x2421d7…
06-03 23:17:48	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	385	92¢	$353	0x0ac365…
06-03 23:12:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	425	90¢	$382	0xdd03ea…
05-25 16:16:25	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x19ed6e…
05-25 16:15:55	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xeb26e7…
05-18 07:20:51	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6df90f…
05-18 04:06:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd8a6e7…
05-18 04:06:15	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x0e7b77…
05-18 04:06:05	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x852fba…
05-18 04:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x469042…
05-15 04:02:23	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc930ab…
05-15 04:02:14	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdf07c0…
05-15 04:02:05	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7dcf32…
05-15 04:01:48	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x815b50…
05-15 04:01:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2274f1…
05-15 04:01:29	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x168d2a…
05-15 04:01:15	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x3a16f8…
05-15 04:00:54	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb16992…
05-10 06:47:44	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xf2da6e…
05-10 01:42:27	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x5bea4c…
05-08 22:19:22	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8cd059…
05-04 20:34:12	NHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Flyers Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x4ef305…
04-27 03:26:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcbaf80…
04-27 03:25:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x02c359…
04-27 03:23:24	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	338	1¢	$3	0x380109…
04-27 03:23:10	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?	No	SELL	397	80¢	$319	0x5548bc…
04-21 23:29:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0x297216…
04-21 04:16:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0xac9298…
04-17 20:49:02	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	338	9¢	$30	0x889957…
04-17 20:48:52	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xe7f3a2…
04-14 20:37:42	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0xafb837…
04-14 20:37:18	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	397	75¢	$300	0xd1754e…
04-08 19:15:35	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xb6750c…
04-08 19:15:05	Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xf6793c…
04-08 19:13:57	Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x712ead…
04-08 00:14:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	617	97¢	$598	0xccec90…
04-02 10:42:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x46e4d7…
03-30 11:40:14	btc updown 5m 1774870800	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xbeb46f…
03-30 11:39:34	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0x2e9c01…
03-27 13:56:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x1817d8…
03-27 13:55:33	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	SELL	256	99¢	$253	0x534466…
03-27 13:55:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,313	100¢	$1,309	0xb34d47…
03-20 13:48:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	73	87¢	$64	0xf0ff02…
03-20 13:47:33	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	SELL	81	79¢	$64	0x5dd53e…
03-18 13:13:17	Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0x0986f3…
03-18 13:11:59	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	SELL	189	84¢	$158	0x99a7cf…
03-15 14:07:45	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xaa69b9…
03-15 14:07:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	153	96¢	$147	0xd381ea…
03-15 14:07:03	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x79ee8a…
03-15 14:06:49	Will the Arizona Coyotes win the Central Division?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x180ee0…
03-13 02:50:07	btc updown 5m 1773370200	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc730a3…
03-13 02:46:15	btc updown 5m 1773369900	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe1cf39…
03-13 02:46:15	btc updown 5m 1773369900	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd4279f…
03-13 02:46:15	btc updown 5m 1773369900	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb69622…
03-13 02:46:15	btc updown 5m 1773369900	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54790a…
03-13 02:45:51	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x20eaa1…
03-13 02:45:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	153	95¢	$145	0x6c592f…
03-13 02:36:59	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	400	98¢	$391	0xfa35d6…
03-09 13:00:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	267	95¢	$254	0x8a9f2e…
03-08 10:02:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	500	92¢	$458	0x71845b…
03-08 10:00:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	545	92¢	$500	0xaa1363…
03-08 10:00:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	400	97¢	$386	0x1190e6…
03-08 09:59:51	kash patel out by march 31	No	SELL	134	97¢	$130	0x17ed9e…
03-08 09:59:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xe59f68…
03-06 08:16:43	kash patel out by march 31	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xfb727d…
03-06 08:16:09	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x003ecb…
03-05 02:21:29	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x5cee44…
03-05 02:21:25	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	380	96¢	$365	0x48ed3a…
03-05 00:57:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x7e82c4…
03-03 20:05:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x93ca15…
03-02 08:08:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	82	94¢	$77	0x6030a6…
03-02 08:04:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	82	93¢	$77	0xf03108…
03-02 07:44:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	188	74¢	$139	0x839b2d…
03-02 07:34:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	165	92¢	$152	0xa8543b…
03-02 06:44:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x041dd8…
03-02 06:43:25	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1da3c4…
03-02 06:11:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x05056f…
03-02 06:10:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	188	69¢	$130	0x8d96aa…
03-02 06:09:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x18c634…
03-02 06:04:49	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xe78f45…
02-28 23:10:59	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x35d306…
02-20 19:17:52	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	171	65¢	$111	0x249a28…
02-20 18:47:40	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x32e653…