Shocked-Crown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-22 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Sports

22% — —

Politics

17% 0% $-3

Crypto

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-118	$-21	16¢	$-18	+$3	06-22 21:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+125	$26	0¢	$0	$-26	06-15 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$370	392	392	+0	open	—	03-30 16:55
btc updown 5m 1775092800	3	$83	88	67	+21	open	—	04-02 01:23
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	2	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	03-29 03:29
nba nop tor 2026 03 27	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$40	170	170	+0	open	—	04-01 13:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$39	27	27	+0	Yes	$-1	04-01 13:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	2	$37	133	133	+0	open	—	03-30 13:49
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 rebounds draymond green 4pt5	4	$34	37	36	+1	open	—	04-15 23:30
btc updown 5m 1774656600	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	03-28 00:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$26	125	0	+125	open	—	06-15 17:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-02 21:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$24	115	115	+0	open	—	04-01 13:49
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	2	$21	289	0	+289	open	—	03-29 03:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$21	0	118	-118	open	—	06-22 21:24
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$21	154	0	+154	open	—	03-27 16:02
highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 23c	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	03-28 00:10
will apple release a new version of the apple tv by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:05
bitcoin above 68k on march 28	2	$20	537	0	+537	open	—	03-28 04:27
mlb det sd 2026 03 27	3	$19	16	11	+5	open	—	03-28 04:46
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	04-01 17:15
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	1	$15	69	0	+69	open	—	03-30 18:17
bitcoin above 66k on february 22	4	$14	425	0	+425	open	—	02-22 04:04
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?	2	$13	106	106	+0	open	—	04-01 13:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$13	13	3	+9	open	—	04-20 23:43
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	03-30 13:49
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$12	353	353	+0	open	—	04-01 13:50
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$12	24	24	+0	open	—	02-22 03:55
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 02:21
will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 01:50
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	03-27 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 21:24:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	18¢	$21	0x04c741…
06-15 21:56:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x89164c…
06-15 17:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x349f3b…
06-12 16:58:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0xeae427…
04-28 00:35:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x83fbbb…
04-27 23:30:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x4b30e1…
04-20 23:43:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x47a34b…
04-20 21:25:46	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x50cb3b…
04-20 13:51:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1b327f…
04-18 04:41:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xb7291c…
04-15 23:30:10	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 rebounds draymond green 4pt5	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x52e206…
04-15 23:29:22	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 rebounds draymond green 4pt5	No	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0x3f15da…
04-15 23:28:02	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 rebounds draymond green 4pt5	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x05e7f7…
04-15 23:25:52	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 rebounds draymond green 4pt5	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x36ae33…
04-11 21:07:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9da2e0…
04-08 23:34:37	nba okc lac 2026 04 08	Clippers	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa6be51…
04-07 05:30:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x12e5f8…
04-07 00:17:57	mlb lad tor 2026 04 06	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6d4454…
04-03 03:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x22b3e5…
04-02 21:51:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4fdc38…
04-02 02:23:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x520d88…
04-02 02:21:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4f7c93…
04-02 02:08:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x82973f…
04-02 01:51:15	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x8300ef…
04-02 01:51:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xdcd5e8…
04-02 01:50:53	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe8c71d…
04-02 01:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775092800	Down	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x8f74c3…
04-02 01:21:09	btc updown 5m 1775092800	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x86bc16…
04-02 01:20:23	btc updown 5m 1775092800	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc6d6cf…
04-01 17:15:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0x60ebd5…
04-01 17:15:21	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x723f1e…
04-01 14:03:39	highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 84forhigher	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x61c257…
04-01 13:52:11	US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	3¢	$3	0x76d7bb…
04-01 13:51:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xeb141d…
04-01 13:50:37	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	353	2¢	$6	0xc925b3…
