Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$9.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$255

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,254 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.1K

$879.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$702

Open exposure

$2.81K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 09-17 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

70% 55% +$11,722

Other

30% 71% +$6,705

Sports

0% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No		+3,026	$2,717	93¢	$2.8K	+$97	08-08 16:34
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No		+0	-$157	92¢	$0	+$157	08-08 15:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	57	$191.1K	97,095	97,095	+0	No	+$345	04-21 16:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	77	$83.7K	44,821	44,821	+0	Yes	+$4,032	08-01 03:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	121	$62.0K	63,892	55,689	+8,203	No	-$2,017	03-09 20:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	93	$38.6K	53,949	54,573	-623	No	-$8,445	03-09 09:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	5	$36.7K	22,916	22,916	+0	Yes	+$458	08-17 14:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	37	$33.8K	33,119	33,119	+0	Yes	+$1,995	02-28 19:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	11	$30.7K	25,333	25,333	+0	Yes	-$122	03-20 02:53
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	14	$29.6K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$180	02-23 00:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$28.4K	22,772	20,000	+2,772	Yes	+$333	02-28 06:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	7	$26.4K	28,005	0	+28,005	No	+$1,567	03-04 00:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	26	$24.9K	13,947	13,947	+0	Yes	+$2,755	08-15 15:48
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	37	$24.3K	22,013	7,693	+14,320	No	+$2,090	09-03 16:52
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	75	$22.1K	53,778	48,620	+5,158	Yes	+$579	03-06 18:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	74	$13.6K	34,568	35,568	-1,000	No	-$3,738	03-21 17:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	16	$13.0K	9,850	8,295	+1,556	Yes	+$84	03-08 05:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$12.9K	14,500	12,250	+2,250	Yes	-$2,549	03-08 07:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$12.3K	12,738	0	+12,738	No	+$408	02-27 23:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$11.4K	8,417	8,417	+0	Yes	-$487	04-09 05:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	24	$10.9K	9,049	9,049	+0	Yes	-$552	04-09 04:40
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	19	$10.7K	7,873	7,873	+0	open	—	08-08 15:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	13	$10.7K	6,700	6,700	+0	No	+$603	08-11 18:06
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	10	$10.4K	12,272	5,114	+7,157	Yes	+$5,065	02-28 06:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$9.4K	300	11,000	-10,700	No	-$1,741	03-04 21:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$9.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$1,000	08-08 13:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	17	$8.9K	6,991	6,991	+0	Yes	+$481	08-17 14:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$8.4K	4,884	4,884	+0	Yes	-$49	04-06 22:59
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	26	$8.3K	12,041	4,878	+7,163	No	-$1,513	03-22 09:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	6	$7.0K	8,126	523	+7,603	No	+$1,003	08-11 17:29
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	114	$6.4K	7,259	675	+6,584	No	+$1,486	03-09 08:11
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	11	$6.3K	5,000	1,974	+3,026	open	—	08-08 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 10:53:21	Vikings vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xee2690…
09-17 10:53:04	Bengals vs. Texans	Bengals	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x2b257e…
09-17 10:52:43	Vikings vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x57e5ee…
09-17 10:23:46	Vikings vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x3917f3…
09-17 10:23:28	Bengals vs. Texans	Bengals	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1e5576…
09-17 10:23:10	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7dcc34…
09-03 16:52:54	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	1,001	93¢	$931	0x272ad1…
09-03 16:45:52	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3f7538…
09-03 16:42:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x061b6b…
09-03 16:41:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x77e0f2…
09-03 16:40:15	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	663	93¢	$617	0xf6c580…
09-03 16:40:09	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	322	93¢	$299	0xaed6c3…
09-03 16:39:58	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0xc3a53f…
09-03 16:39:45	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x88c6b3…
09-03 16:39:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0xbe3024…
09-03 16:39:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb1b3cb…
09-03 16:39:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf09744…
09-03 16:39:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	95	93¢	$89	0x820581…
09-03 16:39:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6987bc…
09-03 16:39:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x9bf83a…
09-03 16:39:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x6dc4f7…
09-03 16:39:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x67e91d…
09-03 16:39:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	244	93¢	$227	0x35b18e…
09-03 16:39:39	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	1,111	93¢	$1,033	0x8c3d12…
08-29 12:02:39	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0x448288…
08-29 10:10:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0xcb19a0…
08-29 10:10:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	597	86¢	$513	0x4b5bad…
