Dual-Paranoia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

266

Trades

1,674

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-25 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% +$8

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773764700	5	$407	277	274	+3	open	—	03-17 16:30
btc updown 5m 1773533400	4	$366	242	239	+3	open	—	03-15 00:16
btc updown 5m 1773956400	4	$332	267	263	+4	open	—	03-19 21:44
btc updown 5m 1773956100	5	$315	267	177	+90	open	—	03-19 21:40
btc updown 5m 1773599400	2	$283	181	178	+3	open	—	03-15 18:35
btc updown 5m 1773598200	2	$254	157	155	+2	open	—	03-15 18:15
btc updown 5m 1773950100	2	$234	148	145	+2	open	—	03-19 20:01
btc updown 5m 1773935400	2	$227	151	149	+2	open	—	03-19 15:55
btc updown 5m 1775742300	6	$211	135	133	+3	open	—	04-09 13:51
btc updown 5m 1773933300	5	$188	141	139	+2	open	—	03-19 15:20
btc updown 5m 1773533700	4	$183	131	93	+38	open	—	03-15 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775755800	2	$180	96	95	+1	open	—	04-09 17:35
btc updown 5m 1775743800	6	$179	115	114	+1	open	—	04-09 14:16
btc updown 5m 1773940200	3	$161	90	89	+1	open	—	03-19 17:16
btc updown 5m 1773865800	2	$150	102	100	+2	open	—	03-18 20:35
btc updown 5m 1773534300	2	$145	165	0	+165	open	—	03-15 00:29
btc updown 5m 1773950400	2	$142	94	93	+1	open	—	03-19 20:05
btc updown 5m 1773866700	3	$141	88	87	+1	open	—	03-18 20:51
btc updown 5m 1773513300	3	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	03-14 18:40
btc updown 5m 1773510600	2	$119	70	69	+1	open	—	03-14 17:55
btc updown 5m 1775750700	3	$118	75	71	+4	open	—	04-09 16:08
btc updown 5m 1774965600	2	$114	72	70	+2	open	—	03-31 14:05
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$110	102	102	+0	open	—	04-08 19:05
btc updown 5m 1775762700	4	$103	60	59	+1	open	—	04-09 19:30
btc updown 5m 1773909000	3	$101	81	47	+34	open	—	03-19 08:35
btc updown 5m 1775742900	9	$101	105	100	+5	open	—	04-09 13:57
btc updown 5m 1773763800	4	$100	93	51	+42	open	—	03-17 16:15
btc updown 5m 1775727900	3	$90	51	50	+1	open	—	04-09 09:50
btc updown 5m 1773957000	3	$89	109	44	+65	open	—	03-19 21:56
btc updown 5m 1773512700	3	$88	52	51	+0	open	—	03-14 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 10:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xafc9a9…
05-25 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xc6b44a…
05-25 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x015e06…
05-25 10:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x645223…
05-25 10:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x425c37…
05-25 10:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xd97b8a…
05-25 10:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x2d9909…
05-25 10:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x485901…
05-25 10:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2c4af4…
05-25 10:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x200294…
05-25 09:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xd50dc3…
05-25 09:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa3a37e…
05-25 09:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x7a5ab3…
05-25 09:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xe97ac6…
05-25 09:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x9e1c93…
05-25 09:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x950bbb…
05-25 09:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x090558…
05-25 09:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9d8504…
05-25 09:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8a5cec…
05-25 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xe8fbca…
05-25 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x7f24df…
05-25 09:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x8097e5…
05-25 09:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x780f8b…
05-25 08:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xcb489a…
05-25 08:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x062914…
05-25 08:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x214490…
05-25 08:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xca8ad8…
05-25 08:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6c9e00…
05-25 08:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xc4a767…
05-25 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9b9b6e…
05-25 08:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7cd892…
05-25 08:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x1ef54a…
05-25 08:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xab8e30…
05-25 08:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4c9ef6…
05-25 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x8a0e74…
05-25 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x252b59…
05-25 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x1e31bd…
05-25 07:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xfff1f6…
05-25 07:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x972136…
05-25 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x269571…
05-25 07:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xe9c2ee…
05-25 07:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x125982…
05-25 07:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x07ad42…
05-25 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0ec760…
05-25 06:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xd663f2…
05-25 06:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe0dc76…
05-25 06:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x41f2ba…
05-25 06:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xb80f22…
05-25 06:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x261f42…
05-25 06:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x272633…
05-25 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xdeef92…
05-25 06:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb40335…
05-25 06:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x47afcb…
05-25 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xef3116…
05-25 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x09a4db…
05-25 06:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf35bc4…
05-25 06:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xaa7d14…
05-25 05:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x36e8c2…
05-25 05:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x823ed0…
05-25 05:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x61f5ff…
05-25 05:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x00e9aa…
05-25 05:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb8cd54…
05-25 05:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x16812f…
05-25 05:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc7bd63…
05-25 05:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x46b52c…
05-25 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x7f3b09…
05-25 05:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x8751ec…
05-25 05:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x371c30…
05-25 04:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x71e7c3…
05-25 04:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x4c8f5a…
05-25 04:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xc4b8c3…
05-25 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xa69d00…
05-25 04:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x87c824…
05-25 04:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf273f0…
05-25 04:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xaabb2d…
05-25 04:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x99eab7…
05-25 04:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x824e1d…
05-25 04:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x629ca4…
05-25 03:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x96d299…
05-25 03:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x474928…
05-25 03:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfe5e8b…
05-25 03:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa276b0…
05-25 03:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa81876…
05-25 03:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x798a7f…
05-25 03:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa51675…
05-25 03:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x33c5e4…
05-25 03:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xfb6a0a…
05-25 03:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd8d606…
05-25 03:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x434a6b…
05-25 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3e14a7…
05-25 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1124f4…
05-25 02:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x7a2241…
05-25 02:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd09892…
05-25 02:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x09ee19…
05-25 02:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xe91059…
05-25 02:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x211bba…
05-25 02:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x05c53a…
05-25 02:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x80d314…
05-25 02:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x231333…
05-25 01:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa2e33c…