Medical-Belligerency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$800

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

373

Trades

617

lifetime

Volume

$6.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-30 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$754

Crypto

18% 100% +$2

Other

15% 93% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-30 19:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	46	$1.3K	118,059	118,059	+0	No	+$226	04-14 08:22
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	56	$1.0K	85,609	85,609	+0	No	+$106	04-13 09:54
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	28	$1.0K	202,025	202,025	+0	No	+$202	04-24 15:05
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	32	$321	41,810	41,810	+0	No	+$71	04-08 04:49
will cr win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	14	$239	27,373	27,373	+0	No	+$74	04-02 04:52
will la u win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	8	$87	26,798	26,798	+0	No	+$34	03-18 05:45
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	14	$84	20,909	20,909	+0	No	+$42	03-15 07:42
will magali brunel be the next mayor of toulon	15	$81	19,642	19,642	+0	No	+$42	03-25 05:19
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$2	03-31 08:08
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	3	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	03-24 10:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 10:11
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 180 199	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 05:25
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:54
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$19	15	5	+10	No	-$1	10-09 21:01
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-16 16:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$15	10	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-07 12:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 21:01
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	-$4	04-07 14:39
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	2	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	04-08 02:49
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-09 21:01
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-30 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-01 15:06
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-24 12:21
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 180 199	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 04:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 10:09
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 04:51
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-27 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 01:58
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 140 159	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-24 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:46:49	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb17f1…
10-30 19:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3cb7e1…
10-30 19:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a7c34…
10-30 19:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe7e9c7…
10-30 19:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb9e60…
10-30 19:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1d522…
10-26 21:26:53	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x269a71…
10-24 21:02:33	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6773c8…
10-24 21:02:09	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a3032…
10-24 21:01:51	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52827d…
10-24 21:01:36	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b3cc7…
10-24 21:01:30	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x119c13…
10-24 21:01:24	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05512c…
10-24 21:01:18	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bf65d…
10-24 21:01:14	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf944f0…
10-24 21:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5e471…
10-24 21:00:38	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc72713…
10-24 21:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4a015…
10-17 00:56:30	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x663279…
10-17 00:56:24	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b24c6…
10-17 00:56:18	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0ac32…
10-17 00:56:12	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x028be0…
10-17 00:56:06	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b4670…
10-17 00:55:59	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1249e1…
10-17 00:55:32	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ec4ec…
10-17 00:55:26	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70f0ac…
10-17 00:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fbf97…
10-17 00:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a4207…
10-14 10:08:58	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x092462…
10-14 10:08:35	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f31d1…
10-14 10:08:28	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x275a1e…
10-14 10:08:20	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c2bcf…
10-14 10:07:56	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4408c4…
10-14 10:07:50	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe49c6d…
10-14 10:07:40	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ba37e…
10-14 10:07:32	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe7af8…
10-12 19:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c87f4…
10-12 19:07:57	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d2b7e…
10-10 18:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ff706…
10-10 18:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf080c7…
10-10 18:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbf90e…
10-10 18:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x679903…
10-10 18:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4a519…
10-09 21:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x998b86…
10-09 21:02:25	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe631f…
10-09 21:01:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x282801…
10-09 21:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01a077…
10-09 21:01:05	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0ad28…
10-08 22:54:41	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc7acb…
10-08 22:54:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1af678…
10-08 22:54:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe4ddb2…
10-08 22:54:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5bcf9f…
10-08 22:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xdc13dc…
10-08 22:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x54255e…
10-08 22:51:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa0ed87…
10-08 17:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ba916…
10-07 08:11:27	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99bb18…
10-07 08:11:18	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff153c…
10-07 08:11:11	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3773de…
10-07 08:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x928994…
10-07 08:10:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6cc059…
10-07 08:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc6f09…
10-07 08:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f0c48…
10-04 07:05:20	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x380f1a…
10-04 07:05:10	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51d9c0…
10-04 07:05:04	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7acf43…
10-04 07:04:52	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa12dcb…
10-04 07:04:41	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa64111…
09-30 07:06:59	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a12a3…
09-30 07:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f58e…
09-30 07:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d15fe…
09-29 15:14:09	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1725d7…
09-29 05:12:03	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d3232…
09-29 05:11:44	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ae853…
09-29 05:11:33	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a8e01…
09-29 05:11:15	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeabc5e…
09-29 05:11:06	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c3c82…
09-29 05:10:59	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x88ab1a…
09-29 05:10:51	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b6181…
09-29 05:10:38	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf206c3…
09-29 05:08:27	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecb617…
09-21 16:49:02	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fded6…
09-21 16:48:54	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c161e…
09-21 16:48:44	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b4258…
09-21 16:48:27	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3101c8…
09-18 02:55:52	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1df665…
09-18 02:55:43	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x671ef8…
09-18 02:55:34	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31353e…
09-18 02:55:24	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x916a29…
09-18 02:55:15	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31e5c9…
09-18 02:55:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd65a14…
09-18 02:54:55	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x636dc6…
09-18 02:54:46	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17ce20…
09-06 09:01:42	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96d0a9…
09-06 09:01:33	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33c041…
09-06 09:01:24	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8515a6…
09-06 09:01:13	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58ab5e…
09-06 09:01:03	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x995662…
09-06 09:00:54	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2e718…
09-06 09:00:28	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x156d86…