Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-23

last 11-01 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

81% 46% -$3

Politics

17% 71% +$4

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	+$0	09-14 05:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-05 22:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-26 16:25
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 02:46
will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-29 01:21
will meta dip to 570 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-02 06:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 07:58
will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-23 19:39
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:05
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 08:13
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 19:38
will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-14 11:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	4	+4	Up	+$3	09-18 17:48
spx up or down on october 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	10-02 06:02
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-15 09:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-08 04:17
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-23 03:11
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-10 21:28
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-01 10:17
will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-14 02:35
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	09-11 02:21
spy up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-13 18:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 06:38
will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-28 16:48
will aapl dip to 336 by september 21 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-22 07:09
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-02 14:49
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt07 in september	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-27 20:40
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-20 12:30
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-14 22:29
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-26 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:38:37	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0353ea…
10-27 05:29:54	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0ef169…
10-14 19:57:36	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 17	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc02877…
10-14 11:26:41	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3c583c…
10-14 02:35:35	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x16f533…
10-13 18:28:22	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xecf8ef…
10-10 21:28:12	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0ef9c9…
10-10 11:55:43	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7872cb…
10-08 13:07:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb87801…
10-08 04:17:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x13ed8e…
10-06 06:38:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x85c7d4…
10-05 22:37:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x75dc8a…
10-05 14:37:40	will xagusd reach 64 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x10f5a6…
10-05 00:45:04	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7b6a75…
10-02 14:49:39	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe86a00…
10-02 06:02:32	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc72ebc…
10-01 18:26:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8edbe9…
10-01 10:17:33	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x563c8d…
09-29 01:21:05	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c8bb8…
09-28 16:48:20	will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x788cf5…
09-27 20:40:38	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt07 in september	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf20adf…
09-27 08:18:33	will meta reach 760 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf805ab…
09-27 06:05:20	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe78001…
09-26 08:13:44	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xde91e0…
09-26 00:01:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5ee659…
09-25 15:58:15	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7b5768…
09-23 19:39:41	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfb2d70…
09-23 11:31:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x951908…
09-23 03:11:53	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf7924b…
09-22 07:09:51	will aapl dip to 336 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x73d4fb…
09-21 23:08:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x634846…
09-21 15:07:57	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8e9591…
09-21 07:06:21	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x05ece5…
09-20 22:15:17	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8bd654…
09-20 12:30:13	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc37a3e…
09-19 11:00:50	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb9dfe7…
09-19 02:46:30	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa68308…
09-18 17:48:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc756c…
09-16 05:28:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6509e9…
09-15 09:24:06	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x872048…
09-14 22:29:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9c369b…
09-14 14:11:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x50f8ff…
09-14 05:59:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x283181…
09-14 05:58:55	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe1fc08…
09-14 05:58:01	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa87daa…
09-13 21:55:48	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7522d4…
09-11 02:21:43	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd46686…
09-10 18:05:45	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbba04a…
09-10 07:58:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb482d8…
09-09 13:22:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9e29b7…
09-08 16:19:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x413531…
09-08 04:31:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf11e60…
09-03 21:11:57	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x76c026…
09-02 17:45:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x37c95f…
09-02 06:08:42	will meta dip to 570 by august 31 2026 from september 1	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2994a8…
09-01 10:57:15	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe8db81…
09-01 02:54:46	will tsla dip to 360 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9b4725…
08-31 18:54:09	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xaf3499…
08-31 10:52:36	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa5484a…
08-31 01:19:01	will mu reach 990 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xac2508…
08-30 17:04:48	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x44a40d…
08-30 06:55:40	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5a2394…
08-29 22:22:51	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc14183…
08-29 14:19:52	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeda60d…
08-29 03:48:10	will meta reach 580 in august 2026 from august 28	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4d43b1…
08-28 18:26:37	will xauusd dip to 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc672d8…
08-28 10:05:10	will trump say moon base during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7fc6fc…
08-28 02:04:28	will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a9812…
08-27 18:03:40	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c89b7…
08-27 09:58:22	will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3c31d7…
08-27 01:56:58	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x12d71a…
08-26 16:25:27	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5980be…
08-26 08:03:09	wti up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2244fa…
08-25 20:55:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb00593…
08-25 09:56:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7dec97…
08-25 01:55:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x14a29f…
08-24 17:03:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd83872…
08-24 08:35:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x457143…
08-24 00:32:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99cca0…
08-23 13:08:06	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0094a2…
08-23 02:08:40	will trump say karoline or leavitt this week 20260830	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf784a7…