08-28 08:41:57	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x826b26…
08-28 08:41:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,970	54¢	$2,684	0x000702…
08-26 16:54:01	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,160	14¢	$162	0x9f0326…
08-26 10:44:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,308	57¢	$746	0xc708c0…
08-25 11:35:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xd7c3e9…
08-25 11:35:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x1c553e…
08-25 11:35:33	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x88a5e3…
08-25 11:35:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xe8bcd3…
08-22 19:10:30	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x206692…
08-22 18:13:55	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xd9c3d9…
08-19 02:03:16	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	1,900	76¢	$1,444	0xfd098c…
08-19 01:23:36	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x637fcf…
08-18 20:42:13	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	5	76¢	$3	0x185e34…
08-18 19:50:30	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	45	76¢	$34	0xdcf74e…
08-18 19:50:27	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0x428025…
08-18 19:49:31	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	300	74¢	$222	0x6a339b…
08-17 14:12:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	2,000	5¢	$100	0xc11ac7…
08-17 14:12:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	3,619	83¢	$3,004	0xb1768a…
08-16 05:32:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,160	7¢	$81	0xfcc23d…
08-16 04:46:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	840	7¢	$59	0xa53ad3…
08-16 02:30:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x1d4ac1…
08-16 02:30:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	19,295	81¢	$15,555	0x72d691…
08-16 01:18:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc02cb0…
08-16 01:16:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	4,990	92¢	$4,591	0xb17721…
08-15 18:36:07	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	BUY	20,840	84¢	$17,501	0x546c7e…
08-15 15:48:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	13,635	100¢	$13,594	0x6844d1…
08-14 18:09:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x3f9f2a…
08-14 18:07:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	22,891	79¢	$18,084	0xf52500…
08-11 18:06:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	64	84¢	$54	0x59837e…
08-11 18:06:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1,835	84¢	$1,542	0x564093…
08-11 18:06:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	112	84¢	$94	0xa44cc2…
08-11 18:06:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x8fd9a1…
08-11 18:06:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xbf0d9b…
08-11 18:06:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	102	84¢	$86	0x8ed311…
08-11 18:06:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xe651c5…
08-11 18:06:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xdc80e7…
08-11 18:06:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	2,725	84¢	$2,289	0x8895a2…
08-11 18:06:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	1,738	84¢	$1,460	0x85397c…
08-11 18:06:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x691f9b…
08-11 18:06:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0x62b727…
08-11 17:29:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	7,603	87¢	$6,600	0xa3bbb2…
08-08 21:59:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0xb0ffbc…
08-08 20:35:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	695	79¢	$549	0xe9ee5c…
08-08 16:34:42	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xfe5a18…
08-08 16:05:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6,700	75¢	$5,025	0x4465b3…
08-08 16:04:36	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	302	50¢	$150	0x380204…
08-08 15:47:28	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	462	69¢	$319	0x89eb38…
08-08 15:40:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	523	42¢	$220	0xeca11d…
08-08 15:37:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	995	33¢	$328	0xa4b47f…
08-08 15:15:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc4ad98…
08-08 15:11:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	161	42¢	$68	0x80f71c…
08-08 15:11:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf0ef5c…
08-08 15:11:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8d6596…
08-08 15:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	357	42¢	$150	0x3eb31c…
08-08 13:58:10	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x1bdb37…
08-08 13:47:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	10,000	90¢	$9,000	0x748e42…
08-08 13:35:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x097085…
08-08 13:34:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x2130e5…
08-08 13:34:51	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	3,000	69¢	$2,070	0xc0617a…
08-08 13:34:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xb1d1c7…
08-08 13:34:37	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xd5da5b…
08-08 13:34:36	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	3,000	69¢	$2,070	0x6a84e5…
08-08 11:34:43	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	725	69¢	$500	0xfb4226…
08-08 08:14:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x321862…
08-08 08:04:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x9db8be…
08-08 07:43:30	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xc90fd3…
08-08 07:25:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xece367…
08-08 07:21:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0x77fdea…
08-08 06:37:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0bc2b7…
08-08 05:16:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x24855d…
08-08 05:15:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	525	82¢	$431	0x5ab784…
08-08 05:15:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	3,662	82¢	$3,003	0xff56e5…
08-08 05:15:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x7a8b36…