Prickly-Gran 0x5268b2…a1aad9
new
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
18.2%
Resolved (90d)
6
Trades (90d)
34
34 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$36
$36 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-12 01:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
70% 40% $-7
Politics
17% — —
Sports
13% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? No -2 $-2 78¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 15:17
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +8 $2 19¢ $1 $-0 05-11 17:23
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 05-11 16:31
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes -12 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 18:53
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 17:12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 05-11 20:58
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes -1 $-1 78¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 17:12
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 05-11 21:14
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 25¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 17:12
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-11 13:48
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 17:12
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 20¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 17:12
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes -7 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 05-12 01:23
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 17:12
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 17:12