Soggy-Ephyra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$341

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-06 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-2

Politics

41% 0% $-2

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	12	$39	119	119	+0	open	—	05-04 07:50
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 06:54
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	$-2	05-03 19:07
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 19:50
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	5	$25	37	37	+0	open	—	05-05 13:29
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	2	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 14:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	2	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 11:29
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 14:35
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 00:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 18:54
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$13	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 10:58
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	2	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	04-28 08:09
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	2	$12	21	21	+0	Yes	$-2	05-05 17:42
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 14:17
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	5	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 13:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	2	$9	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 03:31
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$7	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 10:30
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	2	$7	41	41	+0	open	—	04-27 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 18:54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 14:11
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	3	$6	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 05:05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	1	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:58:10	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x67402a…
05-06 00:57:38	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6a27c0…
05-05 19:50:40	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x83d636…
05-05 19:50:14	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x4ed77d…
05-05 17:42:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	No	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x2c575f…
05-05 16:43:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x5cca74…
05-05 14:17:06	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3f9bf2…
05-05 14:01:00	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x024732…
05-05 13:29:30	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa13735…
05-05 13:00:22	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x7b887c…
05-05 12:28:56	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x71eb64…
05-04 10:20:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xc9e2b5…
05-04 07:50:20	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x947b1a…
05-04 07:44:00	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x99afd9…
05-04 07:42:08	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x73d790…
05-04 07:36:54	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xadf6c9…
05-04 07:35:44	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x2d6fb9…
05-04 07:26:04	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xf9effa…
05-04 07:25:38	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x8c0e36…
05-04 07:25:28	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x83ed6f…
05-04 07:24:38	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x7dfaf9…
05-04 04:28:38	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	48	11¢	$5	0x3d8cd2…
05-03 23:16:20	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x8dcc66…
05-03 23:11:06	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xc94be7…
05-03 19:07:12	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xe42803…
05-03 18:06:10	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9a4d0c…
05-02 14:35:50	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x526f20…
05-02 14:35:22	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xed0cd0…
05-02 13:14:48	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x764907…
05-02 11:43:42	Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xb63a8f…
05-02 11:29:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xfebb6a…
05-02 10:54:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x3a6173…
05-02 06:54:46	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x70e67f…
05-02 06:36:06	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe0912b…
05-02 03:31:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x5aa3d1…
05-01 21:42:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x5774e1…
05-01 10:58:38	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0xb4b3c4…
05-01 09:33:46	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x955bea…
05-01 05:05:14	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x7412fa…
04-30 22:04:10	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x54a129…
04-30 21:49:16	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x08f272…
04-30 14:11:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x8b1468…
04-30 13:54:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd2a803…
04-30 13:44:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xb372b8…
04-30 09:14:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x1f871b…
04-30 04:10:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x3bce1b…
04-30 04:10:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa7ea5a…
04-30 04:10:20	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9d0e23…
04-30 03:36:36	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x63e9d7…
04-29 20:21:34	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xcee849…
04-29 18:54:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x5ff9a3…
04-29 18:54:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x781137…
04-29 18:22:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xb03d80…
04-29 17:40:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xaf0293…
04-29 10:30:44	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0xf452e4…
04-29 09:29:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x8c8c77…
04-29 09:29:26	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd3b230…
04-29 09:21:44	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x33a003…
04-28 08:09:34	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x18c96e…
04-28 01:58:36	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x805af4…
04-27 16:06:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x590ed9…
04-27 15:49:52	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x6e80d0…