Dual-Paranoia — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

36 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$138

$138 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up		+4	$2	70¢	$3	+$1	05-12 07:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$16	22	+22	Up	+$6	05-12 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$16	27	+27	Down	$-16	05-12 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$8	17	+17	Down	$-8	05-12 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$8	13	+13	Up	$-8	05-12 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$8	13	+13	Up	+$5	05-12 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$8	9	+9	Down	+$1	05-12 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-12 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-12 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	$-4	05-12 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$4	11	+11	Up	$-4	05-12 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$4	19	+19	Down	$-4	05-12 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	$-4	05-12 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-11 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-11 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$2	8	+8	Up	+$6	05-12 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$2	25	+25	Up	$-2	05-12 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-12 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-12 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	+$4	05-11 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-11 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-11 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-12 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-12 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$2	11	+11	Up	$-2	05-11 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-12 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-11 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-12 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xca5c91…
05-12 07:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaf8c1c…
05-12 06:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xc7834b…
05-12 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb8dc92…
05-12 06:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdd9198…
05-12 05:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x72ce72…
05-12 05:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x356633…
05-12 05:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x2d214c…
05-12 05:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd5bb4e…
05-12 05:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0xcc979b…
05-12 05:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x4d78c3…
05-12 04:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xf39a40…
05-12 04:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdf4552…
05-12 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xa3c159…
05-12 04:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xe10aa7…
05-12 04:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x339004…
05-12 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa2af4e…
05-12 04:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0c5337…
05-12 04:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x2e3623…
05-12 04:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe8ca1c…
05-12 04:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0ec863…
05-12 04:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6c701a…
05-12 03:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x138fb3…
05-12 03:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x2a95d9…
05-12 03:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1e9f45…
05-12 03:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xebe81f…
05-12 03:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4d756b…
05-12 03:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x747e11…
05-11 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe3b03a…
05-11 23:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xadd2bf…
05-11 23:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0dd5be…
05-11 23:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x055c77…
05-11 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfe5cc7…
05-11 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1fd202…
05-11 23:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x315594…
05-11 21:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x293b89…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	36	$10.1K	337	05-12 07:21
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	35	$23.2K	312	05-12 07:21
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	32	$2.90K	237	05-12 07:21
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	32	$2.30K	186	05-12 07:21
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	29	$933	105	05-12 07:21
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	27	$7.63K	84	05-12 07:21
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	27	$1.51K	74	05-12 06:16
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	27	$1.35K	78	05-12 06:16