04-01 13:49:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	115	8¢	$9	0xfac473…
04-01 13:48:17	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	170	11¢	$19	0x8b3286…
04-01 01:05:13	will apple release a new version of the apple tv by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4fdfd5…
03-31 00:02:47	will japans february 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt8	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$6	0x824035…
03-31 00:01:25	will apple release a new version of the apple tv by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ab9a6…
03-30 23:35:29	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x248b22…
03-30 18:28:31	US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x76c3b2…
03-30 18:18:13	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x1b01bd…
03-30 18:17:55	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	No	BUY	64	9¢	$6	0x211e39…
03-30 18:17:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x850803…
03-30 18:16:29	lol ts3 reda 2026 03 30	Team Solid	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x200824…
03-30 18:15:59	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	Heat	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0db701…
03-30 16:55:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x8f3954…
03-30 14:05:57	highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 84forhigher	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x374986…
03-30 13:49:49	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x6321be…
03-30 13:49:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	133	17¢	$22	0x7c69cb…
03-30 04:16:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x81a375…
03-29 21:49:44	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	133	11¢	$15	0xabac09…
03-29 21:46:08	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	No	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x01eb50…
03-29 15:44:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5cd594…
03-29 15:42:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x577a4c…
03-29 03:33:52	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x3b753e…
03-29 03:33:02	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	164	7¢	$11	0x24823a…
03-29 03:29:00	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xd537da…
03-28 19:21:18	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xb2d6c4…
03-28 15:58:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbeeac3…
03-28 05:35:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x077fca…
03-28 05:26:59	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb6f3d5…
03-28 05:14:57	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x9ad924…
03-28 04:46:41	mlb det sd 2026 03 27	Detroit Tigers	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4fd37f…
03-28 04:27:47	bitcoin above 65800 on march 28 2026 1am et	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xa7e8c1…
03-28 04:27:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 28	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x0d8d92…
03-28 04:26:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 28	Yes	BUY	280	4¢	$10	0x520441…
03-28 02:46:45	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xdf95d2…
03-28 00:15:17	btc updown 5m 1774656600	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xdcf1a2…
03-28 00:10:25	highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 23c	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x7cd541…
03-28 00:07:21	nba nop tor 2026 03 27	Raptors	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x42a168…
03-28 00:04:53	btc updown 5m 1774656600	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x454af0…
03-27 23:57:27	mlb det sd 2026 03 27	Detroit Tigers	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfc4322…
03-27 23:57:21	mlb det sd 2026 03 27	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x266616…
03-27 19:15:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x209218…
03-27 19:15:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x305891…
03-27 18:59:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x201d4c…
03-27 18:59:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8906cb…
03-27 18:59:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x85ee81…
03-27 18:38:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	375	61¢	$228	0xf4fe10…
03-27 16:02:17	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x876f8f…
03-27 16:02:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	116	14¢	$16	0xb1f1df…
03-27 16:01:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3f4ed7…
03-27 02:28:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	350	30¢	$106	0x784af8…
03-27 01:09:09	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	86	13¢	$11	0x0174be…
03-26 23:43:33	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2ba3f9…
03-26 15:04:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1ca021…
03-26 02:58:59	mlb nyy sf 2026 03 25	San Francisco Giants	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82ac82…
03-26 02:58:59	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	353	2¢	$6	0x03ee64…
03-26 02:20:35	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1d1026…
02-22 16:50:30	bitcoin above 70k on february 24	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0b8070…
02-22 16:49:42	bitcoin above 70k on february 23	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe6c986…
02-22 16:49:00	will there be 810 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xa0fb56…
02-22 16:48:52	will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x350640…
02-22 16:32:36	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcd58df…
02-22 16:27:10	new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	No	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xeb02a1…
02-22 04:04:34	bitcoin above 66k on february 22	No	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0xb27634…
02-22 03:57:14	bitcoin above 66k on february 22	No	BUY	213	3¢	$7	0xb9b3d2…
02-22 03:55:12	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xbc4bbd…